Holston_River_Rambler Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Ye olden -EPO/ -AO: This after a nice overrunning event. The overrunning event will lock in to a cutter in approximately 5 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 So close, but so far away: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Can't say the GFS isn't trying though: 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wintersnow888 Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 This is the forecast for where I used to live in St Louis county before I moved to Tennessee .... would love to take a road trip 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 Missouri is going to get absolutely drilled with ice storm and snow storm. They don't call it the Show-Me State for nothing! Tennessee will almost certainly win tonight but I don't know about the spread. Auburn should win but Bama likes to rise to the occasion. LSU spread is ludicrous, but they will win. Kansas will lose. If Iowa state goes to say +6.5 I bet against Kansas. Texas Tech looks like the best Big 12 bet tonight. Kentucky and Duke are Final Four bound - excellent on the road. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 16 minutes ago, nrgjeff said: Missouri is going to get absolutely drilled with ice storm and snow storm. They don't call it the Show-Me State for nothing! Tennessee will almost certainly win tonight but I don't know about the spread. Auburn should win but Bama likes to rise to the occasion. LSU spread is ludicrous, but they will win. Kansas will lose. If Iowa state goes to say +6.5 I bet against Kansas. Texas Tech looks like the best Big 12 bet tonight. Kentucky and Duke are Final Four bound - excellent on the road. UK and Duke are just juggernauts. Auburn is as well. LSU has potential. Tennessee has to go to a guard heavy line-up or one of our bigs has to get hot. And I do think JF is going to finish the year with a flurry of good games. He is a Kingsport player. He is tough because of that. This might be one year where the Vols have not peaked early. TN doesn't have the talent of other teams, but they like to fight(and get into fights). That will help come tourney time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bob Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 I'm reminded of the scene in My Cousin Vinny where Joe Pesci says, " Is there any more s--t we can pile on to the top of the outcome of this case?" 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shocker0 Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 On 1/19/2022 at 5:35 PM, Holston_River_Rambler said: There's the La Nina we know and love: Almost nailed this system 15 days ago :O 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 1 hour ago, Shocker0 said: Almost nailed this system 15 days ago :O Just uncanny. So, when you see the GFS honed-in on that event around the 13th....Normally, I would give no model any credence at 240, but it has been locked on. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 4 hours ago, Mr Bob said: I'm reminded of the scene in My Cousin Vinny where Joe Pesci says, " Is there any more s--t we can pile on to the top of the outcome of this case?" LOL. Great quote and WILD map!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Don't ask that question in the South, lol! My Cousin Vinny is classic South too. Tennessee, Auburn and LSU should have wins but all are on the road. UK at Bama may be more interesting than whatever spread comes out. Ole Miss at Florida and MSU at Arkansas might have tighter spreads, but who knows? Over in the Big 12, tell me which Kansas shows up and I'll tell you if they beat Baylor. It is a home game, but so was Kentucky. Bedlam (OU at OSU) will be a barn burner but I favor home team. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 On 2/3/2022 at 4:03 PM, Shocker0 said: Almost nailed this system 15 days ago :O Alright long range GFS in banter, work your magic: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shocker0 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 31 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said: Alright long range GFS in banter, work your magic: I only need it to move about 30 miles north in 15 days to be extra happy. Bonus points if it jogs 60 miles though . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 It's amazing what can happen when High Press is properly anchored north of the region. Too bad it's more than 10 days out. Tennessee showing up on the road. I know the game just started, but the tone is set! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Auburn escaped another win.Not sure what to think about this team.When they are on they are awesome but they seem to get over confident at times and look just bad.Great teams will put the dagger in you and never look back,tells me Auburn can be beat anyday.Kessler is a freak tho,so glad he came to Auburn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 5 Author Share Posted February 5 I'm going to Chattanooga for my yearly Super Bowl trip to my brother's house. So lock in the storm next weekend. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 I meant to post this yesterday but didn't get a chance: Never forget, First Creek Flamingo guy at the Fellini Kroger: https://www.knoxtntoday.com/floating-the-flood-flamingo-mans-not-done-yet/ https://www.knoxnews.com/picture-gallery/news/2020/02/07/knoxville-flooding-high-waters-no-match-man-and-his-unicorn/4692960002/ 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Found the NE folks mentioned this: https://sondehub.org/#!mt=Mapnik&mz=6&qm=1h&mc=36.36181,-84.27051 weather balloon tracker Looks like it even gives you live Skew-Ts 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 For all you who think SEC refs are biased, Big 12 gave a clinic on poor officiating last night. Kansas was gang raped at the post and hardly any of it was called. Could have scored 4-6 extra points off free-throws. Texas got plenty of ticky tacky calls against KU. Normally officiating isn't an excuse, but this game was scripted to keep the Big 12 close for TV revenue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 1/28/2022 at 10:13 PM, Carvers Gap said: @Holston_River_Rambler, we have a new weather teleconnection/model. It is called the HHIW(Hoop House in Winter) model. It seems to be more effective than the TIMS. We built the garden hoop house yesterday. About 26 hours later, I had to go shake it in order to get the snow off of it. @John1122 I'm adding the JiC (John in Chatt) to be like the MJO, that is if John knows the general weeks he has to go to Chatt each winter. We can even create plots. Current conditions 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 6z NAM 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Vols got a nice road win! Do we have a snow index for that? Also we need a rave glowsticks reaction. Really good news such as.. Garden thread going means spring is coming! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silas Lang Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Looks like we are trending towards mostly cloudy in regards to the weekend system. Snow chances went poof on most models today. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shocker0 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Not sure if this article has ever been posted here, but it's an interesting list. Look at #1 I'd say the list is skewed a bit since the winters in the 70's were probably the snowiest on record by average for most of the area, but still is interesting to see what areas have received more or less snow since that decade. https://stacker.com/stories/4020/how-snowfall-levels-have-changed-across-100-us-cities 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greyhound Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 23 minutes ago, Shocker0 said: Not sure if this article has ever been posted here, but it's an interesting list. Look at #1 I'd say the list is skewed a bit since the winters in the 70's were probably the snowiest on record by average for most of the area, but still is interesting to see what areas have received more or less snow since that decade. https://stacker.com/stories/4020/how-snowfall-levels-have-changed-across-100-us-cities Rebuttal to the last sentence of the Knoxville entry: "having less snow might seem nice and certainly be convenient, but it represents a gradual decline in regional climate that will have a ripple effect on what grows and what survives." We get plenty of cold rain to make up the difference. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 1 hour ago, Shocker0 said: Not sure if this article has ever been posted here, but it's an interesting list. Look at #1 I'd say the list is skewed a bit since the winters in the 70's were probably the snowiest on record by average for most of the area, but still is interesting to see what areas have received more or less snow since that decade. https://stacker.com/stories/4020/how-snowfall-levels-have-changed-across-100-us-cities I'm pretty firmly convinced Knoxville's main problem is the recording of snowfall rather than that big of a reduction in the snowfall. It's especially problematic near the airport, which is the warmest/least snowy area in any direction from the airport due to the heat island effect. However, there's far too frequently missing data, even now, to get an accurate official average imo. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 The 18z GFS has reached new levels of flooding: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 5 hours ago, John1122 said: I'm pretty firmly convinced Knoxville's main problem is the recording of snowfall rather than that big of a reduction in the snowfall. It's especially problematic near the airport, which is the warmest/least snowy area in any direction from the airport due to the heat island effect. However, there's far too frequently missing data, even now, to get an accurate official average imo. TRI's snowfall data is completely and totally corrupted. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Lee County Data is corrupted due to the Pennington gap Site. Official NWS Site and Equipment set up not inline with NWS standards. Metal building 10 ft from Thermohydro Sensor. Site situated about 75-100 yards from Powell River only about 10 ft above bank level. It is within the Pennington gap Sewer Plant and manned by plant personnel. The Pennington Station was out of circuit up until a year or so ago due to erroneous data being reported from the previous site 1 m. South of Pennington at the Water Plant on the banks of Powell River and manned by plant employees. There was a time accurate Data was recorded from Pennington gap. WSWV Radio recorded data for about 12 years up until mid 90's, with staff Meteorologist Don Tooley doing the honors there . Long time official Observer Ernest Frye was prior to that beginning around 1950. Both those locations were more reflective of the Pennington gap area. If you want Accurate Forecasts and Model Data, you need accurate, well placed Stations with trustworthy, knowledgeable Observers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 0z GFS: 6z GFS 0z CMC (only to 240): 0z Euro (only to 240): Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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