• Member Statistics

    16,680
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    sereinwriter
    Newest Member
    sereinwriter
    Joined
John1122

Spring/Summer 2021 Medium/Long Range Forecast Discussion.

Recommended Posts

we have been lucky over here in Unicoi county. Our rain has been spaced out just enough to avoid a lot of flooding, but todays inch is really pushing ditches and creeks to their limits. Good thing today wasn't 2-3 inches. Would require water rescues if that happened.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Freeze watches have been hoisted for Wednesday night(not tonight....).  For gardeners and farmers, very important to keep a close eye on things.  30 is the forecast low at TRI.  Wouldn't be surprised to see it a bit lower if things go really calm.  The amount of time by freezing is critical.  Fingers crossed this doesn't get worse as things are in bloom and all of the new foliage.  This fits a recent pattern(though certainly not uncommon) of late freezes, even after things make a turn towards spring.  Some years, we turn the corner at lower elevations and no worries.  Past two seasons have been a pain in the neck.  

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The potential low of 26 at TRI would be very close to the latest that TRI has experienced temps dipping into the 20s this late in the season.  Looks like the latest that temps have dipped into the 20s is April 27th.  Impressive cold.  Man, looks frigid out there.  Going to be a lot of plants with new foliage damaged by this.  Sometimes I put tarps of things and wonder if it does any good.  Right now, the tarps are covered with frost.  Looks like this has been a freeze where temps have been sustained for several hours below freezing.  Looks like TRI dropped from 36 to 29 in a matter of one hour just after midnight.  Quick drop.  We have one of the coldest temps in the region right now.  The quick drop leaves me mildly suspicious (humidity soared about then as well) of the record, but looking out the window....looks rough(meaning very cold and has been that way for some time).  We will likely have been below 30 for 6+ hours.  Have to wonder if this will be tough on even trees in the forest which are hardy.  I have seen that happen once several years ago.  This is a bad freeze.  

One more night of this tonight, and then we might be done for the season...might be.   Garden begins to go into the ground next week.  

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I was down to 28 at my house and had a heavy frost. Glad I covered up my Jap maple and Bloodgood.


.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 hours ago, PowellVolz said:

I was down to 28 at my house and had a heavy frost. Glad I covered up my Jap maple and Bloodgood.


.

Good thinking.  We covered up our patio peach as well.  Man, it is was still burned though.  I think the duration of time which we were in the 20s was the problem.  We will see if it survives.  

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Good thinking.  We covered up our patio peach as well.  Man, it is was still burned though.  I think the duration of time which we were in the 20s was the problem.  We will see if it survives.  

My most delicate plants, I took some tent poles and placed them on all 4 corners of the shrub but made sure they were a foot above the shrub. Then I threw a tarp over it all so no moisture gets through. Works great and keeps the material off the plant.


.
  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
21 hours ago, PowellVolz said:


My most delicate plants, I took some tent poles and placed them on all 4 corners of the shrub but made sure they were a foot above the shrub. Then I threw a tarp over it all so no moisture gets through. Works great and keeps the material off the plant.


.

In hindsight, that was definitely the way to go.  We have a hoop house for our garden that does that for us.  Just need something to trap the earth's heat and leave a little bit of separation with the cover.  I figured the peach would be ok since it it right next to the house, but the cold air must have dammed against the house there.  It looks better than I though today.  These late season freezes tax our resources - tarps, plastic, etc.  Some stuff(if we didn't have covers) we were simply like...good luck!  LOL.  The one thing which I would have covered better were our blueberry bushes which were in full bloom.  

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Second year La Nina usually is not worse than first, and that didn't make a difference last year. Plus if the GLAAM wants to favor positive we get enough rain. No concerns. Believe climate change has significantly altered ENSO signals.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, John1122 said:

36.5 this morning. That's very chilly for mid May.

46 in Knoxville.  And yet....kids at the bus stop were wearing shorts and a t-shirt.  These are the same teens only wearing a hoodie when it was 23 one morning a few months ago.  

  • Like 1
  • Haha 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Dodged one with a frost on the rooftops last week, but the garden was spared....Looks like summer heat is about to show-up and have some staying power.  My garden needs some seasonably warm weather - and consistent rain(which may be tough to come by with the modeled Bermuda high configuration).

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Dodged one with a frost on the rooftops last week, but the garden was spared....Looks like summer heat is about to show-up and have some staying power.  My garden needs some seasonably warm weather - and consistent rain(which may be tough to come by with the modeled Bermuda high configuration).

Need to get some storms going or I will be dragging a hose by next week


.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.