December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread

[40/70 Benchmark]

35 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Sell that faster than a dozen donuts in a Brooklyn precinct.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Gfs is going to be amped 

[MJO812]

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Gfs is going to be amped 

Coastal hugger

[dryslot]

GFS is a maul.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Big interior hit. Congrats dendrite 

[MJO812]

7 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Big interior hit. Congrats dendrite 

Cmc also 

[Torch Tiger]

yeah ggem and gfs op really amped up.  snow/mix/rain 

[dryslot]

Interior would get pounded on these runs verbatim.

[Torch Tiger]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

Interior would get pounded on these runs verbatim.

yeah it looks like exactly what you'd expect for 12/2. 

[MJO812]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Interior would get pounded on these runs verbatim.

Add the ukie to that also 

[dryslot]

Just now, Torch Tiger said:

yeah it looks like exactly what you'd expect for 12/2. 

Yes, Early on climo will rule.

[dryslot]

Just now, MJO812 said:

Add the ukie to that also 

Still a few days out on the Op models but ensembles should start to show members leaning with more of a west track.

[tunafish]

22 minutes ago, dryslot said:

GFS is a maul.

Run out of my basement.  Damn near 2" QPF on that run verbatim, just for 12/2.

 

 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

8 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

yeah it looks like exactly what you'd expect for 12/2. 

The cmc is basically just a rainstorm for SNE, briefly starts as snow, but the actual accumulating snow is confined to central and NNE

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, tunafish said:

Run out of my basement.  Damn near 2" QPF on that run verbatim, just for 12/2.

 

 

12/2 would be big in the interior as modeled, Right where you would expect it early in the season.

[tunafish]

10 minutes ago, dryslot said:

12/2 would be big in the interior as modeled, Right where you would expect it early in the season.

Yep, anything I get this time of year will likely be 6:1

[40/70 Benchmark]

Pretty much dead-nuts on 18z. I'm inclined to toss the EURO, as the GFS, GEM and UK better fit my analog seasons.

[40/70 Benchmark]

H85 looks to track just south of Boston, H7 is up over S NH.

[Torch Tiger]

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

H85 looks to track just south of Boston, H7 is up over S NH.

too amped?

[40/70 Benchmark]

54 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

too amped?

If you are looking for a jackpot, yes, but not for a plowable event. I NNE will rule the month....don't sweat that. We should do fine, though.

[40/70 Benchmark]

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2025/11/wintry-december-forecast-remains-on.html

First Call Saturday if necessary.

[MJO812]

Eps

[moneypitmike]

9 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

When the hell did you move down to the south coast? Must’ve been when I was on vacation from here all summer. 

 

We haven't yet.  Our offer on a house in Mattepoisett has been accepted (still not under contract though).

 

Happy Thanksgiving, All!

 

[moneypitmike]

9 hours ago, dendrite said:

I think he’s had 5 Pits since last winter.

 

LOL.  I don't think you can count our current rental as a "Pit".  If you were though, this would be number 3.

[moneypitmike]

6 hours ago, MJO812 said:

 

That's about as real as Pamela Anderson's boobs.

[Ginx snewx]

Skyne Euro IFS  nice hit

Tossing the Euro?  Ray you say the GFS fits your analog year. Isn't that confirmation bias? Way too early to toss anything 

[MJO812]

Colder for New England

[moneypitmike]

23 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Skyne Euro IFS  nice hit

Tossing the Euro?  Ray you say the GFS fits your analog year. Isn't that confirmation bias? Way too early to toss anything 

Pics?

[ineedsnow]

Snowstorm incoming? 

[Torch Tiger]