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Major Hurricane Ida


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NOAA's P3 will be up later this morning. They left early last night so they could get an earlier start today to be present during the storm's landfall. Pretty good flexibility of crews and the set schedules over the last day. Not often you see two air force aircraft in one system simultaneously (NOAA's P3 and the USAF plane being there together is regular) 

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Just now, Windspeed said:

Strong and steady rate intensification all evening and some time just before midnight that must have ramped up into a rapid deepening rate of intensification.

Someone asked yesterday why these storms as of late (Michael, Laura, now Ida) seem to deepen towards landfall whereas so many in the past weakened. The answer seems to be storms that wait until the last day to get their act together. Had Ida strengthened into a Cat 4 by Cuba, no way would it have maintained it for a straight 48 hrs without inner core changes and fluctuations. 

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1 minute ago, Floydbuster said:

Someone asked yesterday why these storms as of late (Michael, Laura, now Ida) seem to deepen towards landfall whereas so many in the past weakened. The answer seems to be storms that wait until the last day to get their act together. Had Ida strengthened into a Cat 4 by Cuba, no way would it have maintained it for a straight 48 hrs without inner core changes and fluctuations. 

The struggles that it had getting its act together earlier today may also have increased landfall intensity by delaying an ERC. We saw this with Michael where there were some signs of a secondary eyewall just beginning to form at landfall after the storm had slowly and unimpressively strengthened before bombing in the last 18 hours. Of course, this is just speculation. 

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HWRF, HMON and GFS hurricane models all show pressure drops right up until landfall.  Given how it looks now, unless the pace of intensification levels off,  this will be right on the edge of CAT 5 strength at landfall. 

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It is absolutely wild being able to see convective blow ups on IR and a corresponding increase in reflectivity on KLIX. Hadn't really noticed that myself before with previous systems. 

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  • WxWatcher007 changed the title to Major Hurricane Ida

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