Ginx snewx Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 58 minutes ago, dendrite said: I can't get a good feel on it. There's a lot of spotty ~0C 850s that bounce around which does seem to indicate flips to frozen with higher uvvs. I wouldn't rule out the low level cold overperforming in the CTRV either as that wetbulbed cooler air to the north drains down the valley. Maybe icier at BDL than NE CT? Probably Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: Nam GW. lol...looks like a likely scenario. Schooling the euro again! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 14, 2018 Author Share Posted December 14, 2018 Congrats DIT, Will, Ray, and Dendrite on the 18z NAM. Gone wild! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 5 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Congrats DIT, Will, Ray, and Dendrite on the 18z NAM. Gone wild! Post clownage.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Post clownage.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 That’s not a congrats DIT but that map is pure garbage. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 Just now, dryslot said: That not wildly different from the 00z euro....gets going a bit faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: That’s not a congrats DIT but that map is pure garbage. It is the Nam were talking about here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 Just keep expectations in check . Elevated ice event interior that ends with 1-3” of snow . Mainly south of route 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That not wildly different from the 00z euro....gets going a bit faster. It went to town and downed a handle of Cuevo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 Scott can't wait to dish out verbal dutch ovens to anyone who threatens to smile....lol 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Scott can't wait to dish out verbal dutch ovens to anyone who threatens to smile....lol So Weymouth got the shat that run....................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just keep expectations in check . Elevated ice event interior that ends with 1-3” of snow . Mainly south of route 2 Where are you getting the south? The system is developing as it traverses the region...that favors latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Scott can't wait to dish out verbal dutch ovens to anyone who threatens to smile....lol Hey I hope and pray with everyone else, but I have a hard time seeing that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 Just now, dryslot said: So Weymouth got the shat that run....................... I did well. That’s not gonna happen James. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: Hey I hope and pray with everyone else, but I have a hard time seeing that. Just yank the blanket right over the melon and end it quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 Those NAM clown maps lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: I did well. That’s not gonna happen James. Quite overdone it appears, But maybe it has the right idea of better development earlier, Seems like other guidance has moved slowly in that direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Where are you getting the south? The system is developing as it traverses the region...that favors latitude. Euro to a degree and EPS and Gfs keep most qpf south .. moving more east than NNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Quite overdone it appears, But maybe it has the right idea of better development earlier, Seems like other guidance has moved slowly in that direction. Basically guidance is literally cooling from top down. There is zero cold. You are going to need massive lift deep into the DGZ to have a chance. That’s a tall task. The mid level tracks are good for CCB action, but that’s still a tall task. We’ll need a rapid development for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Euro to a degree and EPS and Gfs keep most qpf south .. moving more east than NNE 00z Euro did not..haven't seen 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Basically guidance is literally cooling from top down. There is zero cold. You are going to need massive lift deep into the DGZ to have a chance. That’s a tall task. The mid level tracks are good for CCB action, but that’s still a tall task. We’ll need a rapid development for sure. It is, But we have seen this happen before, If you get this thing to go apeshit at the right time, Somebody can score rather quickly, But try pin pointing that now or if it even happens, Something to watch anyways then hashing how long the torch is going to last over the next 7-10 days............... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 I wouldn't discount a faster developmet yet...I mean even if this were to verify, the clown map is garbage....but at least half of that is possible if all breaks right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 GYX put up an HWO with a lot of uncertainty but are leaning towards some slippery travel up here as its right at the morning commute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: It is, But we have seen this happen before, If you get this thing to go apeshit at the right time, Somebody can score rather quickly, But try pin pointing that now or if it even happens, Something to watch anyways then hashing how long the torch is going to last over the next 7-10 days............... Yeah it’s possible. I’d like to see a big change in guidance going nuts at 00z besides the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah it’s possible. I’d like to see a big change in guidance going nuts at 00z besides the NAM. Agree, We will see what the Euro does at 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 14, 2018 Author Share Posted December 14, 2018 A couple inches over the interior would lift spirits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I wouldn't discount a faster developmet yet...I mean even if this were to verify, the clown map is garbage....but at least half of that is possible if all breaks right. lol with that clown map, Ray your new location might get that jackpot! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 55 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just keep expectations in check . Elevated ice event interior that ends with 1-3” of snow . Mainly south of route 2 Nbcct says meh for all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 Pretty but fake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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