August 2025 Discussion-OBS - cooler than normal first week but a big comeback to warmer than normal for the last 2-3 weeks

[jm1220]

Down to 54 here-feels like fall. Unfortunately short lived. 

[bluewave]

22 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Down to 54 here-feels like fall. Unfortunately short lived. 

Officially the coolest start to August since 2013 which was a nice break from the wall to wall heat since late June. Hoping the 0z Euro has a clue about the more onshore flow and the 100° heat misses to the north in Maine. But the GFS still has more westerly flow and gets the warm spots to 101° on Wednesday. We are one of the parts of the country where a small shift to more southerly flow can make the difference between 90s and low 100s.

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ August 1-7 Average Temperature 
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

2025-08-07	74.5	1
2024-08-07	81.7	0
2023-08-07	75.6	0
2022-08-07	83.1	0
2021-08-07	75.6	0
2020-08-07	78.7	0
2019-08-07	77.9	0
2018-08-07	82.2	0
2017-08-07	74.9	0
2016-08-07	75.8	0
2015-08-07	79.1	0
2014-08-07	75.9	0
2013-08-07	73.2	0
2012-08-07	80.4	0
2011-08-07	80.6	0
2010-08-07	79.9	0

[Brian5671]

57 here right now-feels great!   Nice to see the big heat backing off too for next week (still hot though but 90 is better than 98)

[jm1220]

15 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Officially the coolest start to August since 2013 which was a nice break from the wall to wall heat since late June. Hoping the 0z Euro has a clue about the more onshore flow and the 100° heat misses to the north in Maine. But the GFS still has more westerly flow and gets the warm spots to 101° on Wednesday. We are one of the parts of the country where a small shift to more southerly flow can make the difference between 90s and low 100s.

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ August 1-7 Average Temperature 
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

2025-08-07	74.5	1
2024-08-07	81.7	0
2023-08-07	75.6	0
2022-08-07	83.1	0
2021-08-07	75.6	0
2020-08-07	78.7	0
2019-08-07	77.9	0
2018-08-07	82.2	0
2017-08-07	74.9	0
2016-08-07	75.8	0
2015-08-07	79.1	0
2014-08-07	75.9	0
2013-08-07	73.2	0
2012-08-07	80.4	0
2011-08-07	80.6	0
2010-08-07	79.9	0

Might feel a little better with the westerly flow outcome honestly. I’d rather it 100/65 vs the 92/77 we have with the southerly flow. That way we maybe notch another 100 and the disgusting humidity is kept away. These 75-80 dews we get now are hideous. 

[lee59]

57.3 my low temperature.

[SACRUS]

 

68 / 61 sunny.  Gorgeous stretch of weather in mid stream.   80s Fri - Sun, Sunday may get to 90 in the hottest spots.   Heat Mon - Fri, hottest days Tue/Wed (95+) in the hottest areas  850 MB >17C (20c seems north now - kind expected).  Storms / showers Wed Night.  A touch cooler but still hot towards the end of next week.   Overall warm - hot / humid and wetter beyond there towards the 16th with tropcial activity along the EC.

 

8/8 - 8/10 :  Warm - dry - near normal.  90 in hot spots by Sunday
8/11 - 8/15 ; Hot ,  Heat peak 95+ in the hottest spots Tue/Wed.   Storms possiblt Wed night
8/16 - Beyond :  Warm - Hot / Humid - wetter overall 0 Tropical activity.

 

[SACRUS]

 

 

Ridge centered north by 7-10 - Still warm-hot / Humid overall with an onshore flow.  Tropical activity seems steered towards the EC or into the GOM.

 

[SACRUS]

 

Next shot at meaningful rain, and at that point it'll be since Jul 31st / 2 weeks, will come Wed evening / Thursday .  

 

[SACRUS]

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 101 (2001)
NYC: 99 (2001)
LGA: 98 (2001)
JFK: 99 (2001)


Lows:

EWR: 56 (1989)
NYC: 54 (1903)
LGA: 59 (1989)
JFK: 58 (1989)

 

Historical:

 

1874: Swarms of Rocky Mountain locust invaded Denver, Colorado. Millions were seen cruising through the air. The insects were picked up by a thunderstorm gust front and carried into the city. The grasshoppers ravaged crops in surrounding counties for the last month.

1878 - The temperature at Denver, CO, soars to an all-time record high of 105 degrees. (The Weather Channel)

1881 - A cloudburst and flash flood occurred at Central Springs, CO, and Idaho Springs, CO. (David Ludlum)

1882 - An August snowstorm was reported by a ship on Lake Michigan. A thick cloud reportedly burst on the decks covering them with snow and slush six inches deep. Snow showers were observed at shore points that day. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

1924: Hancock, Minnesota: A lightning bolt during a dry thunderstorm kills 47 cattle at a local farm. The livestock had crowded together under the branches of a large spreading willow tree when the bolt struck the tree. Bodily contact seems to have provided the means of conveying the charge among the animals. (Ref. WxDoctor)

1928: A hurricane moved in from the Bahamas and made landfall near Stuart, FL. Damage was heaviest from south Brevard to St. Lucie Counties. Houses were unroofed and citrus trees and large oaks uprooted. Coastal highways were flooded and many bridges were undermined. Two people died. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1939: A tornado outbreak across central and southern Lower Michigan resulted in two deaths and about 100 injuries. A violent tornado moved across the southeast part of Kalamazoo, MI destroying dozens of homes and killing two people. More homes were destroyed and six people were injured in northern Kent County, northeast of Cedar Springs. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1967: Las Vegas, NV was hit by two storms which bore in from the south and covered a 50-square-mile area. Damage was estimated in the hundreds of thousands of dollars. The Showboat Hotel on Boulder Highway was forced to close its casino, restaurant, and showroom when muddy floodwaters invaded through the kitchen doors, passed clearly through the large building and out the front doors. At Caesars Palace on the Strip, a casino boss said the water was deep enough in the front of the hotel to "swim in". Over 10 inches of rain fell during a two week period to cause the Great Fairbanks Flood in Alaska. $100 million dollars in damage resulted. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1969: Severe thunderstorms moved north central South Dakota to the southeast sections of the state. Golf ball size hail was reported just west of Mobridge while Wessington Springs had tennis ball sized hail. Two people were injured in Sioux Falls when strong thunderstorm winds blew in a plate glass window at a drug store. Near Mitchell a barn was devastated so badly by a tornado it appeared as if it had exploded. Portions of the building could not be found and the same tornado carried a steel granary a half mile. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1972: An unusual mid-summer tornado struck near the town of Byers, Texas, in Clay County. Damage was limited to barns and storage sheds on several farms east of Byers. The tornado exhibited an unusual movement, from southeast to northwest. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1980: Dangerous Hurricane Allen briefly weakened to a Category 4 storm as it skirted the Yucatan Peninsula. Already a Category 5 twice during its life cycle, Allen would briefly regain Category 5 intensity for a record third time on the 9th as it headed for the Texas coast. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)
 

1983 - The temperature at Big Horn Basin, WY, reached 115 degrees to establish a state record. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Thunderstorm rains in eastern Nebraska sent the Wahoo River and Ithica River above flood stage. Thunderstorm rains in western Iowa sent the Nishnabotna River over flood stage. Up to seven inches of rain deluged the Council Bluffs area Friday evening and Saturday morning. Thunderstorms produced 4.4 inches of rain in three hours Friday evening, along with golf ball size hail. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Thunderstorms developing along a slow moving cold front produced severe weather from central Kansas to southern Wisconsin late in the day. Thunderstorms in Iowa produced hail three inches in diameter at Vinton, and produced wind gusts to 75 mph at Donohue and near Mount Pleasant. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - A total of ninety-nine cities in the central and eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Alpena MI with a reading of 40 degrees. Mount Mitchell NC was the cold spot in the nation with a morning low of 35 degrees. Early evening thunderstorms around Las Vegas NV produced wind gusts to 116 mph. The high winds damaged or destroyed about eighty- two aircraft at Henderson Sky Harbor Airport and McCarran International Airport, causing fourteen million dollars damage. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

 

1996: Unusually cool temperatures were recorded over parts of the northern Plains and Rockies. The temperature dropped to 36° at Saratoga and Shirley Basin, WY while Laramie and Rawlins, WY bottomed out at 39°. Record lows included: Pocatello, ID: 40°, Casper, WY: 44° and Valentine, NE: 46°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2001: Slow moving thunderstorms dumped 5 inches of rain in a two hour period over the area between Telluride and Placerville, CO. The torrential rains unleashed mudslides that covered Highway 145 with up to six feet of rock and mud. The road is the only route in and out of Telluride and it was closed for several hours. Several vehicles were swept from the road, some all the way to a river bed below the highway. Nine people had to be rescued. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2004: Unseasonably cool air settled from parts of the Mid-Atlantic into the Southeast. Record lows included: Asheville, NC: 49°, Augusta, GA: 52°, Roanoke, VA: 53°, Lynchburg, VA: 53°, Grand Junction, CO: 54°, Charlotte, NC: 55°, Greensboro, NC: 55°, (Ref. Additional Temperatures Listed On This Link)

2007: A tornado bounces across Staten Island and Brooklyn, New York, ripping off roofs and damaging dozens of buildings. The EF-2 twister hop-scotched through Brooklyn's Bay Ridge and Sunset Park neighborhoods around 6:30 am.

[WE GOT HIM]

2 hours ago, jm1220 said:

Down to 54 here-feels like fall. Unfortunately short lived. 

I love that early morning chill

[Sundog]

I briefly fell to 59 degrees this morning. Nice

[uofmiami]

54 in Muttontown & 55 in Syosset this morning.

[BxEngine]

80 and sunny somewhere just north of the bahamas in the atlantic….

[bluewave]

Parts of the region are running 56 to 1 for top ten warmest to coldest months since 2010.