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January 15-16 winter storm OBS


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1 hour ago, RU848789 said:

As of 11 pm, we're up to about 5/8" as another 1/4" fell the past hour. It's still 25F, but the snow has increased in intensity the last 10 minutes and it looks like that will continue for awhile, so hopefully we'll start doing better than 1/4" per hour.

And as of midnight we're up to 0.9", so another 1/4" or so in the last hour. Temp is down to 24F. Snowfall intensity remains a bit more than light, but not quite moderate with small, fine flakes, indicating we're not getting the best snow growth, with small dendrites/rods falling, so ratios are probably close to 10:1 if I had to guess.

Assuming we stay at 1/4" per hour overnight, we'd likely have about 2.5" by 6 am, which is when the coastal low is supposed to be taking over and the models (and mets) are saying intensity will increase, but also bring in more warm air aloft, probably changing our precip to sleet or freezing rain or plain rain by maybe 10 am - but if we can get 3-4 hours of 1/2" per hour snowfall (moderate rate), we could add another 2" to get to around 4". We'll see.  Interesting that Lee Goldberg has essentially the NJ TPK from Trenton to Ft. Lee as the 3" line with 3-5" NW of that line and 1-3" SE of it.  

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45 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

And as of midnight we're up to 0.9", so another 1/4" or so in the last hour. Temp is down to 24F. Snowfall intensity remains a bit more than light, but not quite moderate with small, fine flakes, indicating we're not getting the best snow growth, with small dendrites/rods falling, so ratios are probably close to 10:1 if I had to guess.

Assuming we stay at 1/4" per hour overnight, we'd likely have about 2.5" by 6 am, which is when the coastal low is supposed to be taking over and the models (and mets) are saying intensity will increase, but also bring in more warm air aloft, probably changing our precip to sleet or freezing rain or plain rain by maybe 10 am - but if we can get 3-4 hours of 1/2" per hour snowfall (moderate rate), we could add another 2" to get to around 4". We'll see.  Interesting that Lee Goldberg has essentially the NJ TPK from Trenton to Ft. Lee as the 3" line with 3-5" NW of that line and 1-3" SE of it.  

Got it, lol.

  • Haha 1
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39 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

1.8” in Levittown at midnight. May be closing in on 2” now but not going outside to check. 3 or 4” definitely seems manageable. All roads treated or not are snow covered around here. Definitely seems colder than was modeled.

Decent here...stuff moving in. Can't bitch. Batch moving in...

wass.jpg

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