Blizzard of 93 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 24 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Heaviest snow looks to target areas to our south. Right where we want it Bingo! Exactly... Here are the snow maps just for the Thursday event for the 12z GFS, GFS Para & GEFS. Lots of room to maneuver in any direction. I like where we are sitting now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 ...12Z...not bad, a smidge less although 10" for Carlisle...lol... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Bubbler was about right 5-7" initial thump on the 12z Globals. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 The 12z Canadian is on board too for Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 7 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 12z Canadian is on board too for Thursday. If that bullseye were 50 miles south, I'd be way more enthused..... But I sure am interested Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: If that bullseye were 50 miles south, I'd be way more enthused..... But I sure am interested Thanks PSU! :-) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 UK continues its insistence on keeping the stronger pressures further east and south and this is pretty much all snow for PA. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Ukie is a flat-out beatdown! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 3 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: Well, you have Horst on your side which definitely gives me pause. He's been saying that Thursday is a rainer in Lanco. Latest from Horst...... (1/2) Keeping with the recent trend...tonight's system is rather weak & north-tracking. Temps are marginal, but colder outlying and low lying areas may get some front-end ice...whereas milder areas (and treated surfaces) may see mainly plain rain. #StayAware (2/2) The next system in the queue looks stronger and more impactful with snow developing before daybreak Thursday...then an extended period of sleet/freezing rain Thursday midday and afternoon. Definitely not a good day for travel, especially heading northward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Ukie is a flat-out beatdown! Yes! Let’s go Euro in an hour! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Latest from Horst...... (1/2) Keeping with the recent trend...tonight's system is rather weak & north-tracking. Temps are marginal, but colder outlying and low lying areas may get some front-end ice...whereas milder areas (and treated surfaces) may see mainly plain rain. #StayAware (2/2) The next system in the queue looks stronger and more impactful with snow developing before daybreak Thursday...then an extended period of sleet/freezing rain Thursday midday and afternoon. Definitely not a good day for travel, especially heading northward. Thanks for posting that, I hadn't seen it yet. Sounds like he's warming up to a more wintry event, which is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Hey I’m on my phone. Can someone take a look at 12z models for Wednesday in north east Texas over to Dallas and let me know they say? Thanks in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: Thanks for posting that, I hadn't seen it yet. Sounds like he's warming up to a more wintry event, which is good. Yes it seems like he's coming around. You aren't kidding about the Ukie! 2M, 925, 850 and 700 temps all look to hold throughout the duration of the storm for most of the forum too. Color me intrigued. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Yes it seems like he's coming around. You aren't kidding about the Ukie! 2M, 925, 850 and 700 temps all look to hold throughout the duration of the storm for most of the forum too. Color me intrigued. I like having the Ukie on my side - I think it often gets overlooked but it's overall verification scores are pretty good. We're building a pretty good team for Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, canderson said: Hey I’m on my phone. Can someone take a look at 12z models for Wednesday in north east Texas over to Dallas and let me know they say? Thanks in advance. Temps in upper teens to low 20s at this point and they don't seem to rise much from there. QPF around a half inch for most throughout the day. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: I like having the Ukie on my side - I think it often gets overlooked but it's overall verification scores are pretty good. We're building a pretty good team for Thursday. Agreed on all accounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 4 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Yes it seems like he's coming around. You aren't kidding about the Ukie! 2M, 925, 850 and 700 temps all look to hold throughout the duration of the storm for most of the forum too. Color me intrigued. Its like the anti NAM right now. Hard to buy into either of them with almost opposite reflections of the SLP. One inland and the other a Miller A like LSV crusher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 EURO time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Its like the anti NAM right now. Hard to buy into either of them with almost opposite reflections of the SLP. One inland and the other a Miller A like LSV crusher. Very true but certainly more support for the Ukie at this moment, albeit not overwhelmingly so. The 12z Euro run coming up here is huge, should really be in its wheelhouse at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, Mount Joy Snowman said: Very true but certainly more support for the Ukie at this moment, albeit not overwhelmingly so. The 12z Euro run coming up here is huge, should really be in its wheelhouse at this point. Yea, UK's depiction has more support than the Nam right now. UK almost never transfers and just rides under us. There is a reflection trying to boil up off VA Beach at hour 78 but it never really takes over vs. the primary just plowing off the coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 16 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Temps in upper teens to low 20s at this point and they don't seem to rise much from there. QPF around a half inch for most throughout the day. Thanks. I wish the thermala were colder to avoid that ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 As we wait for the EURO sun is almost out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, paweather said: As we wait for the EURO sun is almost out here. It is out here. Very bright day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, paweather said: As we wait for the EURO sun is almost out here. Yes, partly cloudy here. I was going to mention but did not want to poo poo the good feeling over 12Z runs for Thursday. Its a toasty 41 here as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Euro by Wednesday morning coming in a bit colder with the 850s for most of PA.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 EURO going to be a big run. 84 is awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, paweather said: EURO going to be a big run. 84 is awesome. Like the GFS is really keeps the higher forcing south of us but still a nice 6-8" for the LSV. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: UK continues its insistence on keeping the stronger pressures further east and south and this is pretty much all snow for PA. Now that how to talk dirty. south and east at 72 is the new sexy for the LSV to get snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Like the GFS is really keeps the higher forcing south of us but still a nice 6-8" for the LSV. Bit of a north trend yet and we will be even better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boo radley Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Euro STOP THE COUNT!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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