dwagner88 Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 Backtracking to the freeze damage conversation, I moved into a newly constructed house last fall with new landscaping. Of the 10 shrubs that were planted, only 4 remain visibly alive. 2 others have very little foliage, and the remaining 4 appear quite dead. I have also seen totally dead magnolia trees around town. Not sure if that's related. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 21, 2023 Author Share Posted June 21, 2023 Temps in the 60s for highs two days in a row. Almost a chilly breeze this evening on NE winds. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 2 hours ago, dwagner88 said: Backtracking to the freeze damage conversation, I moved into a newly constructed house last fall with new landscaping. Of the 10 shrubs that were planted, only 4 remain visibly alive. 2 others have very little foliage, and the remaining 4 appear quite dead. I have also seen totally dead magnolia trees around town. Not sure if that's related. It’s truly unbelievable how many dead trees & shrubs are throughout TN. Many started coming out then just stopped. My monkey grass has even struggled this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 Evidently we are not the only ones....disco out of Great Falls, MT. We had 2 locations yesterday (June 21, 2023) break their low temperature record! Cut Bank whose previous record was 34°F in 1983. The new record is 31°F. Great Falls whose previous record was 37°F in 1942, 1995, and 1997. The new record is 33°F. Just looking at the years, I don't see a ton of commonalities. The Mountain West was really warm earlier this month. However, the parade of constant "cooler" air masses finally backed into their area. While those temps are not uncommon at higher elevations, those are cold for lower elevations out there. I once saw 5" of snow during mid-June in West Yellowstone. Rolled in off Lion's Head like one of those old dust storm picks from the Dust Bowl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 22, 2023 Author Share Posted June 22, 2023 64 degrees with a steady rain as 4pm approaches on the second day of solar summer. I would guess this is close to low max temp. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 22, 2023 Author Share Posted June 22, 2023 At this time last year we were so dry we were having near desert level temp spreads. Lows in the 40s the 21st and 22nd but highs in the 90s. The last time we had a high in the 60s in June before this year was 2015 I think and that was early month. We had several 71s and 72s. But 60s for highs were uncommon. 40s for lows in June happen pretty frequently. I know we had a low 70s day in July fairly recently but I can't remember if we pulled off any 60s for highs in July. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsty2001 Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 Not sure about other areas but at least in Mosheim the grass is green and vegetation is lush, while we haven't had a ton of rain it's been fairly consistent 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 24, 2023 Author Share Posted June 24, 2023 I see the new drought monitor came out, after a week of soaking rain, things didn't change across the area. Kinda surprised by that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matt9697 Posted June 24, 2023 Share Posted June 24, 2023 13 hours ago, John1122 said: I see the new drought monitor came out, after a week of soaking rain, things didn't change across the area. Kinda surprised by that. We got rain several times but really wasn't any appreciable amount Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 24, 2023 Author Share Posted June 24, 2023 5 hours ago, matt9697 said: We got rain several times but really wasn't any appreciable amount I had over 4 inches from Sunday to Thursday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 Potential pattern adjustment upcoming....the TX heat ridge may send some heat eastward at times during the next 2-4 weeks. Cooler air masses should blunt the effects some, but summer is just about here in regards to temps. It wasn't going to be denied! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 It has been hugely delayed in it's arrival. Still no 90 degree reading IMBY this year. That streak looks to come to an end on Thursday with a high of 94 predicted for KCHA. I typically run 2-4 degrees cooler. We almost made it to July 1 without seeing 90. I can't ever remember that happening before. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 Summer of 2000...I think that is the year that it just stayed nice all summer long. Maybe hit 90 3x at TRI which is maybe the least I can remember. Looks like it was a weak La Nina year - normally those summers are HOT. Matthew, there is a year where the wx didn't fit the SST analog. I prob should check the PDO. Check that, I did just check the PDO. Looks like the PDO is about to shift to a negative phase which is good for us. That might correlate to cooler temps. The summer of 2000 had a descending and -PDO. As Jeff noted, the current PDO has been stubborn positive. If we go negative this month or next, maybe there is something there. That PDO set-up is likely the cause of the perpetual trough out west during the past several winters. As with any index, there aren't overly effective without others in combo. My best winter is 14-15 which was a strongly positive PDO. That said, some really nice -PDO winters on this grid. https://www.daculaweather.com/4_pdo_index.php But there is another summer that started off awesome like this one....and then the TX heat ridge built into TN(I think), and we roasted. I don't know if I want to look that one up! LOL. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted June 27, 2023 Share Posted June 27, 2023 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted June 27, 2023 Share Posted June 27, 2023 5 hours ago, Windspeed said: Any pay sites have access to this yet OR is this the actually Euro? In other words, is there a ECMWF-IFS and also a ECMWF....or is it all under the same model? I wouldn't mind giving it a look if someone has free site access or if I can sign up for a free-trial at a pay site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted June 28, 2023 Share Posted June 28, 2023 The smoke from the wildfires is really bad today in middle Tennessee. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 28, 2023 Author Share Posted June 28, 2023 1 hour ago, Matthew70 said: The smoke from the wildfires is really bad today in middle Tennessee. Same here yesterday and today. Extremely hazy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 28, 2023 Author Share Posted June 28, 2023 Wild to see heat index forecasts of up to 115 for the mid-state and western parts of the area too. That's rare air in the worst way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 Yeah, the heat is gonna be rippin' for the next few days. Seems like TX heat almost always finds a way into our area when it builds there. The good thing is that yet another anomalous cool air mass is in the 6-10 day range. But for now, the furnace is set on high. @Holston_River_Rambler, did we get a report on your trip out west? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 It appears today the heat will be muted here in middle Tennessee as the storm complex is making its way here. One less day of heat I will take. The 100 degree day that was forecasted tomorrow is now only 97 forecasted here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 29, 2023 Author Share Posted June 29, 2023 Not sure if the next MCS will reach here or not. I only got a shower off the stuff moving over today. It's potent right now to the NW. The clouds and shower did significantly hold temps down today. Was predicted to be 91 a couple days ago, but we only hit 78 today. Forecast was 94 tomorrow, now it's 87. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 One more day without a 90F reading, and TRI will pitch a shutout. Temp tomorrow is supposed to be 89-90F....gonna be close. Warmest temp at TRI was on June 3rd with 89. IMO, we just dodged about four weeks of summer. In my book, that is a win. John, I like that kind of temperature bust. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 1 hour ago, John1122 said: Not sure if the next MCS will reach here or now. I only got a shower off the stuff loving over today. It's potent right now to the NW. The clouds and shower did significantly hold temps down today. Was predicted to be 91 a couple days ago, but we only hit 78 today. Forecast was 94 tomorrow, now it's 87. Short range models are not doing a good job,looks like its headed towards East Tn tho,we got some good storms here from the first MCS,wind and lots of rain and some rumbles 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 1 hour ago, Carvers Gap said: One more day without a 90F reading, and TRI will pitch a shutout. Temp tomorrow is supposed to be 89-90F....gonna be close. Warmest temp at TRI was on June 3rd with 89. IMO, we just dodged about four weeks of summer. In my book, that is a win. John, I like that kind of temperature bust. Still holding on here too. We hit 89.2. A well timed shower or two over the next few days could mean mid July for the first 90 degree day. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted June 30, 2023 Share Posted June 30, 2023 Will it happen? TRI has gone a whopping 24 straight days with below normal temps. We have yet to hit 90 this year. As Wagner noted, if we stay below 90 today, the month of June is a shutout for 90 degree temps. It is going to be a close call today at TRI as to whether both of those streaks continue. An MCS is rolling through now at 5:50AM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 30, 2023 Author Share Posted June 30, 2023 Heavy rain and tons of thunder with this mcs. It's crazy how many of these are firing. Usually seems like theres 1 per day. This is the third one in about 18 hours. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted June 30, 2023 Share Posted June 30, 2023 Sitting at 73 here at midday. Lots of rain this morning. We had some thunder, but nothing like what points west did(John and Knoxville area). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 30, 2023 Author Share Posted June 30, 2023 Clouds are breaking up some here, 69 degrees, high is now predicted to be 85. Latest HRRR has another round moving in around or just after midnight. But these are notoriously hard to predict. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 30, 2023 Author Share Posted June 30, 2023 Looks like 82 is going to do it for today. Was supposed to be the hottest day of the year. My air conditioning didn't even kick on until 3pm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted June 30, 2023 Share Posted June 30, 2023 1 hour ago, John1122 said: Looks like 82 is going to do it for today. Was supposed to be the hottest day of the year. My air conditioning didn't even kick on until 3pm. We are at 97..HI 113 was gonna go walk in the park earlier,my body said stay in the AC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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