Met1985 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Fun times.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 7 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Yeah and that would stick around for a good week especially with what the Euro is showing. That crap would be super thick. I believe Brad Panovich called that the "glacier solution" which is a perfect descriptor of what 1-2" snow, 3-5" sleet and a half inch of ice would create. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, Tyler Penland said: I believe Brad Panovich called that the "glacier solution" which is a perfect descriptor of what 1-2" snow, 3-5" sleet and a half inch of ice would create. Yep I agree also Tyler. That stuff would stick around forever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, Met1985 said: Yep I agree also Tyler. That stuff would stick around forever. Make for some freakin' fun sledding, though. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 7 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said: Make for some freakin' fun sledding, though. No freaking kidding! Talk about a rocket ship! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Ice, ice, baby. Thinking of that amount of ice and then the possibilities of power outages and then going into low single digits. They need to have a plan in place for some shelters ASAP. Going to wait until Friday but will probably bring my mom to the house here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 . 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 All of us across WNC are about to find out just how strong the trees affected by Helene really are 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 I’m not sure that run of the GFS is accurate with the track of the low. It’s moving the HP kinda strangely. I think based on history and synoptics the low track may be a bit further south before making the turn. My guess (only a guess) is that for the Mnts. there is a bit more snow & a bit less sleet with the system. Of course the warm nose will have its say in this. . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 2 minutes ago, BretWx said: GEFS mean took a bump north as well: Those ensembles are still all over the place. Still a long ways to go with this one. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoAPPS Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 52 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Fun times. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk We better pray that doesn't verify. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 The UK looked improved and expanded the snow line southward into NC. It's interesting how strong of a wedge it showed for a model that always underestimated the strength of the CAD. Something to watch going forward. Baby steps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 How can we have such a strong H to the north and the storm is trying to trend nw? doesn't make sense to me, I thought if anything that strong H would shove the storm south some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 3 minutes ago, Tacoma said: How can we have such a strong H to the north and the storm is trying to trend nw? doesn't make sense to me, I thought if anything that strong H would shove the storm south some. More phasing means a stronger cyclone, the stronger the cyclone, the more latitude it gains to move poleward. It’s also plowing into an increasingly transient high. A big thing that’s changed the past few days is that our high isn’t as “locked in” as we thought. It’s scooting into a less and less favorable position as the storm progresses. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 More phasing means a stronger cyclone, the stronger the cyclone, the more latitude it gains to move poleward. It’s also plowing into an increasingly transient high. A big thing that’s changed the past few days is that our high isn’t as “locked in” as we thought. It’s scooting into a less and less favorable position as the storm progresses.Sometimes the model can be to quick to break down the ridge. I’m curious to see what the euro shows & more importantly what sort of tale the ensembles tell. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 WSW from MRX and FFC. I'd expect GSP to follow suit this afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 15 minutes ago, BooneWX said: More phasing means a stronger cyclone, the stronger the cyclone, the more latitude it gains to move poleward. It’s also plowing into an increasingly transient high. A big thing that’s changed the past few days is that our high isn’t as “locked in” as we thought. It’s scooting into a less and less favorable position as the storm progresses. Went from a 1050 over iowa to a weaker one over Vermont. Also dealing with a complete phase instead the Baja low coming across on its own Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow and sleet accumulations between 1 and 6 inches and ice accumulations between four tenths and one inch possible. * WHERE...Northeast Georgia, Western North Carolina, and the South Carolina Upstate. * WHEN...From Saturday morning through Monday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Significant ice accumulation on power lines and tree limbs may cause widespread and long-lasting power outages. Ice and snow covered roadways will become treacherous and impassable. Widespread power outages are likely due to the weight of the ice and snow on tree limbs and power lines. The outages could last for days in some areas. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Highest snow and sleet accumulations are possible north of I-40. Highest ice accumulations are possible across the southern mountains of North Carolina, the mountains of northeast Georgia, and the mountains of South Carolina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 That ice accumulation callout is terrifying. Up to 1in?! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Apparently the Euro is broken. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, Met1985 said: Apparently the Euro is broken. Imagine that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Euro looks like crap right off the bat.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 ICE (ALARM EMOJI) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Border counties turn to rain by Sunday morning. This run is a dumpster fire. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Bless its euro heart 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, buckeyefan1 said: Bless its euro heart That would be catastrophic to the grid. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 5 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Euro looks like crap right off the bat. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk That HP in the northeast said adios! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, Met1985 said: That would be catastrophic to the grid. Very much so 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Rainer for the SW mountains and the other side of TN. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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