boo radley Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Lock it up lsv boys, have a feeling this is in a good spot for you to get high end advisory/low end warning event. Let it stay south until 12z Sunday so it has wiggle room to correct north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 When red means cold (and this is a new map) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: When red means cold (and this is a new map) People are going to be shocked by the cold. Most people are not used to real cold anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 1 minute ago, anotherman said: People are going to be shocked by the cold. Most people are not used to real cold anymore. Agreed. We did have it last year around Christmas and now everyone talks about that time as if it was the worst in the history of the world. Ha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Agreed. We did have it last year around Christmas and now everyone talks about that time as if it was the worst in the history of the world. Ha. That was pretty brief. If we get a prolonged stretch with legit cold air, there will be problems. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 5 minutes ago, anotherman said: That was pretty brief. If we get a prolonged stretch with legit cold air, there will be problems. I lost one of my outdoor pipes which I had drained but not enough apparently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I lost one of my outdoor pipes which I had drained but not enough apparently. I lost one the year before and it wasn't even that cold in 21/22. Crummy late 70's houses. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I lost one of my outdoor pipes which I had drained but not enough apparently. That froze our SUV’s rear hatch shut. Had never happened before. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 The EC must be rolling, internet activity out of Marysville has increased with most characters being F5 refreshes, 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boo radley Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Lol b93 on it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 19 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The EC must be rolling, internet activity out of Marysville has increased with most characters being F5 refreshes, A lot of refreshing for very little snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 There are the two pieces of energy not "in sync" again..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Euro went towards the other models. Baby steps.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 My interpretation, subject to be totally wrong, where we had a piece of energy working to phase/pull back the first piece before, it is now buried in the gulf and the first vort is free to go....as I said a week ago I also worry about this scenario in not setting up a 50/50 low for us. If the EC lets that first vort fully escape and go too far East, it sets up a faster relax period in mid to late Jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Festus Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Euro 1"ish for LSV. So all combined model output is pretty much the typical 1" - 12" forecast 4 days out. Standard. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Let's see what the Euro has for the 20th. Probably a blizzard only to pull it back to a dusting-1" 3 or 4 runs later. Nah, it never does that kind of cr@p. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Let's see what the Euro has for the 20th. Probably a blizzard only to pull it back to a dusting-1" 3 or 4 runs later. Nah, it never does that kind of cr@p.What's the NBM look likeSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 6 minutes ago, Festus said: Euro 1"ish for LSV. So all combined model output is pretty much the typical 1" - 12" forecast 4 days out. Standard. I think it does this until Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Euro looks big for the 20th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 6 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: What's the NBM look like Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Posted earlier, but remember it's slow to change because a lot of info is prior cycle model runs, but not all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 18 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Euro went towards the other models. Baby steps. . Indeed, Euro was basically nothing near us at 0z to now up to 2 inches in parts of the LSV. Good baby step towards other guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 5 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Euro looks big for the 20th. Yes, Euro is onboard for the 19/20th. Lots of upside potential with this one due to the pattern. Euro agrees with GFS & Canadian on this threat. Snow on snow chance next week. Snow map is just for the late week 20th storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 In reviewing my handbook…. I’ll take the Canadian for Tuesday & the Euro for next Friday! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Finally, the right UK Snow Depth panel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 So we expecting 1-24” next week makes perfect sense 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Festus Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Pretty remarkable that 49 out of 50 states has a NWS product(s) issued (yes, AK and HI have something). Guess Arizona is the place to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Finally, the right UK Snow Depth panel Thanks, but this will be a cold storm with good ratios, so I don’t think depth maps will be ideal for this type of event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 The 12z EPS definitely ticked back west & now gets “blue” back into parts of Lancaster. The 6z run barely had blue on the coast of NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 12 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Thanks, but this will be a cold storm with good ratios, so I don’t think depth maps will be ideal for this type of event. That map is one of the best presentations of snow for the LSV right now. Maybe only eclipsed by the CMC. Euro, Icon, GFS lower. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Good post by @psuhoffman on late January & beyond… “The "other side" of whatever slight warm up we get is now on the GFS and its wicked cold. This is much closer to a Feb 2003, 2015 look than 2010 which is fine, just a different way to win. The ideal progression would be that dumps the cold back down...then the NAO tanks again with cold trapped under it. That's how we roll through into March with threat after threat. And it’s actually what the guidance suggests. “ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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