wolfie09 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Euro still with the farther north primary.. Solid front end thump though.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 0z ensemble members Eps Gefs Geps 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 0z ensemble 10:1 mean from mid week to 18z Saturday 2/26. That's a pretty strong signal for a widespread heavy snowfall event at this range. Just need the Euro/Eps to spread the love. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 I hope SouthBuffaloSteve is in his spot at the waterfront already. This “pre” front lake effect/enhanced snow right now with these wind gust is insane. I bet right at the waterfront has to be absolutely nuts right now and this isn’t even the front ! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 41 minutes ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: I hope SouthBuffaloSteve is in his spot at the waterfront already. This “pre” front lake effect/enhanced snow right now with these wind gust is insane. I bet right at the waterfront has to be absolutely nuts right now and this isn’t even the front ! Was a little late getting out. Made for a very fun drive downtown this morning. Winds are really whipping the snow around… Hunkering down at the Erie Basin Marina for the front passage. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 7 hours ago, MJO812 said: Let us have this one near the coast Nope. Long Island and most of coastal New England are above average for the season. 6 hours ago, rochesterdave said: Yowzer. Lol The Canadian has jackpotted Onondaga county a couple times this season. I obviously would love to see this lock in and actually happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Winter Weather Advisory for Syracuse area for 3 to 6 inches of lake effect snow. It starts at 4 this afternoon after whatever fun we will already have with the front. I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Got down to the lower teens here last night and then the Chinook winds of the South kicked in and popped it up to the Upper 20s overnight. Oh, to be at the mercy of those south winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Here it comes. Don’t blink Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 And Tim, not even a flurry in Roc yet…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Where you up looking. Good grief. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Insanity down here! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Gfs is active. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 True whiteout with the frontal passage. Can’t see across street. Insane. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: True whiteout with the frontal passage. Can’t see across street. Insane. It just hit so fast. Barely made it back into the car just saw a wall of white racing towards shore and bam went from clear to whiteout in 10 seconds. Snagged 2 super bright thundersnow flashes in the whiteout. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaistDeepSnow Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Had thundersnow here in western Amherst. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Nice, Buffalo guys! Looks like HEAVY snow over North Buffalo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 15 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Insanity down here! Are you going to do a "Jim Cantore" and dramatically walk as if it will blow you away? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 19 Author Share Posted February 19 Power is out here, that was crazy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: Power is out here, that was crazy How high did winds get? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Still popping some lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Looks like most intense part of bad headed for roc 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Huge spin in clouds over Huron headed se. Should be fun to was how this all plays out today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Expect a burst of lake enhanced snow with the clipper cold front early to mid morning. A band of heavy lake effect snow will then develop by late morning across the Tug Hill Plateau. This band of snow will drift slowly south across the Tug from late morning through mid afternoon, becoming quite heavy with 2-3"/hr snow fall rates likely. Late this afternoon the band will move south across Oswego County and weaken as boundary layer flow veers more northwesterly. Total accumulations will likely reach 8-12" across the Tug Hill Plateau, with 3-6" for some of the surrounding lower elevations. Some lake effect snow will persist tonight southeast of Lake Ontario, but in a weaker state as inversion heights fall and moisture decreases. Expect 2-3" across portions of Wayne and northern Cayuga counties, and 1-2 inches near the lakeshore in Monroe County. What remains of the lake effect will drift back over the lake and end by Sunday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 4 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Does that site not show them all? Because there are more members now than 20. They have 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Colder air settles into the area for a couple days until the next system with decent timing unison in model guidance approaches for Thursday night and Friday. The ECMWF is notably warmer than other global model solutions, and it is really the only solution that brings up enough warm air to have a changeover to rain, however it`s rarely a good idea to fully discount the ECMWF in the extended. Thus, while the forecast favors colder solutions for the moment, the numbers were tempered a bit to account for the warmer ECMWF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 This there is more energy coming in this afternoon with more squalls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: Does that site not show them all? Because there are more members now than 20. They have 30 That's all COD provides..Not sure of any other free sites with GEFS snowfall.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 35 minutes ago, tim123 said: How high did winds get? Winds were strong pre front 40-45 but really ramped up inside the squall line. Car was violently shaking for a few minutes had to be 55-60 gusts. Crazy how fast the winds subsided to just a breeze on the backside of the front. Got at least 4 thundersnow strikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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