Met1985 Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago Im calling it. Winter is dead December the 19th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acc fan Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago I have just rearranged my closest back to summer attire since winter is canceled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 23 hours ago Author Share Posted 23 hours ago The last major winter storm in February or later during a weak to moderate La Nina was March 1 2008 with exactly what Eric Webb said- A bowling ball cut off upper low. There have been 7 weak to moderate La Ninas since then, none of them had major winter storms after January, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 4 hours ago, wncsnow said: I think the best question right now is, what can get the Pacific to calm down? As shown in the chart above, the PNA will be more strongly negative than the NAO and should win that contest as the main pattern driver. There looks to be a transient cooldown in late December but as of now, it wont last more than a few days. East Asia Mountain Torque event but she ain’t torquing right now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago The 12Z GFS has 6 days of the rest of Dec having a high of 70+ at KATL (12/24-29): 70, 73, 72, 70, 71, and 73. Granted, 2 of the 6 days on this barely make 70. So, getting 6 won’t be easy. Many models including earlier GFS runs don’t have 70+ on 12/29 with the 5 of 12/24-28 more common for the most. That being said, IF it were to actually occur, 6 days of 70+ at KATL within 12/20+ would obviously be a very impressive anomaly! How rare would that actually be? Extremely! It’s only occurred three times since 1878: -2021 (warmest 75) -2015 (warmest 77) -1984 (warmest 74) Needless to say, this will be very interesting to follow! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago I think there may be a little more hope for February this year with a fading Nina (possibly neutral by then) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 20 hours ago Author Share Posted 20 hours ago just gonna enjoy the old school weather local forecast Christmas music and reminisce back to when it did snow 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago Pain. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago Todays Euro Weeklies are looking better/pretty good for 1/12-2/1. See the main ENSO thread for maps/more details if interested. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 7 hours ago, BooneWX said: Pain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago It’s bad y’all but it’s good that’s it’s happening now than say 3-4 weeks from now. It will get better soon. Gonna have to wait about a week or two.. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 6 hours ago, Leesville Wx Hawk said: It’s bad y’all but it’s good that’s it’s happening now than say 3-4 weeks from now. It will get better soon. Gonna have to wait about a week or two. . The fact we avoided this last winter is impressive 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago A shred of optimism can be found in the overnight modeling but we’ve seen this quite a bit over the past week. I need more than a flash in the pan at 300+ hrs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Some of yall on here actually like we just didn't go through an impressive 3 week cold and some snow stretch. It's comical and im laughing. All you can do. What's the saying. This is the only weather you've got so enjoy it. Something like that. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 18 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Some of yall on here actually like we just didn't go through an impressive 3 week cold and some snow stretch. It's comical and im laughing. All you can do. What's the saying. This is the only weather you've got so enjoy it. Something like that. I loved the 3 week cold stretch! I’m still enjoying the cool/dry of yesterday and this weekend. Great for walking! Was down to mid 30s this AM. The impressive torch is progged to be most concentrated during 12/23-8 (and much of that period will still be pleasant with pretty low dewpoints) and with any later torchy days up in the air since good model skill doesn’t go out that far. Despite the warmup Charlotte will still likely end up NN for Dec. ATL likely slightly AN. RDU/GSO likely slightly BN. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago One thing I’ll say about the upcoming torch is that all will be forgotten and forgiven when there’s a band of 6-10” from ATL to Va beach and everywhere in between in mid January followed by single digits and then snow showers the next day 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted 42 minutes ago Share Posted 42 minutes ago Nationally, the hottest Christmas in modern history 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 7 minutes ago Share Posted 7 minutes ago 12z AIGFS has a Big Snowstorm for NC/VA Day 10&11 fwiw. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted 2 minutes ago Share Posted 2 minutes ago 15 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: Nationally, the hottest Christmas in modern history It will be historically warm but 2021 was close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted just now Share Posted just now 7 AM New Years Eve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now