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COVID-19 Talk

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51 minutes ago, Yeoman said:

He cited a legitimate study.. what's your problem? It doesn't fit your agenda of doom and fear?

Yes and there are other studies that contradict. When we have contradictory evidence what that means is “we don’t know yet and we need to further examine it” not go with the study that fits what I want to be true. 

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I deleted a post because it could have been misconstrued as critical of @Hank Scorpio ‘s post. It wasn’t. It would be awesome if kids have a built in immunity of some sort. My deleted post was because of the ridiculous responses by someone else and I don’t want to engage in it.

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In case you need direct evidence kids can transmit, about 10% of households had a kid as the primary index case by which the virus was transmitted:

 

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.26.20044826v1

 

(This study is included in the Munro study, who has specifically said the conclusion in the media was being reported erroneously)

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Munro notes that there is a paucity of studies on children passing to adults though, for a ton of reasons. Most schools closed relatively early before studies began collecting data, and before widespread testing, so you wouldn't expecct many index cases to be children. Parents are much more likely to continue to be working and entering the community right now. Testing is hard to obtain period right now in many countries. You can't run an experimental study for obvious ethical reasons. Studies looking at viral load and infectivity suggest kids are just as infectious as adults.

 

But on top of all of this, there are tons of studies out there reporting different things in terms of childhood infectivity and so we should listen to the public health officials to draw our conclusions on this, instead of focusing on a single study that confirms our biases.

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It is not really possible to go back to school and distance from others. The hallways are packed, stairs, no way. 

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19 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Yes and there are other studies that contradict. When we have contradictory evidence what that means is “we don’t know yet and we need to further examine it” not go with the study that fits what I want to be true. 

Right.

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Just now, AdamHLG said:

So much for that 3 day downward trend of hospitalized patients..  

Yeah... we're on a bit of an uptick. Hopefully it doesn't go higher.

 

But honestly after I saw what I saw on the trails and parks a couple weekends ago, I am not optimistic.

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8 minutes ago, Rhino16 said:

It is not really possible to go back to school and distance from others. The hallways are packed, stairs, no way. 

There’s no point in going back to school, it’s May

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1 minute ago, Baltimorewx said:

There’s no point in going back to school, it’s May

I'm more following daycares. I don't think I'm ready to send my son back, but if they reopen I'll have a hard choice to make.

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8 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said:

MD will be the last state in the country to being reopening- and when we do, it will likely involve mandatory rectal temperature-taking before entering any store. :lol:

Lol funny. Honestly the only 2 things I miss are restaurants/bars and sports. I never aimlessly went into stores to begin with so I could careless about typical retail. But I’m ready to sit at my local tiki bar, and sip on some drinks while watching the Os game. Weather supportive of course 

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Hogan should spend less time puffing his chest about MARYLAND STRONG and more time fixing the broken unemployment system. My brother waited online for 6 hours to refile, then got an automated form in the mail saying he had to call- and the line has been busy for days, you can never get through. Meanwhile he didn't get paid, his career has been destroyed, and he's running out of money...

The snarky comments on here about "awww Karen can't get her nails done!" -no, it's a lot worse than that.

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33 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said:

There’s no point in going back to school, it’s May

Most of the planning I’m aware of is for summer school and fall. Annoyingly some of the suggestions aren’t realistic. Lots of details need to be worked out. Directives with no way to realistically implement them isn’t helpful.  That’s like a high stakes game of “not my problem, I told them what to do and they didn’t do it”. 

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Hasn’t been confirmed but it sounds like MLB will resume spring training on June 15 and open the season July 1 with teams playing in their own stadiums.

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Just now, nw baltimore wx said:

Hasn’t been confirmed but it sounds like MLB will resume spring training on June 15 and open the season July 1 with teams playing in their own stadiums.

Still a while away but would be acceptable I guess. Question would be with fans? What capacity? Etc etc 

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Just now, Baltimorewx said:

Still a while away but would be acceptable I guess. Question would be with fans? What capacity? Etc etc 

I’m guessing no fans right now. Well, when they start.

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I have so many questions on sports...

 

What happens when a team gets cases? Does the game get canceled, and the team get isolated for 2 weeks? Seems like a logistical nightmare for scheduling.

What happens to the refs, who seem to be in the at risk age range? 

What happens with the coaches, many of who are in similar age ranges?

And of course... what the hell is going to happen with college football?

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18 minutes ago, ErinInTheSky said:

A day or two more of this and we're probably not going to be on track for the 14 day phase 1.

Honestly, we’re probably at the bottom in terms of cases, etc.  It will only go up from here as things start to open and people start to leave their houses.  The question is whether we can keep it at a manageable level or whether it will shoot up again.  It’s not realistic to think cases, deaths, etc., will actually decrease while restrictions are lifted.  

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4 minutes ago, ErinInTheSky said:

I have so many questions on sports...

 

What happens when a team gets cases? Does the game get canceled, and the team get isolated for 2 weeks? Seems like a logistical nightmare for scheduling.

What happens to the refs, who seem to be in the at risk age range? 

What happens with the coaches, many of who are in similar age ranges?

And of course... what the hell is going to happen with college football?

I don’t have answers but I think a lot depends on the availability of rapid testing.  If players, coaches and umps are getting tested daily, then it can be managed.  If someone tests positive, he gets isolated and the rest of the team can continue as long as they test negative.  

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1 minute ago, jaydreb said:

I don’t have answers but I think a lot depends on the availability of rapid testing.  If players, coaches and umps are getting tested daily, then it can be managed.  If someone tests positive, he gets isolated and the rest of the team can continue as long as they test negative.  

Daily testing for every employee of a sports league that is in contact with each other would be so hard... But I hope that we do have that kind of testing capacity. But then it would bring to mind... There are about 120k NFL employees, for instance. 120k daily tests would be more than any state runs.

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15 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

June 10th for start of spring training,

 

Listening to a sports talk radio show and they said that this has been already shot down as not being correct?  I'm looking for more info.

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6 minutes ago, ErinInTheSky said:

Daily testing for every employee of a sports league that is in contact with each other would be so hard... But I hope that we do have that kind of testing capacity. But then it would bring to mind... There are about 120k NFL employees, for instance. 120k daily tests would be more than any state runs.

I’m just throwing out possible ideas that could work but you’re right that it might not be feasible.  

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Just now, jaydreb said:

I’m just throwing out possible ideas that could work but you’re right that it might not be feasible.  

I know, I'm just trying to game out in my head how this could possibly work.

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