pasnownut Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 8 minutes ago, canderson said: I simply don’t buy the GFS for Friday. Temps are incredibly marginal. I might see snowflakes but expect no accumz. For Friday, as its currently depicted, marginal and mid march does not bode well for lower 1/3 of state. Like I said, mood snows that whiten the ground is better than nothing. For Monday dealeo, I just saw the cmc and would be giddy if we could hold that look. Its really about as optimal as it could get here...but thats me also wishing it to be the correct solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 9 minutes ago, canderson said: True. I just don’t trust Miller Bs. I can’t recall the last time we didn’t bust from one. We needed a quicker transfer for Friday to work. Primary to Central Ohio is the kill shot for us southers. Without the blocking, it'd be headed for Chicago like most others this year. At least its giving some in our area a chance at winter precip. And even if we could have gotten the quicker transfer.....you have a dreaded dryslot, which a storm being so close (even if it was under us a bit more) - would likely result in the Susqu skip zone as coastal takes over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 8, 2023 Author Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: Always something to make me happy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: We needed a quicker transfer for Friday to work. Primary to Central Ohio is the kill shot for us southers. Without the blocking, it'd be headed for Chicago like most others this year. At least its giving some in our area a chance at winter precip. Many of us will do well on Friday, but south of the turnpike could struggle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 So...my period of interest is bringing everyone snow but me? That ain't supposed to be the drill here! LOL 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Read as you desire and have time: https://www.millersville.edu/weathercenter/forecasts/weather-discussion.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 11 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Read as you desire and have time: https://www.millersville.edu/weathercenter/forecasts/weather-discussion.php He did not want to steal from you so pipeline = ITT#'s. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 8, 2023 Author Share Posted March 8, 2023 14 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Read as you desire and have time: https://www.millersville.edu/weathercenter/forecasts/weather-discussion.php I like it everything on the table! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 8, 2023 Author Share Posted March 8, 2023 Snow at 54 all of LSV on the EURO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 49 minutes ago, canderson said: True. I just don’t trust Miller Bs. I can’t recall the last time we didn’t bust from one. Neither do I, particularly ones that gain this type of latitude without a sufficiently cold antecedent airmass in place. To say nothing of the surface temperature issues that are going to act as a big deterrent to anything falling as white staying white. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Low pressure going over Clarion and it's snowing in State College, let alone Harrisburg? How many times has that happened?Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 8, 2023 Author Share Posted March 8, 2023 3-4" all of LSV storm 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 8, 2023 Author Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 minute ago, Atomixwx said: Low pressure going over Clarion and it's snowing in State College, let alone Harrisburg? How many times has that happened? Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk It's March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 minute ago, paweather said: 3-4" all of LSV storm 1. A bit quicker transfer to the east coast it seems. South PA is right on the line between good snows and no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 24 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Read as you desire and have time: https://www.millersville.edu/weathercenter/forecasts/weather-discussion.php That's pretty much what I was trying to convey in my post a little while back. He just did it better and with a lot more science backing it. I'll let Elliott have this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 2 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: Low pressure going over Clarion and it's snowing in State College, let alone Harrisburg? How many times has that happened? Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk It is in the process of transferring so there could be a case made for it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 39 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Many of us will do well on Friday, but south of the turnpike could struggle. We'll see. Temps for the best panel of precip says that may be further north than Tpike. You can likely add a couple deg for this as is often the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Euro has sig (over 1") snow well into the MA due to the overnight arrival time down there (or near morning). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 5 minutes ago, paweather said: 3-4" all of LSV storm 1. Large areas of the LSV that do not reach 3" on pivotal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Large areas of the LSV that do not reach 3" on pivotal. Definitely NOT 3-4" across the LSV from what I see on Pivotal...many areas yes, but again to say "all of the LSV" is just not accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Map in question: (maybe more falls after this @paweather) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Storm 2 to start is a disorganized mass of precip travelling Werst to East on the Euro. Light mix/snow up into parts of PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 At 120 the precip shield gains a bit of a CCB look as some of the pa mix turns into snow. Ends up being about 1-3" of accums for much of PA including the a good bit of the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Climbs the coast and deepens down to 976 and is a nice snow for NE PA and interior NE. A New York Masher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Here’s your storm 1 on euro . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Light to Moderate snow rotates back into much of PA Tue AM as the bomb come son shore near Mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Climbs the coast and deepens down to 976 and is a nice snow for NE PA and interior NE. A New York Masher. Euro actually deepens the low right off the NC coast and moves slowly up the coast. Verbatim it's really close to a much bigger outcome, especially for eastern PA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 3 minutes ago, anthonyweather said: Here’s your storm 1 on euro . That is part of the continued confusion...the WB almost always have more than the Pivotal maps. That and Kuch vs. 10-1 sometimes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Storm 2Ccb under deepening, many solutions gonna come in the next few days. One storm at a time . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 All said and done, ITT is 6-10" and Canderson 9-12" over the two storms on this Euro run at 10:1 on Pivotal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now