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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread


Torch Tiger
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11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Man a month from now that track would be great. But I’m sure a month from now it tracks over BGM.

Well we’ve had perfectly tracked coastals in mid winter in recent years bring rain to the entire region. lol

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1 minute ago, FXWX said:

Calling this a bullshit pattern on Dec. 2 is pretty funny... Multiple mixture threats for at least interior SNE at this time of the year fine with me in terms of transitioning into winter.  

It’s just funny how it’s sort of similar though. Oh well. Would be nice to catch a break for once. 

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1 minute ago, FXWX said:

Calling this a bullshit pattern on Dec. 2 is pretty funny... Multiple mixture threats for at least interior SNE at this time of the year fine with me in terms of transitioning into winter.  

Gotta say...there are several who called for a flip to a more active pattern post Thanksgiving, and especially moving through the first week of December are looking good. Might not be much in the pipeline right behind this, however, the pattern is clearly transitioning to become more active in the upcoming weeks. All you can ask for right now. 

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4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

You need to go back into whatever hell hole you hide in all summer just an insufferable bastard.

This storm blows for most people south of the pike. I’m not insufferable, lots of delusion in this thread.

Like I said, enjoy the rain. You won’t be snowing right along with eastern Mass 

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5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Gotta say...there are several who called for a flip to a more active pattern post Thanksgiving, and especially moving through the first week of December are looking good. Might not be much in the pipeline right behind this, however, the pattern is clearly transitioning to become more active in the upcoming weeks. All you can ask for right now. 

True.... But, there's something in pipeline for next Saturday as well, but that's real far out.

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All things aside, both the Euro and GFS (at verbatim) would produce a pretty solid band of heavy snow. Way too early to really worry about the details and specifics. But in terms of potential snowfall amounts...it may be tough to get widespread warning criteria (maybe just barely warning snows but also depending on what's going on with the band and snowfall rates) due to how quickly it is moving but it's December 2nd and we're talking about potential for a large area to receive accumulating snow.  

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26 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That is the op. And yeah the clowns are tossed. Always tossed. 

If one could only see soundings. Oh wait at least at my point and click 6Z Euro is isothermic below 0C with a very unstable convective airmass . Why would you toss the best model?

Screenshot_20251128_081247_Chrome(1).jpg

 

Screenshot_20251128_090012_Chrome.jpg

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This will probably really crank under the heaviest banding, but outside of the heaviest banding it may be quite a struggle. I would presume that overall snowgrowth zone will be relatively high and majority of the lift is going to be centered within the 925-800mb layer. So if you're under the heaviest banding...it's going to rock. But not under the banding, it will be a totally different story. 

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