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March Medium/Long Range Thread: The Empire Strikes Back


stormtracker
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if the gfs dosent cave tonight with new data--it probably will end up being right

Yea something has to give soon…. They’re still not even in the same ballpark. A euro/cmc type evolution at least gives NW a chance depending on strength of lead wave, gfs evolution is lights out.


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Just now, stormtracker said:

Well this is different.  At H5, it has a northern stream S/W diving into the picture just north of the Dakotas, directly in line with our H5 closed off vort centered over NE

Ffs this better not disrupt our block and potential window for further events.

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Just now, stormtracker said:

GFS is so vastly different from other models.  Either it's going to score a serious coup or it's smoking crack

It’s taking so long we might just see a whole new solution man

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To borrow a Cosgrove-ism, the gyre is now stuck, just spinning centered over MN..was a vertical egg, now it's a horizontal one

Have to imagine once gfs has enough new data ingested we’ll see that evolution shifttowards the rest of guidance. Not saying it will result in a snowstorm as we saw with cmc/euro, but at least more of a shot than a cold front lol


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1 hour ago, Chris78 said:

If we need a perfect El Nino to get snow in the mid Atlantic we're screwed lol.

We don't really know...I mean the last two la ninas were median snow which is what they've kinda always been minus 1995-96 and 99-2000. This year seems like an anomaly for a nina...So I'd like to think we can at least hit median in ninas. Now neutrals...the last couple were so awful I'm not sure they work anymore, lol

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