Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs

[Jns2183]

It would be amazing to get a 3"-6" Thanksgiving feast

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[ChescoWx]

Today should be almost 10 degrees warmer than yesterday...but still a few degrees below normal for mid-November with highs in the upper 40's to around 50 degrees. Temperatures look to stay near to below normal through Saturday before we briefly warm to above normal Sunday before falling back below normal to start the new work week. Our next rain chance looks to arrive Saturday night into Sunday.

[Itstrainingtime]

35 at 11pm last evening, 40 at 7am when I left for work today. 

[WmsptWx]

3 hours ago, Jns2183 said:

It would be amazing to get a 3"-6" Thanksgiving feast

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I think you're gonna get a 65-70°F day.

[ChescoWx]

I have continued to update the Chester County Weather website and have now completed and added a listing of the largest Chester County snowstorms across the 7 months of the year - October through April that we have recorded snow events. https://chescowx.com/top-snowfalls-by-month/ this includes the 2nd largest snowstorm in County history that occurred in March 1958 when between 19" to as much as 50" of snow fell across Chester and SE Berks Counties. See below. 

[ChescoWx]

Climate factoid of the day. Someone posted last week that it seems like it never snows before Christmas here in Chester County. So, I went back and looked to see how often we have not recorded any measurable snow by Christmas Day. The data shows we actually have seen measurable snow 92% of the time before Christmas. There have only been 11 years across 132 years of record that no station in the county recorded measurable (more than a trace) of snow. Those years were 1899 / 1918/ 1956 / 1965 / 1974 / 1991 / 1999 / 2001 / 2006 / 2015 and 2021.

[Voyager]

7 hours ago, WmsptWx said:

I think you're gonna get a 65-70°F day.

That's what I want...

BTW, where are these showers coming from? Was it supposed to rain today?

[TimB]

2 hours ago, ChescoWx said:

Climate factoid of the day. Someone posted last week that it seems like it never snows before Christmas here in Chester County. So, I went back and looked to see how often we have not recorded any measurable snow by Christmas Day. The data shows we actually have seen measurable snow 92% of the time before Christmas. There have only been 11 years across 132 years of record that no station in the county recorded measurable (more than a trace) of snow. Those years were 1899 / 1918/ 1956 / 1965 / 1974 / 1991 / 1999 / 2001 / 2006 / 2015 and 2021.

So 6/106 (5.7%) from 1893-1998 and 5/26 (19.2%) from 1999-2024. Interesting.

[NepaJames8602]

Hey everyone! Posted in the wrong forum last night lol. Anyways, I had my first snow accumulations yesterday from the les. I was at work all day, but checking my cameras it actually snowed all day. Didnt have much for accumulations at work near Scranton Pa. When I got home, a very different story in my part of the Poconos at 2,075' feet. Had about 2 inches on the grass and near 3" on my deck. Pretty much nothing on roadways. I was quite surprised regardless. Nice little event for Nov 11th. I Included a photo when I got home last night at 630 pm. Just saying hello to everyone and fingers crossed for a good upcoming snow season! 

[canderson]

2 hours ago, Voyager said:

That's what I want...

BTW, where are these showers coming from? Was it supposed to rain today?

No rain here I don’t think but I was in hell the last 24 hrs with budget work and don’t see much light of days 

[mahantango#1]

Our forecast for the next 5 weeks keeps with the cold in the Commonwealth. We see a majority of the next 35 days featuring high temperatures below average. We also think there's a potential for our final 6 cities in the Snowflake Contest to fall.

[mahantango#1]

 

Wxrisk.com

deropnsSto1cacu20hlg60ug8ummhmc981638m4itu004tffi0f5h54auucc  ·

Shared with Public

 

 

** BULLSHIT ALERT *** Even though a professional meteorologist issued this …. it is 100% bullshit.. Indeed the very next run of that model used to make this map showed something vastly different with a arctic cold air not advancing nearly that for deep on the East Coast.

Like I said in the three week newsletter ....the Thanksgiving long holiday weekend was consists of four days will be it. of transition. conditions are going to turn colder and things are going to start shaping up for what could be a very Act of December.

BUT... this sort of massive Arctic outbreak in late November is not supported by the data nor is it supportive of other things such as the MJO

[Mount Joy Snowman]

Low of 42 with a rounded-up .01" of rain.

[ChescoWx]

14 hours ago, TimB said:

So 6/106 (5.7%) from 1893-1998 and 5/26 (19.2%) from 1999-2024. Interesting.

And only 18% before 1955....interesting...not really cyclical climate in action!! LOL!!

[TimB]

2 minutes ago, ChescoWx said:

And only 18% before 1955....interesting...not really cyclical climate in action!! LOL!!

Someone who doesn’t get it. Enjoy the new website and the 0.000005 page views per day.

[pasnownut]

42 minutes ago, TimB said:

Someone who doesn’t get it. Enjoy the new website and the 0.000005 page views per day.

says the troll who hasn't gotten it for the last few years.