rochesterdave Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Puking out some models tonight. WRF starts snow tomorrow around midnight and it goes moderate for two days. It’s a solid but manageable storm. Great track for the BUF-SYR and Tug/DAKS. 12” imo. And that might be conservative 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 lol gfs, finally got off its blast the cold to the coast like an army campaign 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: lol gfs, finally got off its blast the cold to the coast like an army campaign Not real juicy though. Tick NW. we take Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 GFS 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: nope, the 15dbz echo over monroe co And Syracuse. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Puking out some models tonight. WRF starts snow tomorrow around midnight and it goes moderate for two days. It’s a solid but manageable storm. Great track for the BUF-SYR and Tug/DAKS. 12” imo. And that might be conservative Hi rez gfs. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 A little surprised GFS wasn’t more amped. It definitely exhibited signs of a improved FLEX! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 GFS is good, but hold it right there. Trending to torchtown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Wednesday night-Thursday night.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Thursday night-friday night.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 18 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: nope, the 15dbz echo over monroe co I have no problem believing that avatar is really what you look like. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 GEM warmest frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 HRRR 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Looks like 6-8" of rice snow for KSYZ. Take 'em down! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 47 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: HIREZ GFS is a solid storm. MESOS picking up on enhancement which I think will really happen for once. 10:1 non-sleet and simulated radar at 12z Friday (still snowing) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Im thinking Buffalo goes for advisory. Buffalo-Hamilton needed the 1st wave to be colder and instead were going to rain for most of it. Buffalo even mentions some awful ratios which means its all going to come down to the 2nd wave. Snow pack was putting up a good fight but temperature is 40F and rain. Looks like overall this system will end up being a net loss for my snow depth (started around 7" before today) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 40 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: And Syracuse. 41 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: GFS Oh, lookie here at the downsloping and THM effects on the GFS and mesos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 34 minutes ago, tim123 said: I have no problem believing that avatar is really what you look like. It is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, rochesterdave said: It is I think you misunderstood? He was talking to tombo. We know how your avatar influences the emotions of "the freak." 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, TugHillMatt said: I think you misunderstood? He was talking to tombo. We know how your avatar influences the emotions of "the freak." I realized as soon as I hit send. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Found one for you Matt! CMC loves you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 22 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Oh, lookie here at the downsloping and THM effects on the GFS and mesos. Yup lol And we may be the last to change over.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Oh, Canadaaaaaaaaa... Opposite of the GFS and jackpots N. Syracuse weenies (secondary to tombo). But sweating that taint line. I keep thinking the show starts tomorrow night (because of earlier thoughts this week) but really we have another 36 to 48 hours of model watching. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Found one for you Matt! CMC loves you Hmph, it loves tombo even more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Ukmet Fwiw.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 It's good to know that the furthest north models still keep the Thruway corridor from Oneida county Westward in the game. Sorry to our friends in Albany and Bing. Almost all the others give you guys hope as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 45 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Looks like 6-8" of rice snow for KSYZ. Take 'em down! KS(n)YZ(zle) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Ukmet Fwiw.. UKIE must develop the low when it hits the coast and throws some love back? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, rochesterdave said: UKIE must develop the low when it hits the coast and throws some love back? Ukmet counts sleet as snow. Look at Sne snow. Has that all as snow yet temps above freezing at 850 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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