December Medium/Long Range Discussion

[Ji]

Gfs with a very nice event

[mitchnick]

1 hour ago, Ji said:

Gfs with a very nice event

It had me with 6" today until last night's 0z when it lowered me to 5", then 4.5" at 6z. After 1/2"+ this morning, I went to sleet. 

Not saying it'll be wrong. But the bottom line is we need all the models on board, or what can go wrong will.

[yoda]

2 hours ago, Ji said:

Gfs with a very nice event

For Monday.  Friday is nothing

[bncho]

I believe in the 0z Euro

[mitchnick]

1 minute ago, bncho said:

I believe in the 0z Euro

Apparently, the 6z Euro didn't. 

[frd]

Rather dramatic drop in the AO forecast during the past 24 hours.  

 

[bncho]

We've reeled the December 5-6 signal back, at least on the EPS. Since the EPS is showing snow it's a good model.

[NorthArlington101]

06z ICON was a step in the right direction. 12z NAM looks rather improved. Just looking for hints that we are headed the right way on this one. Still got plenty of time.

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

12z NAM looks great for a light event!  

[LP08]

4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

06z ICON was a step in the right direction. 12z NAM looks rather improved. Just looking for hints that we are headed the right way on this one. Still got plenty of time.

I will consider the 12z NAM the first NAMMing of the season for us.  Congrats! lol