pasnownut Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 18 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: I get the eye again. What a storm that would be. The wind would be insane stink eye...brown eye....pick one...or both. Just playing around but that one really brought up my blood pressure. Not AGAIN. Two retros in a month. No thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: You know what? I'll take it lol yeah if i were you I'd look for the Buy It Now option.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: yeah if i were you I'd look for the Buy It Now option.... Buy it now before the low traverses over Wheeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 hour ago, Cashtown_Coop said: GFS has a big daddy storm 959mb lol Hopefully that's the pattern breaker storm. I need a week or two of 50's. I'm sick of layering up with a half a load of laundry every day... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
medmax Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Hopefully that's the pattern breaker storm. I need a week or two of 50's. I'm sick of layering up with a half a load of laundry every day... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 hour ago, Atomixwx said: Buy it now before the low traverses over Wheeling. Tries to laugh.....but cries instead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 It went from a foot less than 24 hours ago to this. Laughable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 2 hours ago, losetoa6 said: Hrdps Thursday Guidance has really juiced up qpf since 48 hours ago I’d sign up for this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 45 minutes ago, anotherman said: It went from a foot less than 24 hours ago to this. Laughable. It’s not over, but it’s not looking good at this point. Trends have not gone our way today. At least we have the Thursday am Advisory level chance. This pattern should produce more chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 It’s not over, but it’s not looking good at this point. Trends have not gone our way today. At least we have the Thursday am Advisory level chance. This pattern should produce more chances.I think it will, but it really is incredible how poor the performance of the Euro is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 hour ago, Voyager said: Hopefully that's the pattern breaker storm. I need a week or two of 50's. I'm sick of layering up with a half a load of laundry every day... Blasphemy. You’ll get like 25-30 consecutive weeks of 50s or higher soon enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 4 hours ago, CarlislePaWx said: @Bubbler86...look at it this way...I was trying to be more like @Blizzard of 93, and less like @paweather. Lol, thanks! I’m just happy that @paweather changed his logo to the Sixers. Now we just need him to try to look at that half full glass once in a while! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 7 minutes ago, anotherman said: I think it will, but it really is incredible how poor the performance of the Euro is. The Euro years ago used to be locked in once near 100 hours out. It used to win when it was on its own and other models would come around to it. Now it has become just another model. It still is a very good model, but it now seems to have more flaws just like the other models since they apparently upgraded it a few years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: Looking over the 18z Eps for Saturday ...there's still plenty of uncertainty for so close in. Trend since 6z hasn't been good obviously. Ensembles could be playing catchup but being so close in and with decent spread offers a chance even if slim. I'll give through tomorrow night at least . In the meantime, what is the potential high end snow upside of the Thursday am chance for the LSV & northern MD? A few models show 1-3 or 2-4 inches of snow, but any way to further juice this up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 18z GFS also has a Monday night Clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 I’d also take the day 9 Canadian from 12z. This pattern will produce good snow again before the month is done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 24 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Lol, thanks! I’m just happy that @paweather changed his logo to the Sixers. Now we just need him to try to look at that half full glass once in a while! Thanks! I figured the bad news with my logo anyways the glass is still half full until we produce. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 The 0z HRRR is on board for the Thursday morning wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 41 minutes ago, TimB84 said: Blasphemy. You’ll get like 25-30 consecutive weeks of 50s or higher soon enough. I have to wear 4 shirts, jeans, long john's, and a hoodie when it's this cold because I have to be outside during the loading and unloading. Layering up like that every day gets old after awile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 9 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: I'll definitely sign the blue dotted line lol I edited this to say Thursday morning (not afternoon) wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 The weekend coastal chance unfortunately still looks to pass well to our southeast at this time on the overnight models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 We do still have snow in our immediate future in the LSV. Here are some of CTP’s thoughts from their forecast discussion. Vertical profiles for the srn tier look like they will rapidly cool late tonight. During times of higher precip intensity, snow often overcomes the melting effects of a marginal llvl temp profile. Initial mush will go to a slightly drier snow as SLRs get into the lower/mid teens south of I-81 right around sunrise. Much of the snow is east of Harrisburg and York by the end of rush hour, but will linger in Lanc County into the late morning. The snow amounts have not changed much over the last two days. Since we are getting closer to the event, our confidence has grown in an advisory-level event for the Lower Susq (esp considering it come right in the morning rush). Much discussion internally and productive chats with WPC/LWX/PHI has resulted in passing the buck to the dayshift. There is plenty of time to hoist the flags. Will continue to mention the 1-2" (maybe 3" in the higher elevs) in the HWO and social media. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Here is the CTP Hazardous Outlook: Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 352 AM EST Wed Jan 19 2022 PAZ033-036-056>059-063>066-200900- Somerset-Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams- York-Lancaster- 352 AM EST Wed Jan 19 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. A light snowfall of 1 to 3 inches is possible starting late tonight. The most likely area to receive the higher end snowfall amounts would be south of I-81. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 The 6z HRRR & HRDPS like a couple of inches of snow in the LSV tomorrow am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said: After much discussion internally and productive chats with WPC/LWX/PHI has resulted in passing the buck to the dayshift. ****ing lazy ass night shift. Never doing a thing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Weekend unfortunately is falling by the beachside. Yesterday, the LSV was in the bullseye for tomorrow. That has shifted south into northern MD. Still time for a bump north. More chances coming next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Weekend unfortunately is falling by the beachside. Yesterday, the LSV was in the bullseye for tomorrow. That has shifted south into northern MD. Still time for a bump north. More chances coming next week. The pattern buster at the end of the month or early February will be the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Next week definitely some chances Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Sad things couldn't come together for the weekend system. A good bit of my snow will melt today so tomorrow's .75-1" will be welcome. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 4 minutes ago, canderson said: Sad things couldn't come together for the weekend system. A good bit of my snow will melt today so tomorrow's .75-1" will be welcome. Problem is, with every model run the frontal boundary continues to press farther and farther south tonight. This results in wave going farther south, and if it keeps trending that way we might not see much of anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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