Iceresistance Posted March 27, 2022 Share Posted March 27, 2022 Spring is coming up on Y'all, & fast! On Thursday/Day 5, a severe risk will likely continue eastward into the Mid-Atlantic/Southeast States, including the potential for fast-moving low-topped storms capable of wind damage in the Mid-Atlantic region. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 27, 2022 Share Posted March 27, 2022 1 hour ago, Iceresistance said: Spring is coming up on Y'all, & fast! On Thursday/Day 5, a severe risk will likely continue eastward into the Mid-Atlantic/Southeast States, including the potential for fast-moving low-topped storms capable of wind damage in the Mid-Atlantic region. I know what you're talking about, but Spring's already been here, and now we have to get all our emerging plant life frozen over the next 3 nights. 22F forecast for here tonight. Wtf, know what I'm sayin? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 28, 2022 Author Share Posted March 28, 2022 No change in placement of the Slight Risk since Yesterday, this is the SPC Discussion on this: Broad cyclonic flow is expected to be in place across the CONUS on D4/Thursday morning. Several shortwave troughs will be embedded within this larger upper trough, with the lead wave expected to move from the upper OH Valley northeastward through the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast early during the day. Another wave will follow quickly in the wake of the first, moving across the OH Valley and Mid-Atlantic. The evolution of this second wave will encourage the eastward progression of a cold front through the Mid-Atlantic. Modest buoyancy and strong wind fields support the potential for damaging wind gusts with storms along and ahead of this front. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted March 29, 2022 Share Posted March 29, 2022 SPC SWDY3 has the CWA in Marginal Risk but the southern portions in Slight Risk - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 Just read in Mt. Holly's AFD and noting that SPC's SWDY2 has gotten a bit more bullish putting much of the CWA in the Slight Risk for severe - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 Any tornado threat expected? Or mostly just chance of strong storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 12 hours ago, mattinpa said: Any tornado threat expected? Or mostly just chance of strong storms? Hopefully and softball size hail, depends on how much sun we receive this afternoon. But probably receive the standard blast of wind, downpour and possibly some thunder/lightning. Some areas more severe than others... 43F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 Some progged timing by Mt. Holly on the storms today - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 4 hours ago, Birds~69 said: Hopefully and softball size hail, depends on how much sun we receive this afternoon. But probably receive the standard blast of wind, downpour and possibly some thunder/lightning. Some areas more severe than others... 43F Why would you want a tornado? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 31, 2022 Author Share Posted March 31, 2022 Enhanced Risk in place for Eastern Pennsylvania, here we go. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 One thing is for sure, the wind is starting to crank, 68F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 SPC has the Severe Thunderstorm Watches up - Quote Severe Thunderstorm Watch SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 89 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 415 PM EDT THU MAR 31 2022 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 89 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NJC003-005-007-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-033-035- 037-039-041-010400- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0089.220331T2015Z-220401T0400Z/ NJ . NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BERGEN BURLINGTON CAMDEN ESSEX GLOUCESTER HUDSON HUNTERDON MERCER MIDDLESEX MONMOUTH MORRIS OCEAN PASSAIC SALEM SOMERSET SUSSEX UNION WARREN $$ Quote Severe Thunderstorm Watch SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 89 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 415 PM EDT THU MAR 31 2022 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 89 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NJC003-005-007-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-033-035- 037-039-041-010400- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0089.220331T2015Z-220401T0400Z/ NJ . NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BERGEN BURLINGTON CAMDEN ESSEX GLOUCESTER HUDSON HUNTERDON MERCER MIDDLESEX MONMOUTH MORRIS OCEAN PASSAIC SALEM SOMERSET SUSSEX UNION WARREN $$ Quote Severe Thunderstorm Watch SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 89 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 415 PM EDT THU MAR 31 2022 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 89 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS PAC011-017-025-029-045-077-089-091-095-101-010400- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0089.220331T2015Z-220401T0400Z/ PA . PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BERKS BUCKS CARBON CHESTER DELAWARE LEHIGH MONROE MONTGOMERY NORTHAMPTON PHILADELPHIA $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 And the earlier rare "Enhanced Risk" for just west of Philly metro - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 Mt. Holly (Watch coverage) - Not sure how unstable it will be here because at least where I am, the sun never came out... but I did touch 70 earlier (just before 2:30 pm). It's currently overcast and 68 with dp 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 I was wondering about the instability too. Looks like there was some clearing in central PA on the visible sat while we’re socked in. But last summer we had that severe event that produced the tornadoes in lower Bucks with no sun that day. Just wondering if there are any similarities to today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 6 minutes ago, JTA66 said: I was wondering about the instability too. Looks like there was some clearing in central PA on the visible sat while we’re socked in. But last summer we had that severe event that produced the tornadoes in lower Bucks with no sun that day. Just wondering if there are any similarities to today. I don’t think so (a tornado watch would be out), but I am no expert on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 31, 2022 Author Share Posted March 31, 2022 There is a tornado report from earlier today in Western Pennsylvania near Belknap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 Getting dark out there. Out like a lion. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 1 hour ago, Iceresistance said: There is a tornado report from earlier today in Western Pennsylvania near Belknap Thankfully not seeing much in the way of rotation out this way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 Wow. A little line just erupted out of nowhere over the city. Currently windy with rain and 64 with dp 61. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 Well the "pop up" round one line gave me 0.22" of rain. The main event is still back over Lancaster county. Currently misty and 62 with dp 62. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 Line looks like it got stronger after the mountains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 All the thunder and lightning around Reading just kind of... stopped? We're getting fringed by the heaviest rain, too. Hoping the main line that's still moving east won't dissolve like everything else. Sheesh, what gives? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 Appears to be a dud down our way (unless it ignites)...much more to N/NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 18 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Appears to be a dud down our way (unless it ignites)...much more to N/NW. Not really. Those cells near Morgantown are heading straight our way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 Just now, hazwoper said: Not really. Those cells near Morgantown are heading straight our way And severe just lifted over nearly all of SEPA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 Here we go - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 Quote Severe Thunderstorm Warning Severe Thunderstorm Warning PAC011-017-029-077-091-010145- /O.NEW.KPHI.SV.W.0016.220401T0047Z-220401T0145Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 847 PM EDT Thu Mar 31 2022 The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southeastern Berks County in eastern Pennsylvania... Southeastern Lehigh County in eastern Pennsylvania... Montgomery County in southeastern Pennsylvania... Northwestern Bucks County in southeastern Pennsylvania... Chester County in southeastern Pennsylvania... * Until 945 PM EDT. * At 846 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Wyomissing to near Churchtown to near Strasburg to near Wakefield, moving northeast at 50 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damage to roofs, siding, trees, and power lines is possible. * Locations impacted include... Reading, West Chester, Norristown, Pottstown, Phoenixville, Lansdale, West Norriton, East Norriton, Coatesville, Emmaus, Westtown, Wyomissing, Quakertown, Perkasie, Doylestown, Byram, Downingtown, Souderton, Bedminster and Kennett Square. This includes the following highways... Pennsylvania Turnpike between mile markers 296 and 332. Northeast Extension between mile markers 21 and 52. Interstate 76 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 327 and 329. Interstate 78 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 61 and 63. Interstate 176 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 1 and 11. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. In addition damaging winds, frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with some of these storms. Move indoors immediately. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. && LAT...LON 3976 7606 3983 7604 3987 7599 3995 7600 4004 7593 4011 7594 4014 7588 4025 7605 4028 7604 4058 7541 4054 7533 4055 7531 4046 7508 4040 7504 4041 7500 4011 7530 4004 7541 3984 7564 3972 7612 TIME...MOT...LOC 0046Z 237DEG 45KT 4026 7596 4010 7596 3996 7613 3975 7622 HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH $$ Gorse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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