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June 2025 Obs/Disco


Torch Tiger
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18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It’s a HHH pattern folks.

Deal With It

- Cosgrove 

I don't think it will be as HHH as you would like it to be.  It should be moderately above normal temps, but dewpoints are not going above mid 60's at most times in the extended term. Not seeing any sustained heat wave type stuff yet.  Does look dry in terms of rainfall. 

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2 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said:

I don't think it will be as HHH as you would like it to be.  It should be moderately above normal temps, but dewpoints are not going above mid 60's at most times. Not seeing any sustained heat wave type stuff yet.  Does look dry in terms of rainfall. 

With all due respect ... where are you seeing constraining factors on T or DP ?  

It isn't through conventional means, because from operational trends, to teleconnector/mass field correlations and back , the whole methodology has +2 ST DP and +1.5 SD T at this time, which in sensible terms is 91/73 type stuff ...roughly from D7 to 14 - but these time ranges are obviously negotiable.  

Course, we are talking still a week+ away.  If you are constraining things based on seasonal trend to bone warm pattern and verIfy a low-balled result?  okay.  LOL 

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3 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said:

I don't think it will be as HHH as you would like it to be.  It should be moderately above normal temps, but dewpoints are not going above mid 60's at most times. Not seeing any sustained heat wave type stuff yet.  Does look dry in terms of rainfall. 

Take those dews up. Plenty of 70+ coming starting late next week. 

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39 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Take those dews up. Plenty of 70+ coming starting late next week. 

There’s way too much taking model output and machine numbers verbatim. One look at that ridge and thicknesses from Thursday onward thru end of month shows high dews and steamy . Could be a day after a severe outbreak that dries a bit , but dews right back into 70’s after . It’s like when the charts are posted. Most know those aren’t correct and to add 5-8 degrees on at least 

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