November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...

[mahk_webstah]

2 hours ago, frd said:

There have been winters that provided remarkable snow and ice events. Long duration cold, MECS, etc. nothing weird about that. 

I grew up in Dover, DE.  We had lots of good winters between 1977 and 1996.  At least 4 16"+ storms and good stretches of deep cold, iced/skating ponds, etc.

[Damage In Tolland]

Not a great look into the first 5-10 days of Dec overnight 

[Modfan2]

37F and rain, as November feel as you can get. .10” so far

[Damage In Tolland]

 

[kdxken]

4 minutes ago, Modfan2 said:

37F and rain, as November feel as you can get. .10” so far

Crummy day.

[CoastalWx]

Where the eff did this come from? 

[CoastalWx]

12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Not a great look into the first 5-10 days of Dec overnight 

I didn’t see any change. Stop looking at twitter. Euro had a nice SWFE

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

I didn’t see any change. Stop looking at twitter. Euro had a nice SWFE

Yes and it’s congrats Ray north . 

[JakkelWx]

10 hours ago, frd said:

Thats a bummer. Some feel the Mid Atlantic will do well because it is a Nina and its December, however I think we end the month below normal snowfall here, which by Dec. climo is not that much anyway, as far as temps its up and down. Basically nothing remarkable down here. Winters are not great anymore for cold and snowlovers in my hood.      

that is why i will move to new england when i get the chance

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Yes and it’s congrats Wey north . 

 

[CoastalWx]

Actually, that was a nice coastal. We take that.

[CoastalWx]

Mann Canada is cold on the guidance. Let the highs build down and the CJ‘s began after the first week of December.

[CoastalWx]

48 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

GFS FTW this morning. What a miserable run that was in cold rain 

Gfs had nothing yesterday. AI ftw

[CoastalWx]

Man let’s get these busts in winter. 

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Gfs had nothing yesterday. AI ftw

It had rains to the pike 

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It had rains to the pike 

Nope. 12z had nothing yesterday. 

[amarshall]

Tv Mets no rain past cape


.

[CoastalWx]

9 minutes ago, amarshall said:

Tv Mets no rain past cape


.

I remember seeing AI much further north and was thinking it was wrong. 
Let’s replace us all with machines baby.

[amarshall]

I remember seeing AI much further north and was thinking it was wrong. 
Let’s replace us all with machines baby.

Fully nude ready to do leaves all day. Looking forward to a few crisp Pilsners and loud power tools all afternoon.


.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I remember seeing AI much further north and was thinking it was wrong. 
Let’s replace us all with machines baby.

Yesterdays 6z guidance didn’t even have rain here.  

[Chrisrotary12]

1 hour ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

wet

48 hr forecast from the Euro. Whoops.

 

[jsw]

Weather related: a weaker polar vortex = colder air in New England.

Yeah that's good, but as a weenie, I didn't know if we want a weak or strong polar vortex.

Now, my question: wouldn't that upper level flow also be conducive to surface low pressure riding up the East Coast? I.e., storm track?

Thanks!

https://www.wbur.org/news/2025/11/21/polar-vortex-what-to-know-new-england-boston-december?utm_source=npr.org&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=local_headlines&utm_content=homepage

 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

48 hr forecast from the Euro. Whoops.

 

That was also an 18hr forecast. Kill the horse, send it to the glue factory.

[Chrisrotary12]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

That was also an 18hr forecast. Kill the horse, send it to the glue factory.

I was just going off the last time I looked at anything: Thursday. Then was surprised to feel rain on way to gym this morning 

[WinterWolf]

Honestly, What is wrong with this guidance? It’s so much worse than it was, and I don’t even think that’s debatable anymore.  WTF? 

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Honestly, What is wrong with this guidance? It’s so much worse than it was, and I don’t even think that’s debatable anymore.  WTF? 

I wish i looked harder. Maybe there were red flags. AI was one of them. 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

I wish i looked harder. Maybe there were red flags. AI was one of them. 

So the AI had the rain getting up in here, and the other non AI guidance did not? 

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

So the AI had the rain getting up in here, and the other non AI guidance did not? 

Appears that way. But I just casually looked yesterday. Maybe there were some north trends or things we look for winter like deformation areas etc. 

[WinterWolf]

4 hours ago, frd said:

There have been winters that provided remarkable snow and ice events. Long duration cold, MECS, etc. nothing weird about that. 

Ok..I guess I stand corrected. Didn’t realize DE was such a snowy place. 

[Damage In Tolland]

18z Reggie yesterday was the first piece of guidance that brought rain to the Pike. Everything followed after that