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September Discobs 2025


George BM
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Need as much rain from this event as possible because that’s one helluva block setting up afterwards. Those tropical systems have no chance here with that monster moving in. Looks like an extended period of nice weather coming up.

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3 minutes ago, 87storms said:

Need as much rain from this event as possible because that’s one helluva block setting up afterwards. Those tropical systems have no chance here with that monster moving in. Looks like an extended period of nice weather coming up.

If this busts it's really gonna hurt, and I'm guessing there's 0 chance for the models to do a 180 on the Imelda walk backs?

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12 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

Why is it that we need to have the planets align in order for that to happen? It is not supposed to be this hard to get decent rains around here.

Short answer is La Niña. Second answer is it’s still the warm season. 

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4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Short answer is La Niña.

This has transcended previous niñas though, there has not been a prolonged wet pattern since 2022. Every opportunity since then to end the overarching pattern has either resulted in it paradoxically intensifying (spring 2023 and last spring) or relatively short reprieves that end with it roaring back (this past June and July).

Question is will the end of this niña finally open the floodgates or did the triple dip niña shift the atmosphere some more and now this is permanent for us?

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