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PrinceFrederickWx

Mid-Atlantic winter 2018-19 snowfall contest

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1 hour ago, PrinceFrederickWx said:

You would need at least 4.5" at BWI to win outright (4.6" if you assume DCA gets snow at the same time). You actually have a bit of a cushion at IAD since most of the leaderboard has busted on it. The key for you is making sure RIC gets shut out in the process. You have an outside chance, but it's definitely not impossible.

I believe I could theoretically win with 4.4" at BWI, assuming DCA gets shut out and RIC gets no more than 0.2".  However, if BWI gets 4.4" or more, isn't it very likely that IAD will get at least 3.6"?  And if that happens, Bob Chill will close me out. So I have to thread the needle in a very unlikely manner.  As our President might tweet: SAD! 

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26 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said:

@nj2va

Tried to get this all in one screenshot- RIC Airport is a little cut off at the bottom but he's the last place one.

If you click on the picture, it should pop up bigger on your screen to read better (at least it does for me)

 

full listing.JPG

Awesome!!! I am perfectly positioned for the KU we get in a little under a week and a half. You all won't know what hit you. 

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3 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said:

O....k..... think I’ll be stepping away now... 

Yep, stir the pot then walk away. Typical. :D

eta: And no, you are not on my List. ;)

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2 minutes ago, showmethesnow said:

Awesome!!! I am perfectly positioned for the KU we get in a little under a week and a half. You all won't know what hit you. 

You and me both, except I'm looking for a March KU which screws Richmond. Let's make it happen! (sorry Richmond peeps, but not really)

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Just now, Cobalt said:

You and me both, except I'm looking for a March KU which screws Richmond. Let's make it happen! (sorry Richmond peeps, but not really)

Think I would much rather have my KU then yours. Yours would be a foot/foot and a half through Balt/DC whereas mine would be upwards of 3 feet. I know which I would prefer. :)

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Just now, PrinceFrederickWx said:

I mean, can you imagine what would would happen if I won my own contest, having already pissed off The Reaper and ShowMe? I'd be ducking tomatoes as I exit!

I just knew this whole thing was rigged. I want my money back. 

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Just now, showmethesnow said:

Think I would much rather have my KU then yours. Yours would be a foot/foot and a half through Balt/DC whereas mine would be upwards of 3 feet. I know which I would prefer. :)

I'd be perfectly fine with being out of the contest for that :snowing:

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2 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said:

This contest is fake news, all rigged people!

All rigged by "Big Snow" to get people to buy copious amounts of snow shovels and snowblowers. A sham, all of it!

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1 hour ago, RodneyS said:

I believe I could theoretically win with 4.4" at BWI, assuming DCA gets shut out and RIC gets no more than 0.2".  However, if BWI gets 4.4" or more, isn't it very likely that IAD will get at least 3.6"?  And if that happens, Bob Chill will close me out. So I have to thread the needle in a very unlikely manner.  As our President might tweet: SAD! 

Oh I forgot to respond to this- you're right, I was 0.1" off for what you need to win at BWI (that's what I get for doing it in my head instead of running it through the spreadsheet!)

For example, a system that drops 4.5" at BWI, 3" at IAD, 1" at DCA and nothing at RIC would make you a winner.

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7 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said:

Oh I forgot to respond to this- you're right, I was 0.1" off for what you need to win at BWI (that's what I get for doing it in my head instead of running it through the spreadsheet!)

For example, a system that drops 4.5" at BWI, 3" at IAD, 1" at DCA and nothing at RIC would make you a winner.

I think the DCA and RIC parts are plausible.  The BWI and IAD parts -- not so much, particularly regarding the greater amount of snow that has to fall at BWI in a moderate area-wide event (or events).  However, at this point in the snow season, almost everyone who is not mathematically eliminated can cling to a thin strand of hope, so that's what I'll do.  :) 

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We're just going into the fourth quarter, and Belichek is whispering stuff in Tom Brady's ear, and he's smiling that smile. 

Current leaders, enjoy what little time you have left. 

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31 minutes ago, Roger Smith said:

We're just going into the fourth quarter, and Belichek is whispering stuff in Tom Brady's ear, and he's smiling that smile. 

Current leaders, enjoy what little time you have left. 

Be quiet Roger.  You don't know nothing about nothing. 

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Have updated the files back on page five that give the overview against RIC and DCA actuals. Working on the list of snowfall required, as we have the full list now from Prince Fred wx, I am checking it against that, so far down to 15th place and it all matches up. Will go faster now that I am past most of the adding on type errors, down to the thundering herd of reducing errors. But will we find that distant watering hole? Coach Belichek says yes, the secondary looks tired and this play should work Tom ... and Tom says yeah, I can do this. 

(on three, KU wide right cut to the left sidelines). 

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9 minutes ago, Roger Smith said:

Have updated the files back on page five that give the overview against RIC and DCA actuals. Working on the list of snowfall required, as we have the full list now from Prince Fred wx, I am checking it against that, so far down to 15th place and it all matches up. Will go faster now that I am past most of the adding on type errors, down to the thundering herd of reducing errors. But will we find that distant watering hole? Coach Belichek says yes, the secondary looks tired and this play should work Tom ... and Tom says yeah, I can do this. 

(on three, KU wide right cut to the left sidelines). 

Yeah I think from now on, due to popular demand, I'm just gonna post the entire list each time. Let me know if you find any differences between your list and mine- I am appointing you Special Counsel to overlook any possible malfeasance in this contest committed by its president. :-)

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