paweather Posted January 21 Just now, canderson said: Wait we're really going to have a possible storm Monday? Instead of Mostly Cloudy, Partly Sunny or Mostly Sunny. Oh I forgot Heavy Wind Warnings. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
canderson Posted January 21 37 minutes ago, paweather said: Instead of Mostly Cloudy, Partly Sunny or Mostly Sunny. Oh I forgot Heavy Wind Warnings. That'll be a shock to the system. I honestly can't remember a more boring run of weather in peak winter - last year was AWFUL but we had at least rain to track lol. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted January 21 Happy hour didn't disappoint Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted January 21 Well Storm #2 gets suppressed. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Superstorm Posted January 21 Well Storm #2 gets suppressed. I’m ok with that look. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted January 21 Just now, Superstorm said: I’m ok with that look . Yeah this far out. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Voyager Posted January 21 5 hours ago, paweather said: Maybe a 31st storm. Looks warm a bit for now. No.......... As of right now, it appears that will be the flight day for me to go to orientation for the new job. If it snows, the wife won't take me to the airport. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Itstrainingtime Posted January 21 9 minutes ago, Superstorm said: I’m ok with that look . We've seen a few look like this in the past a week out that we ended up getting buried under: 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
anotherman Posted January 21 Right where we want it..... 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Atomixwx Posted January 21 3 hours ago, canderson said: Wait we're really going to have a possible storm Monday? Everyone except you. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted January 22 If we get no snow next week It’s time to move I’ll hand over my paweather handle to paweather5! 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 22 The 12z EPS had the best 15 day run yet again since a couple of days before the December event this season. Buckle up... this should be a fun week of tracking! 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 22 I love watching it snow while tracking an event that is on the way a few days later. It doesn’t happen often, but we might have that chance next week! 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CarlislePaWx Posted January 22 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: I love watching it snow while tracking an event that is on the way a few days later. It doesn’t happen often, but we might have that chance next week! At least for the first storm, having a second one coming up also helps minimize the post-storm depression...that is as long as there IS a second storm. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 22 11 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: At least for the first storm, having a second one coming up also helps minimize the post-storm depression...that is as long as there IS a second storm. Very true! Let’s see what the 0z runs show tonight. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted January 22 18 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Very true! Let’s see what the 0z runs show tonight. Bring it home for us Blizz! Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
canderson Posted January 22 You guys are super confident for a storm 3.5 days away .... lol Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Itstrainingtime Posted January 22 1 minute ago, canderson said: You guys are super confident for a storm 3.5 days away .... lol I'm not - this storm is all over the place. I'm prepared for zero snow, a pile of snow, or anything in between the next 10-14 days. As PSU Hoffman said earlier this evening "the Monday system has become complicated, and we don't do complicated well." I think those are prudent words to heed. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted January 22 Who is staying up for the EURO? I can’t stand to be disappointed after 1am but this is out first tracking over a month. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted January 22 8 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I'm not - this storm is all over the place. I'm prepared for zero snow, a pile of snow, or anything in between the next 10-14 days. As PSU Hoffman said earlier this evening "the Monday system has become complicated, and we don't do complicated well." I think those are prudent words to heed. That’s DC we typically survive in these complicated setups. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Itstrainingtime Posted January 22 2 minutes ago, paweather said: That’s DC we typically survive in these complicated setups. Other than the December storm, we've had little snow for the past couple of years. Sorry, I don't agree with you on this. At this juncture, there are still ways for us to miss this. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 22 45 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I'm not - this storm is all over the place. I'm prepared for zero snow, a pile of snow, or anything in between the next 10-14 days. As PSU Hoffman said earlier this evening "the Monday system has become complicated, and we don't do complicated well." I think those are prudent words to heed. We also don’t live in MD or DC... Yes, there are a few ways that this storm can go as the models have bounced around. However, over the past 24 hours, all models put the LSV in a solid 3 to 5 inches of snow for the early week event. A consensus is forming that says we are in a good spot for this event. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 22 26 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Other than the December storm, we've had little snow for the past couple of years. Sorry, I don't agree with you on this. At this juncture, there are still ways for us to miss this. Just last year there was no snow. Besides last year, we had a great decade of snow. Above normal snow most years. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 22 45 minutes ago, canderson said: You guys are super confident for a storm 3.5 days away .... lol I’m just waiting for the Advisory to be posted for Monday and for you to post “ I’ll bet MDT won’t get 1 inch of snow”! I really am looking forward to that post! Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
anotherman Posted January 22 Other than the December storm, we've had little snow for the past couple of years. Sorry, I don't agree with you on this. At this juncture, there are still ways for us to miss this. I agree. Things have changed and the Susquehanna valley is not necessarily what it used to be (during snowstorms). Things are shifting and it’s almost like the climate we have here is taking on the characteristics of somewhere south of here (Maryland, Virginia). 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Itstrainingtime Posted January 22 8 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: We also don’t live in MD or DC... True, but where he lives receives more snow annually than I do. I wasn't arguing or trying to start anything. I'm saying that we can't say for certain that it's going to snow. To do so could end up making one look foolish. There are absolutely ways for Monday to fail. That goes for Lake George NY and Smith Mountain Lake in VA and every point in between. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 22 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: True, but where he lives receives more snow annually than I do. I wasn't arguing or trying to start anything. I'm saying that we can't say for certain that it's going to snow. To do so could end up making one look foolish. Yes, but it’s not like one random 18z run has shown this event... There is a building consensus. Nothing is guaranteed until we are shoveling! 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 22 4 minutes ago, anotherman said: I agree. Things have changed and the Susquehanna valley is not necessarily what it used to be (during snowstorms). Things are shifting and it’s almost like the climate we have here is taking on the characteristics of somewhere south of here (Maryland, Virginia). Here we go.... MDT was above normal snow the majority of years over the last decade. We had one bad year last year. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Itstrainingtime Posted January 22 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: Here we go.... MDT was above normal snow the majority of years over the last decade. We had one bad year last year. I think you're misinterpreting what is being said. Climate is NOT the same as it was years ago. You often quote PSU Hoffman, he's been saying that over and over again. That doesn't mean it doesn't snow, or we don't have above normal years. We've gotten above normal years because we've had a lot of very large snowstorms in the past 20 years. Winters have been lacking multiple snow events, sustained cold, and to some extent, frigid weather. He said winter is changing. He's right... Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
anotherman Posted January 22 Here we go.... MDT was above normal snow the majority of years over the last decade. We had one bad year last year. Yes, we’ve had some big snowstorms. But that doesn’t mean the climate isn’t changing. Snow totals or mild winters don’t really signal climate shifts. Years and years of data do. I’m not saying it can’t snow anymore, but to completely deny that our area’s climate is changing is an opinion not based in reality. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
