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Central PA - Winter 2021/2022


Bubbler86
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6 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

The story from 0z seems to be plenty of opportunity but a lack of persistent cold air.  I'll not be holding my breath.  Looks like a windy 24 hour period ahead, not really going to allow for any enjoyment of the mild temps.  I hate wind.

Heck of a sleet bomb on the GFS.  We all know better than to sink too much thought into it but still interesting to look at.  CAD city.

 

 

 

 

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2 hours ago, mahantango#1 said:

I hope we don't get those winds. But it's that time of the year as we get closer to March. I'm sure the trees I have here will get raked from the wind.

Looks like those won't be mixing to the surface here in PA, but a lot of mid to upper 40 gusts in the wee hours tomorrow am. 

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Finally posted wind headlines.

/O.NEW.KCTP.WI.Y.0002.220217T2300Z-220218T1400Z/
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-
Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Pottsville, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York,
and Lancaster
341 AM EST Thu Feb 17 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EST
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with occasional gusts
  between 45 and 55 mph expected.

* WHERE...Franklin, Perry, Dauphin, Schuylkill, Lebanon,
  Cumberland, Adams, York and Lancaster Counties.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 9 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects.
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may
  result.

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14 minutes ago, Voyager said:

Looks like the rain is moving in quicker than expected. I was under the assumption that it would be a late afternoon arrival, but it appears to be but a few miles away from me here in Sunbury. 

HRRR has the MSV and USV getting into rain earlier.  LSV and your home area not until late afternoon/evening. 

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7 minutes ago, paweather said:

Should be interesting I wonder if we will get one here.

It looks like we have a solid chance of it staying intact over the mountains.  The globals are having trouble seeing that aspect but that's to be expected to some extent, whereas some of the higher resolution models at range are hinting at it.  Let's call it a coin flip at this point but I'd take that.  Looks like an almost-certainty for folks north and west of the I80/I99 corridor. 

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1 minute ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

It looks like we have a solid chance of it staying intact over the mountains.  The globals are having trouble seeing that aspect but that's to be expected to some extent, whereas some of the higher resolution models at range are hinting at it.  Let's call it a coin flip at this point but I'd take that.  Looks like an almost-certainty for folks north and west of the I80/I99 corridor. 

For sure N/W of I-80 

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