Ji Posted January 20 the upper level charts for the Pus storm week look really good 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
psuhoffman Posted January 20 2 minutes ago, Ji said: not yet.....i think you are out of airbags bro We got plenty of airheads though 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 20 2 minutes ago, Ji said: the upper level charts for the Pus storm week look really good That was a good storm iirc Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Always in Zugzwang Posted January 20 5 minutes ago, Ji said: the upper level charts for the Pus storm week look really good The "Pus" storm?? 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
psuhoffman Posted January 20 @Ji seats are gonna fill up fast that captures two waves technically because the eps members can’t decide between the 28/29 or the 30/31 wrt which wave will be the one to amplify. 7 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
frd Posted January 20 6 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: @Ji seats are gonna fill up fast that captures two waves technically because the eps members can’t decide between the 28/29 or the 30/31 wrt which wave will be the one to amplify. Exceptionally good look considering 276 hours out. All aboard ! 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WxUSAF Posted January 20 EPS mean gives me like 10” through the end of next week lol. I’ll take that. 3 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ji Posted January 20 23 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: EPS mean gives me like 10” through the end of next week lol. I’ll take that. of course you will. you will be lucky to get a dusting 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
psuhoffman Posted January 20 26 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: EPS mean gives me like 10” through the end of next week lol. I’ll take that. Three waves each with successively more upside. I have been keying on the 28-30th as the time period that made most sense as everything retrogrades and the ridge should pull west enough to get east coast amplification and cold (whatever there is) to time to. But the eps are split between the wave around the 28/29 and one around the 30/31. The 30/31 might have the best chance to turn the corner amplify up the coast. The h5 look through that 5 day period is classic. @Ji We cannot waste this. This isn’t a pattern we’re going to get that often. I honestly dunno what it will take if this doesn’t work! 3 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ji Posted January 20 Just now, psuhoffman said: Three waves each with successively more upside. I have been keying on the 28-30th as the time period that made most sense as everything retrogrades and the ridge should pull west enough to get east coast amplification. But the eps are split between the wave around the 28/29 and one around the 30/31. The 30/31 might have the best chance to turn the corner amplify up the coast. The h5 look through that 5 day period is classic. @Ji We cannot waste this. This isn’t a pattern we’re going to get that often. I honestly dunno what it will take if this doesn’t work! cant have a storm on the 31st...have a guitar gig 8 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
frd Posted January 20 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Three waves each with successively more upside. I have been keying on the 28-30th as the time period that made most sense as everything retrogrades and the ridge should pull west enough to get east coast amplification and cold (whatever there is) to time to. But the eps are split between the wave around the 28/29 and one around the 30/31. The 30/31 might have the best chance to turn the corner amplify up the coast. The h5 look through that 5 day period is classic SWEET ! IF this doesn't produce a SECS I am going off the grid. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 20 36 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: EPS mean gives me like 10” through the end of next week lol. I’ll take that. If you get that then my prediction is gonna look very “geniusy” Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
psuhoffman Posted January 20 17 minutes ago, frd said: SWEET ! IF this doesn't produce a SECS I am going off the grid. This has to lol. If we waste this next 2 weeks I’m probably taking a break from long range for a while. What’s the point of tracking a pattern if we can get one that looks like someone gave me the magic atmosphere crayon and let me draw it up myself and it still does us no good? That’s when it’s time to step away for a while. ETA: this feels like we’re playing cards and just realized the opponent already pulled all the face cards out of the deck. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RedSky Posted January 20 29 minutes ago, Ji said: cant have a storm on the 31st...have a guitar gig 13 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Maestrobjwa Posted January 20 48 minutes ago, Ji said: cant have a storm on the 31st...have a guitar gig Dude if you complain about that so help me!!!! Lol *In mobster voice* "That's a real nice guitar...it would be a shame if somethin' happened to it..." 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
dallen7908 Posted January 20 EPS members snow/sleet totals (inches) for the last 7 runs (College Park) through 00 UT Feb 3 90th percentile: 9 15 12 15 12 16 18 80th percentile: 6 10 11 9 10 12 13 70th percentile: 6 6 9 8 7 11 11 60th percentile: 4 5 8 6 6 7 9 50th percentile: 3 4 6 5 4 6 7 40th percentile: 2 3 4 4 4 5 6 30th percentile: 2 1 4 3 3 4 5 20th percentile: 0.7 0.6 3 2 2 3 3 10th percentile: 0.5 0.3 1 1 1 1 3 4 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Always in Zugzwang Posted January 20 2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Dude if you complain about that so help me!!!! Lol *In mobster voice* "That's a real nice guitar...it would be a shame if somethin' happened to it..." Are you saying @Ji might wake up one morning and find a guitar head under the sheets?? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
rclab Posted January 20 5 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said: Are you saying @Ji might wake up one morning and find a guitar head under the sheets?? Nah, he’ll get to his gig only to find out that the frets have been removed. As always ..... 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Maestrobjwa Posted January 20 12 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said: Are you saying @Ji might wake up one morning and find a guitar head under the sheets?? Not quite my style... 4 minutes ago, rclab said: Nah, he’ll get to his gig only to find out that the frets have been removed. As always ..... But THIS is!!! Musical mayhem would be my specialty! That would really give him something to fret about *ba-dum pssh* 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
SnowLover22 Posted January 20 58 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: This has to lol. If we waste this next 2 weeks I’m probably taking a break from long range for a while. What’s the point of tracking a pattern if we can get one that looks like someone gave me the magic atmosphere crayon and let me draw it up myself and it still does us no good? That’s when it’s time to step away for a while. ETA: this feels like we’re playing cards and just realized the opponent already pulled all the face cards out of the deck. It seems like you are saying this pattern cannot get much better. Like what is the upside? I would assume a Jan 16' type storm is possible in this pattern if it really is the best possible pattern we can get that would only come once a decade. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
stormtracker Posted January 20 Damn, GFS has the next storm, but looks to slide south Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WxUSAF Posted January 20 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Damn, GFS has the next storm, but looks to slide south Trend is our friend? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
stormtracker Posted January 20 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Trend is our friend? Oh damn...didnt do a comparison. That's kinda encouraging. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
ryanconway63 Posted January 20 You want the jackpot to be VA Beach 4-5 days out so not a bad place to be currently Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ji Posted January 20 Trend is our friend?When it comes to snow we have no friends Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Yeoman Posted January 20 2 hours ago, frd said: Exceptionally good look considering 276 hours out. All aboard ! Maybe 12 days out will do better than 10 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 20 30 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Damn, GFS has the next storm, but looks to slide south GFS can't even get a handle on Mon-Tues. Im not sure I put much stock in what it shows 180hrs+ out. However if you loop the last 3 runs valid 6z Thurs Jan 28 you can see it keeps moving N with the slp and precip shield. Soooo yeah. Eta: crap didn't see the other post showing the same..... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
jaydreb Posted January 20 I mean, what is this garbage? 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
NorthArlington101 Posted January 20 GEFS has a signal but it's not great. Could argue its #rightwherewewant it though. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Weather Will Posted January 20 WB 18Z GEFS says see you in February... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
