WxUSAF Posted December 20, 2019 Share Posted December 20, 2019 20 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: The final panel is the best one. Must be pretty strong consensus to have prominent anomalies d16. Overall you can't ask for a better panel for our region as the panel implies a good storm track and plenty of cold. I hope all of Jan looks like this. Looks like the agent of change this time is the strong ridging pushing onto the northwest coast. That starts D10 (Dec 30), so that’s our mark on the wall to see how timing may change. A few days ago, the pattern change agent was the TPV dropping south into Hudson Bay. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 20, 2019 Share Posted December 20, 2019 New thread: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted December 20, 2019 Share Posted December 20, 2019 1987 was the year I was born....so theres that. Multiple great things came from that year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 20, 2019 Share Posted December 20, 2019 32 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: here were 3 major east coast storms during the month. psu, are you aware of how the CPC develops its 30 day forecast ? I have not seen many issued over the years that go cold and above normal precip in our area for Jan. Is it a combination of fundamental long range forecasting along with modeling or a specific modeling program? There does seem to be growing support for colder risks and storminess this Jan., based on the HL progression and tropical Pac improvements, including several analogs. I have no idea the eventual outcome of the descending QBO for Feb and March. I believe though we broke the 2009 record for sunspots, as in spotless days last week for 2019 versus 2009. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 20, 2019 Share Posted December 20, 2019 53 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Just need this to hold for 16 days and we are good... What could possibly go wrong? Well the Euro sniffed out the pac puke 15+ out. This should balance the karma. On a serious note, I can't see the TPV in that shot. Where did it go? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 20, 2019 Share Posted December 20, 2019 1987 started showing up in analog discussions this fall. That season more than any I can remember going back to 1960s was the one where Every snow opportunity did materialize and usually exceeded predictions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 20, 2019 Share Posted December 20, 2019 1 hour ago, Baltimorewx said: 1987 was the year I was born....so theres that. Multiple great things came from that year Our daughter 1987 also. What month you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 20, 2019 Share Posted December 20, 2019 The 87 winter was historic for the extreme cold into the UK and western Europe. Especially January. I am not really seeing that in the modelling. Does anyone know how those analogs are chosen? Is it computer based? I should edit this by saying it was a crushjob for our entire subforum as well. I can remember bumper sliding for weeks on end in January here. The roads were solid ice for a month. That was my senior year of high school 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted December 20, 2019 Share Posted December 20, 2019 6 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: The 87 winter was historic for the extreme cold into the UK and western Europe. Especially January. I am not really seeing that in the modelling. Does anyone know how those analogs are chosen? Is it computer based? I should edit this by saying it was a crushjob for our entire subforum as well. I can remember bumper sliding for weeks on end in January here. That was my senior year of high school First or second time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 20, 2019 Share Posted December 20, 2019 1 minute ago, nw baltimore wx said: First or second time? First and only. Thank god. I hated school Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted December 20, 2019 Share Posted December 20, 2019 1 hour ago, WEATHER53 said: Our daughter 1987 also. What month you? september. So i missed out on these storms....unless I could sense them from the womb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 20, 2019 Share Posted December 20, 2019 3 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said: There were 3 major NESIS storms during the period. the feb storm was wild. extreme rates overnight that overcame a mild sunday, and knocked out power for days due to the heavy accumulation that stuck to everything. wish some of the historical radars went back that far. that storm is in the KU book as well. the jan storms were more of the powder variety. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 20, 2019 Share Posted December 20, 2019 Nobody talked about the 12Z hi res Euro. But it has some front end flakes with the big cutter next weekend. Something to watch I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 6 hours ago, Baltimorewx said: september. So i missed out on these storms....unless I could sense them from the womb She is sept also. The 9th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 11 hours ago, WEATHER53 said: She is sept also. The 9th Were you still in Kemp Mill at the time? How much did you get for that winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 Then I was in College Park and remember the BW Pkwy being wrecked with trees down by Feb super heavy wet snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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