June 2025 discussion-obs: Summerlike

[LibertyBell]

7 hours ago, Sundog said:

Barrier Islands on LI including southern Queens are all in the mid 60s while a few miles north it's around 80 or 81 degrees. 

on April 7, 2010 it was 67 in Long Beach and 87 at JFK lol.

 

[donsutherland1]

Tomorrow will be the hottest day so far in parts of the region. Parts of the region could reach 90° for their first time this year. Temperatures will remain above normal into the weekend when high temperatures will return to the 70s.

Showers and thundershowers are possible during the weekend. Rainfall amounts should generally be light except where scattered locations see heavier thunderstorms.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.2°C for the week centered around May 21. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.08°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.08°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through at least mid summer.

The SOI was +11.32 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.773 today.

 

[LibertyBell]

1 hour ago, steve392 said:

How confident are so. E that we'll get rain this Friday and weekend?  Trying to decide if I'm going to put fertilizer down or not. 

No rain Friday, it will be at least partly sunny on Friday

[jm1220]

Seems like highs were around 70-71 on the barrier islands, was 81-82 at my house. I’ve seen much bigger gradients this time of year-20 degrees or more. 

[LibertyBell]

3 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

 

Not sure about the re-analysis if any but here is another account

"It raked Norfolk with "undiminished violence" for 27 hours from the morning of the 3rd, as the storm passed by to the east. The wind came in "flaws". Trees were uprooted. At noon on the 4th, stores on the wharves were flooded up to five feet in depth. High winds howled through Washington, DC. Along with a cold rain, winds leveled crops. The storm then moved northeast past Nantucket on the 5th. An account of the storm was given by Ann Waller Tazewell, wife of the then governor of Virginia in a letter to her son. She describes the storm as such
"....The rain commenced on Friday morning (3rd), and continued pretty steadily all day, at night the wind blew so hard that this house rocked considerably. I was so much alarmed as to be unable to sleep but very little - I thought of my flowers, but could not expect anyone so much as to look after my cows or anything, as the rain fell in torrents, and the wind came in flaws, which made it like thunder yesterday (4th) the storm continued until five in the evening, there was a strong northwest wind all day, and the highest tide I ever saw in my life. The wind and tide together tore down all our enclosures at the other lot, upset our cow-house and then dashed it to pieces, tore up some of the wharf logs, upset the Temple there, and drifted it into the flower garden. We sat at the front windows witnessing the destruction all the time it was going on. Our front lot was two thirds covered by the tide. Some vessels that we saw pass rapidly by, were driven ashore at the Hospital Point (Portsmouth)........" Ann Tazewell later compares the storm to the great gale of September 1821 in this following passage: " ....Such a storm was never experienced here before, by anyone that I have heard speak of it. It is thought to have been far worse than the September gale of 1821. " Mrs. Tazewell's letter also mentions that they could not prepare dinner since the tide level was even with the kitchen floor. An account of the storm as given by the Norfolk and Portsmouth Herald described the storm as such. .....It is uncommon to hear of violent storms and hurricanes on any part of our extensive coast in the month of June; but we have to notice a visitation of stormy weather, which commenced about 9 o'clock on Friday night (3rd), rarely if ever equaled within the life span of the oldest inhabitant. The storm of the 3rd of September 1821 was perhaps more violent but it only lasted three or four hours, while this storm continued with undiminished violence, from the hour we have stated until 12 o'clock on Saturday night (4th), or about 27 hours. The wind at the commencement of the storm was northeast and so continued until about 12 o'clock on Saturday, when it began to haul gradually to the northwest and westward, and held up at southwest.... According to this account, the tides in this storm were higher than those in the September gale of 1821."

wow that 1821 gale hit both Norfolk and Long Island (hence the name).  I wonder where this made landfall on Long Island?

 

[LibertyBell]

21 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

models are still all over the place. my guess is we'll at least see something saturday afternoon/evening

that offshore storm is going to delay the frontal passage.  Saturday morning should be okay.

[LibertyBell]

1 minute ago, jm1220 said:

Seems like highs were around 70-71 on the barrier islands, was 81-82 at my house. I’ve seen much bigger gradients this time of year-20 degrees or more. 

Yesterday was hotter for me, I had the A/C on at 6 pm.  Today, no A/C needed.

[SACRUS]

 

Highs:

TEB: 89
PHL: 88
New Brnswck: 88
ACY: 86
BLM: 86
EWR: 86
TTN: 85
NYC: 83
LGA: 82
JFK: 76
ISP: 76

[Dark Star]

16 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

was probably an add on  you could select when the house was being built....we are probably one of the few that still use it-but I don't like to turn on the AC unless it's needed-like the fresh air better but when it's HHH it goes on.

Supposedly they are more energy efficient that AC, though is mainly only good at night, and if it is a "normal" summer's eve where the temperature actually drops below 80 degrees.

[bluewave]

Looks like the warmest readings today will be following the over the top pattern we have been getting since around 2018. Onshore flow for the south facing beaches. The warmest downslope flow in the Northeast will be found in Mass and NH. So the warmest  departures and perhaps actual temperatures will be heading to our north today. 

[Sundog]

I only got to 66 overnight and my temp has skyrocketed to 77 degrees currently. Eeww come on man

[SACRUS]

 

74 / 64 partly cloudy.  Warmest day since Aug 26th last year.  Pending on clouds the warm areas in C/N/NE-NJ get first 90s of the year otherwise mid - upper 80s and a few 89's with dewpoints in the mid 60s.   Warm Friday but clouds again limiting widespread 90s - enough sung gets some warmer spots to 90.  Front is slow and hangs around nearby Fri night - Mon AM wit clouds popup storms and showers but the previously forecast frontal passage with widespread storms has been muted with less than 0.75 and only scattered sponts picking that up with storms.  6/ 9 - 6/14   overall warmer than normal with trough back to our west in the GL/MW and onshore component along the coast should keep the opportunity for storms and limit highs shy of 90.   GFS lost its persistent long range tropical development.

Beyond there mid month 6/16  week heights building east and the heat is moving north and east looking overall warm - hotter that week.  

 

[SACRUS]

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Looks like the warmest readings today will be following the over the top pattern we have been getting since around 2018. Onshore flow for the south facing beaches. The warmest downslope flow in the Northeast will be found in Mass and NH. So the warmest  departures and perhaps actual temperatures will be heading to our north today. 

Clouds the caveat today.

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Looks like the warmest readings today will be following the over the top pattern we have been getting since around 2018. Onshore flow for the south facing beaches. The warmest downslope flow in the Northeast will be found in Mass and NH. So the warmest  departures and perhaps actual temperatures will be heading to our north today. 

Ended up not seeing an abrose jet event yesterday. Just a typical afternoon sea breeze. Looks similar today, maybe slightly stronger. 

[jm1220]

NWS has 88 here for the high, perhaps first 90 if the seabreeze isn’t too strong early on. Beaches probably won’t make it much over 70. 

[Sundog]

Still around 77 degrees. After a very quick rise temps have stagnated. It's pretty cloudy right now so I'm sure that played a part. 

[SACRUS]

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 95 (2021)
NYC: 99 (1925)
LGA: 94 (2021)
JFK: 90 (2010)


Lows:

EWR: 48 (1947)
NYC: 47 (1945)
LGA: 49 (1945)
JFK: 50 (2023)



Historical:
 

Posted June 5, 2024

 

Records:

 

Highs:

EWR: 95 (2021)
NYC: 99 (1925)
LGA: 94 (2021)
JFK: 90 (2010)


Lows:

EWR:  48 (1947)
NYC: 47 (1945)
LGA: 49 (1945)
JFK: 50 (2023)

Historical:

 

1805: A group of tornadoes tracked from southeast Missouri across the southern third of Illinois, and may also have moved into Indiana. These moved across the Mississippi River about 20 miles downstream from St. Louis, MO. Fish were reportedly "scattered all over the prairie" on the Illinois side of the river. Some pine tree tops, not native to that area of Illinois, were believed to have been blown in from at least 50 miles away. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1859 - Frost was reported from Iowa to New England. The temperature dipped to 25 degrees in New York State, and up to two inches of snow blanketed Ohio. The cold and snow damaged the wheat crop. (David Ludlum)

1908 - Helena MT was deluged with 3.67 inches of rain to establish their all-time 24 hour rainfall record. (4th-5th) (The Weather Channel)

1916 - A tornado struck the town of Warren AR killing 83 persons. There were 125 deaths that day in a tornado outbreak across Missouri and Arkansas. (David Ludlum)

1917 - Residents near Topeka KS reported disk-shaped hailstones six to ten inches in diameter, and two to three inches thick. The hailstorm was accompanied by a tornado. (The Weather Channel)

1925: Earliest 100° in Washington, DC. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA)

1945: Unusually cold air moved in to parts of the upper Midwest. Chicago, IL dropped to 37° after setting a record low the previous morning with 35° while Rockford, IL dropped to 35° on both mornings. Both 35 degree readings established June record lows. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1987 - International Falls, MN, dipped to a record low reading of 34 degrees during the morning. Williston, ND, and Glasgow, MT, reported record warm afternoon highs of 94 degrees. Major flooding was reported along the Guadelupe River in South Texas, with the water level at Cuero reaching 18 feet above flood stage. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Twenty cities in the south central and eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Asheville NC with a reading of 40 degrees. Fifteen cities in the north central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. The high of 108 degrees at Glasgow MT was a record for June. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from the Lower Mississippi Valley to the Southern Atlantic Coast during the day and into the night. Four tornadoes were reported, and there were 87 reports of large hail and damaging winds. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

 

1995: The Hurricane name was not retired in 1995 thus a different Hurricane Allison is named as the 2001 Hurricane Allison below. Hurricane Allison became the earliest hurricane on record to cross the Florida coast at when it came ashore in Taylor County at Apalachee Bay with 75 mph winds. Hurricane Allison crossed the coast near Alligator Point in the Florida Big Bend area at 0900z on the 5th. At landfall, maximum sustained winds were 69 mph with a minimum central pressure of 990 millibars. Maximum rainfall amounts were between 4 and 6 inches. Storm surge heights were estimated at 6 to 8 feet from Dixie through Wakulla counties. Total storm damage in Florida was estimated at $860,000 dollars. The 1995 Atlantic Hurricane Season went down in the record books as one of the busiest hurricane seasons since 1871. There were a total of 19 named storms, 11 of which reached hurricanes. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1998: An F1 tornado touched down near the town of New Hope, MS creating a path one mile long and 50 yards wide. 13 houses had major damage and another 129 homes had minor damage. 22 mobile homes were either damaged or destroyed. Damages were estimated near $250,000 dollars. Another F1 tornado created a path two miles long and 50 yards wide 10 miles southeast of Hattiesburg, MS. 45 people were injured and two people were killed. The two fatalities were both in automobiles which ran into falling trees or the trees fell on them. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

[Brian5671]

13 minutes ago, Sundog said:

Still around 77 degrees. After a very quick rise temps have stagnated. It's pretty cloudy right now so I'm sure that played a part. 

Still sunny here.  78 already.  TORCH!  Drying out too which is nice...a week of no rain

[jm1220]

3 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Still sunny here.  78 already.  TORCH!  Drying out too which is nice...a week of no rain

I’m happy we had the wet May. Bank what we can before we inevitably start drying out during summer. That might be starting-models don’t have much here for the next 10 days. 

[Sundog]

3 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Still sunny here.  78 already.  TORCH!  Drying out too which is nice...a week of no rain

Crazy how several days ago it looked like on and off rain for this weekend

[FPizz]

74, clouds clearing it seems

[bluewave]

40 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Ended up not seeing an abrose jet event yesterday. Just a typical afternoon sea breeze. Looks similar today, maybe slightly stronger. 

Tomorrow looks like a bigger Ambrose Jet day than today.

 

 

[psv88]

80 off a low of 61. Maybe we hit 85 today? Very tricky being mid island now to figure out how hot we get. Still north of LIE but cooler than areas north of here 

[jm1220]

Barrier islands in the mid 60s. Might be about as warm as they get since as the day goes on the seabreeze only strengthens.

[SACRUS]

 

Not nearly as sunny as yesterday - i counted 0 clouds the majority of the day.   Warmer start - slightly warmer 850 MB temps itll will be close the 90 degree mark  - warm regardless.   Wondwer how much breaks or clouds we have Sat - Sun.

 

[SACRUS]

 

SST Anomaly

 

 

[Brian5671]

MDR region cool-might inhibit some tropical formation this year if that holds...

[bluewave]

Latest Euro keeps the strongest heat this summer out West with a wetter pattern for us.

[SACRUS]

 

81 here seeing near or the same in C-N - NJ

[wishcast_hater]

3 hours ago, bluewave said:

Looks like the warmest readings today will be following the over the top pattern we have been getting since around 2018. Onshore flow for the south facing beaches. The warmest downslope flow in the Northeast will be found in Mass and NH. So the warmest  departures and perhaps actual temperatures will be heading to our north today. 

The colors used to represent the temperatures are ridiculous and misleading. It's an obvious ploy to make things look as if the world is on fire. Go back to a chart made 20 years ago and the color representations aren't nearly as extreme.