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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs


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1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said:

There is no real good reason for me to feel the way I do much less say this...I think Penn State is going to Iowa City and winning tomorrow night. Gut feeling, we're going to see the team that we thought we were going to see back on August 30th but never materialized. I think it'll be close and the Lions pull it off with a late turnover. 

I'm in a pick em' league here at work - it's both NFL and NCAA. We have 24 in the group. Last night, 23 had the Steelers, 1 had the Bungles. Guess who had Cincinnati?

:)  

I will gladly accept whatever wrath I deserve following tomorrow night's game. 

Wow, I love the optimism, but I am, uuummm, on the complete opposite side as you haha.  I think Grunk will be totally overwhelmed in his first start in an environment like that and the team eventually just fades in the second half.  I can't get the images of that one game in Iowa City out of my head.......the one where our backup had to come in because Clifford got hurt (I think Robeson was the kid's name?) and he was completely overwhelmed and the game turned into a total sh&t-show.  I could be messing up some details but yeah, you get the gist.  As always, I hope to be wrong!

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1 hour ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

Wow, I love the optimism, but I am, uuummm, on the complete opposite side as you haha.  I think Grunk will be totally overwhelmed in his first start in an environment like that and the team eventually just fades in the second half.  I can't get the images of that one game in Iowa City out of my head.......the one where our backup had to come in because Clifford got hurt (I think Robeson was the kid's name?) and he was completely overwhelmed and the game turned into a total sh&t-show.  I could be messing up some details but yeah, you get the gist.  As always, I hope to be wrong!

That was 2021 Iowa.  The team was undefeated going into that game.  Please let it not be like that.  I've suffered enough.

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Now that we are done with any 90+ degree days. Below is the by-decade trend of the average number of 90+ days across Chester County PA from the 1890's through the 2020's. There is a clear decline at all elevations in the number of such hot days. In fact, the 2020's are trending to be the 2nd lowest number of average 90-degree days behind only the 1970's.

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The dead cat bounce is a real thing. My suspicion is that Penn State has been playing on edge all season because they knew the end result was likely what happened last Sunday. James Franklin asked for *more* money in the off-season and apparently was too concerned with hiring flashy coordinators in the last few seasons. The team was unprepared for NEVADA much less Oregon, and that was because of the head coach. 

 

Andy Kotelniki now has to prove his worth more than he ever has. Jim Knowles needs to prove it wasn't just the athletes at Ohio State that got him paid. There are no expectations as "going bowling" seems unlikely. 

 

Penn State throttles Iowa. 

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1 minute ago, WmsptWx said:

Also, Minnesota beat Nebraska last night. I hope that ends the Rhule to PSU talk. That guy stinks.

Wouldn't be something if Pennstate won all of their remaining regular season games and a few more top 10 teams lost? It seems anything can happen this season in college football.

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Of note today back in 1972 we recorded our earliest measurable snowfall in the county area. Between 1" to 3" of snow fell across the higher ridges of NW Chester County. Interestingly that winter of 1972-1973 ended up being the least snowy winter in County history. In fact, that is the only winter season that no measurable snow was recorded at Coatesville. No snow chances this season till next month. Today we warm nicely well into the 60's with low to mid 70's by tomorrow as we enjoy a little Indian Summer for those spots that have already seen a freeze this season. Rain chances to ramp up by Sunday night into Monday morning. We then turn chillier again for the upcoming work week.

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2 hours ago, WmsptWx said:

The dead cat bounce is a real thing. My suspicion is that Penn State has been playing on edge all season because they knew the end result was likely what happened last Sunday. James Franklin asked for *more* money in the off-season and apparently was too concerned with hiring flashy coordinators in the last few seasons. The team was unprepared for NEVADA much less Oregon, and that was because of the head coach. 

 

Andy Kotelniki now has to prove his worth more than he ever has. Jim Knowles needs to prove it wasn't just the athletes at Ohio State that got him paid. There are no expectations as "going bowling" seems unlikely. 

 

Penn State throttles Iowa. 

I couldn't agree more. But we both might be sinking tonight. :)

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Penn State's offensive line is "tits on a nun" level of useless. I don't know now this unit could get so bad so quick. I don't really think it matters who is under centre with these guys up front.

 

Having said that, Kotelniki using Smolik throughout is showing more creativity than Franklin had allowed at any point prior to this week, and if the line could actually block, Allen and Smolik likely have enough yardage between the two of them to force Iowa's secondary to come in a bit and the receivers would get a little bit of separation. 

 

But damn this line stinks. 

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1 minute ago, WmsptWx said:

Penn State's offensive line is "tits on a nun" level of useless. I don't know now this unit could get so bad so quick. I don't really think it matters who is under centre with these guys up front.

 

Having said that, Kotelniki using Smolik throughout is showing more creativity than Franklin had allowed at any point prior to this week, and if the line could actually block, Allen and Smolik likely have enough yardage between the two of them to force Iowa's secondary to come in a bit and the receivers would get a little bit of separation. 

 

But damn this line stinks. 

And right as I send this, Smolik enters the game and Allen breaks out a big run.

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One last mild above normal temperature day today before some showers arrive after midnight tonight and turn us back to below normal temperatures for the rest of the upcoming week. Rain tonight looks like between 0.25" to 050" across the area. The only other chance of rain this week looks to be Tuesday night. Highs looks to be in the 50's and lows in the 30's for much of the late week period.

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Special Weather Statement

National Weather Service State College PA

1016 AM EDT Sun Oct 19 2025

 

PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-

049>053-056>059-063>066-200215-

Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-

Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-

Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-

Sullivan-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-

Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-

Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-

1016 AM EDT Sun Oct 19 2025

 

...STRONG WINDS THROUGH THIS EVENING...

 

Strong winds across the region are expected for most of the

afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front. Sustained winds of

10 to 20 MPH out of the south will occasionally gust to between

30 and 40 MPH through this afternoon and into the evening.

 

These winds are non-convective and will be separate from the line

of gusty showers and thunderstorms anticipated for this

afternoon along the cold front. There remains a marginal risk for

severe storms this afternoon for most of central Pennsylvania.

 

Strong winds can blow around loose and unsecured objects. Ensure

that all outdoor decorations, furniture, and other objects are

either secure or brought indoors.

 

$$

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Mostly cloudy and 71 currently in Tamaqua. Peak gust so far has been 10.5 mph, that occurred just a few minutes ago so the winds are just now starting to ramp up here. I suspect I'll see higher gusts as the day goes on.

It'll be interesting later when the front blows through. 

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2 hours ago, Jns2183 said:

Going to Hersheypark today from 3-9. Would love some opinions regarding How much an issue the wind will be with shutting down rides. I think the rain will hold off till after close.

Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk
 

Not really sure how the wind affects the rides but there's no way I'd be able to be out in this shit for more than a couple hours without the wind, giving me a thumping headache .  I have to be out in it all day today so I  went proactive with th NSAIDs.

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