Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[michsnowfreak]

14 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:

Winter about done?

Deep Winter? Yes. Snow? No.

[DocATL]

Deep Winter? Yes. Snow? No.

Agree…for the Mountain West.

[Baum]

7 hours ago, DocATL said:

Agree…for the Mountain West.

Long way to go to be out of the woods for snow. But the weeks on end of persistent cold get further away with each passing day. Next 7 days look great.

[A-L-E-K]

would be down for a fog or wind event at this point, anything to break up the zzzzzs

[CheeselandSkies]

9 hours ago, DocATL said:

Agree…for the Mountain West.

That would be good, because they need it as per @A-L-E-K's post in the banter thread.

[mimillman]

West is gonna get rocked next 2 weeks. And yes, they need it. I was in Jackson MLK weekend and there was barely any snow, conditions were awful 

[A-L-E-K]

26 minutes ago, mimillman said:

West is gonna get rocked next 2 weeks. And yes, they need it. I was in Jackson MLK weekend and there was barely any snow, conditions were awful 

always a drag when a planned western trip to the mountains ends up with bad snow, def envious of those with the means to chase the goods and fly into town right before a banger pattern

[PositiveEPOEnjoyer]

Feb 2017 redux?

Quote

Finally, the above average temperatures are forecast to persist
into next week with temperatures potentially making a run at
the 60s by the middle of next week. The reason will be due to a
broader trough establishing over the western CONUS and
generating southwesterly mid-level flow across the central Plains
and Great Lakes. However, with the warmer temperatures there may
also be a period of inclement weather towards the middle of the
week as a shortwave trough breaks off the main trough and ejects
eastward. Now where exactly this shortwave tracks and what if any
impacts it may bring to northern IL and northwest IN remains
uncertain, but something we will be watching as we get closer.

 

[ILSNOW]

are you talking about this

[PositiveEPOEnjoyer]

12 minutes ago, ILSNOW said:

are you talking about this

Are you illiterate? This is straight from LOT: 

Quote

Finally, the above average temperatures are forecast to persist
into next week with temperatures potentially making a run at
the 60s by the middle of next week.

 

[PositiveEPOEnjoyer]

Using a 230+ hr model run of the operational GFS (lowest skilled model) as a means to cope with the coming torch is hilarious though, bravo there.

[ILSNOW]

2 minutes ago, PositiveEPOEnjoyer said:

Are you illiterate? This is straight from LOT: 

 

I am not but you might be!!!!  You might want to look at the 12Z GFS compared to the old 6z GFS that you are referring to. I am not sure if you are smart enough to understand that the LOT forecast that you referring to was before the 6z run came out and believe it or not models do change from time to time.  You my friend have a wonderful day and enjoy your 2-3 day Feb 17 redux!!!

[PositiveEPOEnjoyer]

11 minutes ago, ILSNOW said:

I am not but you might be!!!!  You might want to look at the 12Z GFS compared to the old 6z GFS that you are referring to. I am not sure if you are smart enough to understand that the LOT forecast that you referring to was before the 6z run came out and believe it or not models do change from time to time.  You my friend have a wonderful day and enjoy your 2-3 day Feb 17 redux!!!

You're stupid enough to believe that LOT takes any serious consideration into a fantasy range OP GFS run, LMAO.

Like I said, the operational GFS is the worst performing model as of recent, and you're putting so much weight into it because you can't cope with the fact that winter is coming to an end, or you're just trolling hard, lmao. Not to mention these are 230+ hour runs, if you're going to do that at least use the AI Euro or an ensemble.

Btw, even a 3 day Feb 2017 redux would be a very notable warm period. Before that happens, several days in the 50s will surely have it feeling like spring around these parts. Enjoy your early spring kiddo.

[Chicago Storm]

because you can't cope with the fact that winter is coming to an end

counterpoint: it’s not.

[ILSNOW]

Are you able to carry on a conversation with someone who has a different opinion then you (whether right  or wrong) without calling them stupid or illiterate, now please go back into your basement and enjoy your day.

[Chicago Storm]

Enjoy your early spring kiddo.

*false spring.

[Chicago Storm]

Are you able to carry on a conversation with someone who has a different opinion then you (whether right  or wrong) without calling them stupid or illiterate, now please go back into your basement and enjoy your day.

don’t mind him.

he only pops up when there’s going to be a torch.

[PositiveEPOEnjoyer]

Just now, Chicago Storm said:

*false spring.

We'll see.

[PositiveEPOEnjoyer]

8 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

don’t mind him.

he only pops up when there’s going to be a torch.

This dude is posting 230 hour operational runs when the GFS can't even get a forecast right within 72 hours, not sure why you're bothering to come to his defense. We've essentially been torching for the past few years btw, this recent cold period is merely a blip. This really is a denier board, maybe not quite as bad as "The Weather Forums", but still sad to see.

[A-L-E-K]

winter weenies feeling spring's return as a once promising winter turns to dust and our palm friend has spring fever

some things never change

[ILSNOW]

12z GFS 384 hr Kuchera snow map

 

[cyclone77]

I'm looking forward to some 70s while eastern WI basks in the 40 degree air blowing off Lake Michigan in coming weeks and months. 

[A-L-E-K]

18 minutes ago, cyclone77 said:

I'm looking forward to some 70s while eastern WI basks in the 40 degree air blowing off Lake Michigan in coming weeks and months. 

our climo really does get bottom tier march-may, the recent proclivity towards cutoffs in the lakes hasn't helped the situation, although last spring in particular was high quality

[DocATL]

How about just not being a jackass on a weather forum or just any forum in general? If you’re going to resort to personal attacks, find some better coping mechanisms.

[A-L-E-K]

47 minutes ago, DocATL said:

How about just not being a jackass on a weather forum

[McHenrySnow]

We are so back.

[Brian D]

 's on board 

[michsnowfreak]

22 hours ago, DocATL said:

Agree…for the Mountain West.

The mountain west hasn't had deep winter, we have.

And if you think we've seen the last snow.... In fact, the average last snowfall is still 2+ months away.

[michsnowfreak]

8 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:

winter weenies feeling spring's return as a once promising winter turns to dust and our palm friend has spring fever

some things never change

Last 2 winters colder than normal (even tho per cromartieepo last winter torched lmao). Must not be good for MKE palms.

Been a pure beavis winter in Detroit. The coming pattern change is a reminder of how wild the next 2 months can be (torches, arctic blasts, snowstorms, tornados, etc).