ChescoWx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 A cloudy but mild weekend with today being the warmest day for quite a while - in fact while today will soar well into the 50's we may very well not see a 50 degree or warmer day until we get to March. There is a slight chance of showers today but the main storm on the horizon arrives on Monday night. We should see rain possibly changing to wet snow from NW to SE toward Tuesday morning. Records for today: High 62 (1960) / Low 13 below (1899) / Precipitation 2.28" (2010) / Snow 22.8" (2010) - this was day 2 of our 6th largest snowstorm in County history with the 26.8" of snow that fell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 10 Author Share Posted February 10 Took this pic a couple blocks from my humble Sun City abode this morning. The Bradshaw Mountains just north of the Valley got a decent snow overnight. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 And gfs stays very robust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, Wmsptwx said: And gfs stays very robust. Exactly…Warning snow from Harrisburg on to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Here is the 12z NAM precipitation. It cut back for the LSV on to the east & north. 6z top 12z bottom If we don't have rates, I don't believe it will snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 6 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: If we don't have rates, I don't believe it will snow. Agreed, we need something more like the GFS to bring the rates once we flip to have the chance of accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 I stand with my assumption this is an elevation event and anyone in any valley or not on a ridge gets no accumulation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Op run snow alert on the GFS for the PD weekend & just beyond. Lots of tracking in our future… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Canadian also has PD weekend coastal storm chance just further south & weaker at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 12z GEFS gets Warning snow to most of CTP including 7 to Harrisburg this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: 12z GEFS gets Warning snow to most of CTP including 7 to Harrisburg this run. OP hasn’t matched the GEFS in days, color me skeptical. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 34 minutes ago, canderson said: I stand with my assumption this is an elevation event and anyone in any valley or not on a ridge gets no accumulation I honestly wasn't giving this event any attention whatsoever until Thursday evening. I'm intrigued but not invested. I agree with you but it’s close enough to maintain my curiosity. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Ukie looks south, but Pivotal hasn't updated and Meteocentre.com only goes to 72hrs with limited info. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Just now, mitchnick said: Ukie looks south, but Pivotal hasn't updated and Meteocentre.com only goes to 72hrs with limited info. It’s pretty juicy on QPF 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Canadian days no snow for anyone lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: I honestly wasn't giving this event any attention whatsoever until Thursday evening. I'm intrigued but not invested. I agree with you but it’s close enough to maintain my curiosity. You summed up my position perfectly. I’m not expecting anything noteworthy (perhaps an inch or two if we get lucky) but still keeping a loose eye on the modeling in case things start to break more favorably as we get inside of 48 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 4 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Ukie looks south, but Pivotal hasn't updated and Meteocentre.com only goes to 72hrs with limited info. Snow depth is all I can get for now. It's south. https://weather.us/model-charts/gbr/pennsylvania/snow-depth-in/20240213-2100z.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 10 minutes ago, paxpatriot said: I have found that SV map legend is off by 1 category so 4" is 2" on other sites, 6" is 4", etc. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 @Blizzard of 93do you have a weather bell or weather models acct to post the drunk uncle ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Just now, DDweatherman said: @Blizzard of 93do you have a weather bell or weather models acct to post the drunk uncle ukie Unfortunately no, WB just has very limited Ukie maps-no snow maps. I rely on others for the Ukie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 I’d pay cold hard cash for the Ukie solution. Could it be right this time…PLEASE 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Lol everything from too warm to smoking cirrus, models stay hilarious. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 5 minutes ago, GrandmasterB said: I’d pay cold hard cash for the Ukie solution. Could it be right this time…PLEASE These models feel like trying to have a chess game on a ship in the middle of a hurricane. Pieces just keep on moving around all over the place. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Looks like Euro is pretty far north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 12z European was quite warm. Surface temps mid-30s and upper levels marginal south of I-80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Yep, that’s it for the LSV folks near the M/D. Maybe PD storm will do something here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, DDweatherman said: Yep, that’s it for the LSV folks near the M/D. Maybe PD storm will do something here. It’s not over yet just because of 1 Euro Op run…. If this look holds until 12z Monday, then it’s over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Yep, that’s it for the LSV folks near the M/D. Maybe PD storm will do something here. As blizz would say, see you at 18z. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Small differences the the LSV couldn’t afford this run took away much of our snow. The initial low almost gets to the PA border this run & then the coastal hugs the coast near Atlantic City, NJ this run instead off developing off of OCMD last run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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