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Upstate/Eastern New York-Springtime?


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Current conditions at

Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport (KSYR)

Lat: 43.11°NLon: 76.1°WElev: 420ft.
bkn.png

Mostly Cloudy

95°F

35°C

Humidity 37%
Wind Speed SW 13 mph
Barometer 29.66 in (1003.5 mb)
Dewpoint 65°F (18°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index 97°F (36°C)
Last update 20 Jul 3:54 pm EDT
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9 hours ago, DeltaT13 said:

These are all relevant concerns and I do see dark times ahead for a lot of the globe.  I don't think we will skate through this without any ramifications here in WNY, but I just think our area is extremely well positioned to to ride this out in the next few decades with little tangible damage in our own backyards at least.  That doesn't mean we won't feel the reverberations of large scale global concerns, but at least we shouldn't be feeling massive water restrictions (or likely any restrictions) or rolling blackouts, etc.  

Your other concerns about agriculture are much more interesting and potentially unfounded.  The way I've seen technology advance in just the last 20 years is nearly mind boggling.  I have to assume that we will find ways to basically produce food on a synthetic/chemical level by the year 2100.  All proteins, carbs, etc will likely be lab produced and far superior to anything we currently have. Raising livestock will eventually be completely unnecessary.  I know it sounds kooky, but think replicator type stuff from star trek.  And I'm sure we will have mastered indoor gardening on a scale that is unimaginable.  I'm thinking massive skyscrapers or entire cities producing food on scales that would dwarf what we do now, all climate controlled and extremely efficient in regards to water use.  There is also the possibility of a massive breakthrough in energy production that would then allow us to build massive carbon collection plants and desalinization plants.  I think the next 20-30 years will be the hardest but I'm very hopeful that technology will help us fight our way out of this climate predicament in enough time.   Let's just hope we don't have something far outside of our control like a massive kill shot from our sun that wipes us out... 

Klaus Schwab and the World Economic Forum would like to derail your plans for western New York to become a climate refuge. They are promoting an MIT plan to create a Brazil-sized raft of "space bubbles" to blot out about 1.8% of the sun's energy to offset global warming. If something like this comes to fruition, western New York may cool and be 1.8% darker.

 

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Apparently some severe storms heading directly my way. I was surprised to hear thunder wake me up, as I wasn't expecting storms.

Stupid Saharacuse is still reporting 84 degrees at 2:30 in the morning. Such a ridiculous place. The south winds off the hills to the south combined with the UHI create this oven microclimate. Warmest report in the east and currently warmer here than New Orleans, Houston, Tampa, Orlando, and Miami!

 

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Syracuse is already at the forecasted high of 87. The temp is more in line with the source of heat currently found in the Hudson Valley as opposed to all the other locations in Western and Central NY, which are in the 70s and low 80s. Perhaps crack 90 once again before the slooow moving "front" gets here.

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8 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

July Temps

BUF: +0.6
ROC: -1.0
WAT: -0.1
SYR: +1.6

BING: +0.7

 

I swear Hancock has the thermometer in an inaccurate location. In June, I thought, "Finally, Syracuse isn't reporting temps several degrees above everyone else and other stations." They were on par with others in reference to below average.

Now we are back to the several degrees above. On wunderground, the sites surrounding the airport are often several degrees lower. 

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2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

I swear Hancock has the thermometer in an inaccurate location. In June, I thought, "Finally, Syracuse isn't reporting temps several degrees above everyone else and other stations." They were on par with others in reference to below average.

Now we are back to the several degrees above. On wunderground, the sites surrounding the airport are often several degrees lower. 

Yeah I want to say SYR and BUF run .1-.5 too high and Rochester runs the same but too low. 

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Just now, BuffaloWeather said:

Yeah I want to say SYR and BUF run .1-.5 too high and Rochester runs the same but too low. 

Yeah, I see that -1 at Rochester. No way there is such a difference between Rochester and Syracuse under the same air mass.

Brentrich must run ROC's thermometer and Syrmax runs SYR's. True battle of the weenies.

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5 hours ago, vortmax said:

White Christmas?

At 1,700ft we are usually “white” but it has been many years since we have had several inches of snow on the ground on Christmas Day.  It seems like it must be a pretty remarkable statistical anomaly to pick any random date between Dec 1 - Mar 1 and see how many consecutive years did not have more than say 2” of snow on the ground.  I think we’re looking at a decade or more.  The fact that it happens to be Christmas Day is incredible.  
 

I’d like to forget Christmas 2020 where we got hammered with 2.5-3ft of snow exactly one week before Christmas, only for it ALL to melt Christmas Eve into Christmas morning.  That was almost as incredible as having it all fall overnight a week earlier!  

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unknown.png

 Mesoscale Discussion 1575
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1210 PM CDT Sun Jul 24 2022

   Areas affected...Northeast Ohio to southwestern New York

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

   Valid 241710Z - 241915Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

   SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to develop through the
   afternoon hours and will pose a threat for strong to severe winds. A
   watch is likely within the next hour.

   DISCUSSION...A field of growing cumulus is noted from northeast OH
   into northwest PA with a few deeper convective towers becoming
   evident, one of which has rapidly intensified within the past 20
   minutes. In the absence of stronger surface/low-level forcing, this
   activity is likely being fostered by broad ascent ahead of a
   mid-level perturbation across the Great Lakes, aided by rapidly
   decreasing MLCIN as surface temperatures warm into the mid 80s
   (based on a modified 15 UTC BUF sounding). While thunderstorm
   coverage in the near-term is somewhat uncertain given the weak/broad
   forcing for ascent, continued destabilization through the day should
   support the maintenance of the deepening convection. Strong winds
   (upwards of 40-50 knots) are noted within the lowest 3 km of
   regional soundings and VWP observations, which suggests that any
   developing storm will pose a strong to severe wind risk. 0-6 km bulk
   shear values near 35-40 knots will support storm organization,
   including the potential for supercells capable of large hail. A
   watch will likely be needed within the hour to address this concern
   as addition thunderstorms mature through the early afternoon.

 

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