Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    16,921
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Jun Zz
    Newest Member
    Jun Zz
    Joined

E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2021 OBS Thread


 Share

Recommended Posts

1 hour ago, JTA66 said:

It would be the second time this year a tropical entity moved through the region and our backyards had little to show for it. Elsa was a nothing burger here, too. Still, as Newman keeps mentioning, we'll have to keep an eye out for a line (maybe two?) of severe weather this evening into the overnight.

75F/DP 73F

 

25 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Yeah we've gone from 1-2" possible on Monday to basically nothing now. Just humidity and cloudy skies. The hrrr and nam give 95 east basically a trace. The rgem suite though has 1-2" for the area with the mesos kind of in between but leaning more towards the nam with .25-.5". With the further west track though I'm leaning towards the HRRR and NAM being correct. Lehigh valley should still get a good soaking but nothing like the 3-5" being forecasted earlier in the week.

The thing we have going for us is it's tropical in nature. Stuff still could pan out better than expected with these DPs.

I've been outside since 7am replacing plugs/coil packs and such on the car...it's cloudy muggy as hell. It's hard to believe something won't develop eventually during the day/evening...a little afternoon sun would help.

75F / DP 74F

 

  • Weenie 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

12z GEFS is pretty interesting wrt Henri. There's a cluster of members that bring it into the Jersey shore now. Big time west trend over the last 24 hours. The storm looks to be getting it's act together now. Seems like the stronger members are further west while the weaker one's stay off to the east. Who here has a shore house I can ride out the storm at :lol::P

 

gfs-ememb_lowlocs_us_18.png

  • Weenie 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

12z GEFS is pretty interesting wrt Henri. There's a cluster of members that bring it into the Jersey shore now. Big time west trend over the last 24 hours. The storm looks to be getting it's act together now. Seems like the stronger members are further west while the weaker one's stay off to the east. Who here has a shore house I can ride out the storm at :lol::P

 

gfs-ememb_lowlocs_us_18.png

GFS is either going score a massive victory this week over the hurricane guidance or be put to shame again in typical USA model fashion.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

21 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

12z GEFS is pretty interesting wrt Henri. There's a cluster of members that bring it into the Jersey shore now. Big time west trend over the last 24 hours. The storm looks to be getting it's act together now. Seems like the stronger members are further west while the weaker one's stay off to the east. Who here has a shore house I can ride out the storm at :lol::P

 

gfs-ememb_lowlocs_us_18.png

Getting closer and closer to the 40/70 benchmark.:lol:

ETA - Levi Cowan's take -

 

143722_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Tornado Watch up for northern/western parts of the area -

Quote

Tornado Watch

TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 447
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 AM EDT WED AUG 18 2021

TORNADO WATCH 447 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT FOR THE
 FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

PAC001-009-011-013-021-023-025-027-029-033-035-037-041-043-047-
055-057-061-067-069-071-075-077-079-081-087-089-093-095-097-099-
107-109-111-113-119-131-133-190000-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0447.210818T1530Z-210819T0000Z/

PA
.    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS                BEDFORD             BERKS
BLAIR                CAMBRIA             CAMERON
CARBON               CENTRE              CHESTER
CLEARFIELD           CLINTON             COLUMBIA
CUMBERLAND           DAUPHIN             ELK
FRANKLIN             FULTON              HUNTINGDON
JUNIATA              LACKAWANNA          LANCASTER
LEBANON              LEHIGH              LUZERNE
LYCOMING             MIFFLIN             MONROE
MONTOUR              NORTHAMPTON         NORTHUMBERLAND
PERRY                SCHUYLKILL          SNYDER
SOMERSET             SULLIVAN            UNION
WYOMING              YORK
$$

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

Tornado Watch up for northern/western parts of the area -

 

Sky has that tropical look to it, but I don't see anything too menacing on the radar at the moment. Hopefully we won't get slammed in the overnight hours but I am still hoping for at least a good drenching. I can only watch the radar until 10pm or so! lol

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, CoolHandMike said:

Sky has that tropical look to it, but I don't see anything too menacing on the radar at the moment. Hopefully we won't get slammed in the overnight hours but I am still hoping for at least a good drenching. I can only watch the radar until 10pm or so! lol

 

There were a couple TORs over around York but I don't know if anything was confirmed.  I've been getting that "tropical storm" type clouds, but nothing has bubbled up here.  I'll be happy with 1/4" if I can get it. Have been watching the clouds advecting in from the southeast now... and it's a soupy 86 with dp 74, so I the 90.0 was my high for the day.

Have been watching that track of Henri too.

204927_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, CoolHandMike said:

Lots of booms and flashes to my west. We'll see if it holds together or does the "Reading Split". Can't complain, have .83" in the gauge for today.

Hey, I have the trademark on that, but it's called the Tamaqua Split®... :P

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

LOL  :maphot:

You guys have sucked me into the screw zone too. :(  Trying to eek out some tip of the bucket here.  I'll even take 0.1".  Juicy here with temp at 80 and dp at 75.

You didn't get any rain today?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...