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OBS for moderate coastal impact Nor'easter Sun-Mon 10/12-13/25 with needed rain everywhere. To minimize any disruptions review NWS warnings-statements.


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1 hour ago, weatherpruf said:

you don't chase the stripers? the best of the season is mid november up here...

Of course I do, and tog into January.    But im more or less off the water for both jobs from mid January until mid March.   

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16 minutes ago, dseagull said:

Of course I do, and tog into January.    But im more or less off the water for both jobs from mid January until mid March.   

i don't do tog anymore.....something has happened with that fishery. back in the day you could catch a mess of them, i used to fish under the verrazzano.....the block island sound fishery is a good one though, but these limits, jeebus....guys are eeling bass already up here, but those are resident river bass. gotta see what shakes out after this storm; my guess is inshore is kaput; but it might get those stripers moving our way. going to dinner now for some porgies and sea bass, the last of our catch earlier in the week. see you out there, cap....

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Radar has changed in the last few frames. Moisture streaming east to west across Suffolk now. Winds have picked up here so I think that secondary low is starting to have an impact up here now 

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9 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

anybody fiqure out the future of this storm yet ? Precip field in NJ over Monmouth and Ocean Counties is shrinking also winds here in north central NJ are reduced from earlier

HRRR has an extended period (4-6 hours or so) of spotty showers and then steadier rain moves back in a bit later tonight. As for winds, it should increase a bit as well as the low moves up and occludes (nothing to write home about though). 

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6 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

anybody fiqure out the future of this storm yet ? Precip field in NJ over Monmouth and Ocean Counties is shrinking

No.  It'll just be lucky guesses at this point and someone will be right.  Things are kinda verifying on the coast and LI, but just inland, the cutoff remains very sharp.
Precip might be filling back in a bit offshore the last few frames.  So far it seems even the areas east of 95 are also underperforming as far as the precipitation goes.  Wind is more the story.

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13 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said:

New low is forming right now and strengthening by delmarva

where are the other low centers located ? you can actually see the LP in Del Marva on radar as the precip west of it is moving from the  northeast to southwest

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4 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said:

I will say that there's a low of the Carolinas with new one forming by delimarva

Now we can begin to see how this might play out as that new low grabs the offshore precip to its north and throws it on shore over NJ and the metro later.................

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HRRR keeps delaying the stronger winds and now only has it tomorrow morning for a brief period. Either way, it looks like the rain bands coming off the ocean now are a bit steadier than the ones we've had all day and models have an additional inch for many of us. 

hrrr_mslp_wind_neus_fh12-18.gif

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