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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs


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A beautiful autumnal weekend on the way! Leaves may be a bit past peak but enjoy. It’s still breezy today but not as windy as yesterday. Temperatures are not too far from normal to start November. We stay near normal early this week before trending back to below normal temperatures by the end of the week. We could see freezing temperatures again by tomorrow morning in those spots who have already seen multiple below freezing readings. Higher ridge locations have still not seen either a frost or freeze this autumn season. Only some slight rain chances on Monday evening but otherwise a dry week ahead.

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HEY SNOW REMOVAL FOLKS … DO YOU WINTER WEATHER COVERAGE FOR YOUR BUSINESS ? WxRIsk is the answer 

 

We can go seasonal or a month by month depending on what your needs are. If interested send your information -- company name your name phone number email areas that you cover etc -- to [email protected]

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Now that the models run at the correct times I guess I’m back in. This (snow chasing) hobby is a lot of investment and often times disappointing, but I couldn’t quit it even if I tried. Here’s to another season riding it out with everyone. I hope it’s a cold and snowy one for all of us! 

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Sun is returning this afternoon with highs near normal in the upper 50's. Similar weather tomorrow before our warmest day of the week on Wednesday with temperatures into the low to mid 60's for some great Indian Summer type weather. We turn much cooler again on Thursday with highs struggling into the low 50's for most spots. Our next rain chance looks to arrive by Friday night.

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Here you go, snow lovers! The moment you've been waiting for is here: my 2025-2026 Winter Outlook! Three primary winter-season influences will be a weak La Niña, strongly-negative Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) & weak stratospheric #PolarVortex (SPV). The weak SPV should allow Arctic air to plunge into the Central/Eastern States at times, mainly before mid-Jan & perhaps again in late Feb or Mar. Analogs suggest the coldest/snowiest part of winter could be around the holidays due to high-latitude (NAO/AO) blocking. Despite plenty of mild days during the 2nd half of the season, odds of a #WhiteChristmas are the highest in years. From Dec-Feb, aggregate temps should be slightly above normal (0 to +2°F). "All-rain" & "changeover" events will be common after mid-Jan with more "all-snow" events beforehand.

 

 

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Here in Chester County PA October finished as our 5th below normal temperature month over the 1st 10 months of 2025, It was the 59th coldest October over the last 133 years of county climate records. Precipitation wise it was the 53rd driest October but much wetter than last October which was our driest October on record with many spots not recording any measurable rainfall at all. This October continues our trend of slightly cooling Octobers with climate records back to 1893. Below is the October average temperature trend lines and the overall Climate Summary Detail for October 2025.image.thumb.jpeg.2310f5253cd84a0346f88f8a60b713ea.jpegimage.thumb.png.e18f488853dd47fb4dbf8be78d557a28.png

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