ChescoWx Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 Some great weather over the next few days although with the winds today might be a bit tough on some allergy sufferers. Looks like shower chances return by Wednesday and could last through the rest of the week! Our wet year continues! Chester County Records for today: High 91 degrees Phoenixville (1941) / Low 21 degrees West Chester (1940) / Rain 2.28" Coatesville (1970) / Snow 2.5" Coatesville (1923) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 Some great weather over the next few daysRight. Tornado may drop on somebody today, but great weather coming, this. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 1 minute ago, Atomixwx said: Right. Tornado may drop on somebody today, but great weather coming, this. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Threat for any damaging or tornadic stronger storms will be near to north of I-80. The modeled line clearly weakens as it moves SE between I-80 and I-78. South of I-78 here in Chester County the storms or what's left of them will be showers at most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 2 hours ago, Jns2183 said: How have the Euro extended weeklies been lately? Here's through May. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk They performed absolutely horrifically this Winter at even 2 weeks out. Most Winters they were somewhat reliable or at least got the general theme of the pattern right out to week 3 or 4, but they were completely wrong this year. They have always been pretty unreliable at week 5 or 6 from what I’ve seen over the years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 They performed absolutely horrifically this Winter at even 2 weeks out. Most Winters they were somewhat reliable or at least got the general theme of the pattern right out to week 3 or 4, but they were completely wrong this year. They have always been pretty unreliable at week 5 or 6 from what I’ve seen over the years.We shall see. That's a pretty strong signal for plains severe along with NE/PA severe coming over the topSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 Party Sunny and 75 at 1:15pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 2 hours ago, ChescoWx said: Threat for any damaging or tornadic stronger storms will be near to north of I-80. The modeled line clearly weakens as it moves SE between I-80 and I-78. South of I-78 here in Chester County the storms or what's left of them will be showers at most. Our thread includes people who live in that area... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 75 and not a cloud in the sky. I feel like this is perfect recipe for severe wx this evening.Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 Our thread includes people who live in that area...Right. I live right on 80 pretty much...Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 Troegs in Hershey is serving "em up hard and fast today. 14 percenter on the menu. Canderson is in Texas otherwise I would be looking for him right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 Troegs in Hershey is serving "em up hard and fast today. 14 percenter on the menu. Canderson is in Texas otherwise I would be looking for him right now.What's the nameSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 29 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Troegs in Hershey is serving "em up hard and fast today. 14 percenter on the menu. Canderson is in Texas otherwise I would be looking for him right now. Perfect pregame stop. Enjoy the game. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 From the forecaster's discoThis cold front will bring an Enhanced (3/5) Risk of severe weather across central PA this evening. Hi-res model guidance continues to suggest convection to develop along this cold front and continue tracking across central PA later this afternoon and throughout the evening hours. Initial thoughts are that a broken line of storms will begin to impact the northern tier closer to the 19-20Z (3pm-4pm) timeframe with marginally severe conditions at the onset with damaging winds being the main hazard across this area. As this cold front approaches the Interstate 80 corridor, it will move into an area with increased instability, becoming more favorable for severe thunderstorms in the 21-22Z (5p-6p) timeframe. Around this timeframe, clusters of broken storms may organize into a narrow squall line with some potential for discrete modes near the surface trough. In an environment with favorable shear parameters and steep lapse rates at the low- and mid- levels, a couple of tornadoes and hail cannot be ruled out as this complex begins moving further to the south this evening, especially along and west of the I-99 corridor. Further to the east, slightly less shear will limit this potential but there is a non-zero chance of a small, weak tornado. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 From the forecaster's discoThis cold front will bring an Enhanced (3/5) Risk of severe weather across central PA this evening. Hi-res model guidance continues to suggest convection to develop along this cold front and continue tracking across central PA later this afternoon and throughout the evening hours. Initial thoughts are that a broken line of storms will begin to impact the northern tier closer to the 19-20Z (3pm-4pm) timeframe with marginally severe conditions at the onset with damaging winds being the main hazard across this area. As this cold front approaches the Interstate 80 corridor, it will move into an area with increased instability, becoming more favorable for severe thunderstorms in the 21-22Z (5p-6p) timeframe. Around this timeframe, clusters of broken storms may organize into a narrow squall line with some potential for discrete modes near the surface trough. In an environment with favorable shear parameters and steep lapse rates at the low- and mid- levels, a couple of tornadoes and hail cannot be ruled out as this complex begins moving further to the south this evening, especially along and west of the I-99 corridor. Further to the east, slightly less shear will limit this potential but there is a non-zero chance of a small, weak tornado. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using TapatalkDew points seem a bit low vs other enhanced daysSent from my SM-X210 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 1 hour ago, Jns2183 said: What's the name Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Triple Nator....Bourbon Barrel aged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 2 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: Our thread includes people who live in that area... Of course but not for the counties in the southern areas of the thread area...my thoughts were clearly all about Chester County PA as I very clearly always state! I am not commenting for those folks further to the West or North of Chesco...and never do. The area covered by this thread is too large and variable to make a blanket statement which I don't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 Ps-that have a spring version of mad elf called cordial elf. More choc taste. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: Perfect pregame stop. Enjoy the game. Bears have already clinched the regular season title so should be interesting to see what they put out there. Will just be good to enjoy the environment. Staying the night so no rush getting out either. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 Ps-that have a spring version of mad elf called cordial elf. More choc taste.I stick with my 9.5%abv beer like God intended. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 3 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: I stick with my 9.5%abv beer like God intended. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Cordial elf is below mad elf but not by much...10.4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 Cordial elf is below mad elf but not by much...10.4.I live real close to a giant and enjoy the mix and match 19,2oz of the big IPAsSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 Shes not much to look at yet, but I could she her exploding close to state college Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 Timing is pretty awful for my flight home tonight. Harrisburg won’t see hail but straight line winds are a real threat still there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 Central PA has been blue boxed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted April 14 Author Share Posted April 14 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0435.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 Central PA has been blue boxed. Wind has been worse today than when we had an advisory yesterday. Especially as the afternoon has gone on. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 SSW 25-40 guests. Maybe the big guests were worse yesterday but we seem to have had a 30+ guest every few minutes for hours at this pointSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 Watch hoisted Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoralRed Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 5:15p: Wind has picked up in Williamsport. Now W 28 G50. High was supposed to be 75 but went to 84. Dropped to 82 in last 15 minutes NWS noted air is drier than expected which may limit storms later. It has been a long time since we had big storms here and I have to admit I am not in the mood tonight for a lot of thunder and lightening. Enough Middle Eastern booms on the TV, for one thing. I saw on Twitter that Jordan took out about the same number of things we did. Good thing they came through. Anyway, I just checked and storms that had been on border are now about ready to drop into second row of counties which includes Lycoming. So whatever is coming will be here soon. Storm Warning just issued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 That’s a legit looking line if it holds lol… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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