HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 Current model indications as of 0Z on 1/27 show it being a southern sub forum special (which for the record, you guys deserve), but based on past model trends and verification over the past few months, anything is possible still at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
n1vek Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 Josh - you know what to do. Glad I'm not in the bullseye at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 36 minutes ago, n1vek said: Josh - you know what to do. Glad I'm not in the bullseye at this point. I used to think that same thing!! It seems that's a trend of days gone by, and that storms now hold their path or go SE of what is being modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 How Nino-like. We go from 50+ degs to a storm running south of us! Fantastic stuff.....said nobody Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 This thing is trying to turn into a glorified frontal passage, but not quite all the way there. Obviously you want to be south of I-80 at this point for the better chance of accumulating snow, although there is the separate northern stream clipper type system that has its own area of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 12z GFS has heaviest snow through KY and 12z GGEM has heaviest snow I-70 and north in IL/IN/OH. Still lots to be worked out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Street Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 I70 is a mile from where I live. I'm not liking being in the bullseye this early on.. waiting for models to trend SE as usual! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 27 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: 12z GFS has heaviest snow through KY and 12z GGEM has heaviest snow I-70 and north in IL/IN/OH. Still lots to be worked out. Many of the ensemble members split the difference between the two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 39 minutes ago, Jrad08 said: Many of the ensemble members split the difference between the two. 12z Ukie does the same. Basically has an I-70 special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 1 hour ago, Street said: I70 is a mile from where I live. I'm not liking being in the bullseye this early on.. waiting for models to trend SE as usual! Don't worry, I-70 will be safe. Guess who gets snow? Kentucky, Detroit, Toledo, Chicago, New York. Note: this 12z Euro run is not done yet, but this time frame is Tuesday 00z (Monday, 6:00PM CT) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 12z Euro looks more like the 12z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 3 minutes ago, Chinook said: Don't worry, I-70 will be safe. Guess who gets snow? Kentucky, Detroit, Toledo, Chicago, New York. Note: this 12z Euro run is not done yet, but this time frame is Tuesday 00z (Monday, 6:00PM CT) That looks like the 00z run. You have to be careful on that site as the run is coming in as it will give you the old run if the incoming run is not out far enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 30 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: 12z Ukie does the same. Basically has an I-70 special. I kind of like where we ( I-70 crowd) sit. Ggem is almost a miss to the north....gfs is a close miss to the south and the euro is about 75 miles south and a few mb shy from being a nice one. I'm not completely convinced this is going to be our usual weakening and increasingly suppressed wave....although definitely posdible with a pressing shot of fresh arctic air and a positively tilted trough. At least something to track again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 5 minutes ago, buckeye said: I kind of like where we ( I-70 crowd) sit. Ggem is almost a miss to the north....gfs is a close miss to the south and the euro is about 75 miles south and a few mb shy from being a nice one. I'm not completely convinced this is going to be our usual weakening and increasingly suppressed wave....although definitely posdible with a pressing shot of fresh arctic air and a positively tilted trough. At least something to track again. Oh no buddy! You are showing your optimistic side again! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 6 minutes ago, pondo1000 said: Oh no buddy! You are showing your optimistic side again! Lol I know...ill probably get burned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 12z euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 22 minutes ago, buckeye said: I kind of like where we ( I-70 crowd) sit. Ggem is almost a miss to the north....gfs is a close miss to the south and the euro is about 75 miles south and a few mb shy from being a nice one. I'm not completely convinced this is going to be our usual weakening and increasingly suppressed wave....although definitely posdible with a pressing shot of fresh arctic air and a positively tilted trough. At least something to track again. I share the same optimism but cautious optimism at that. Right now it's like we have two goal post, one on either side and we just need the kicker to put it through the uprights! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 35 minutes ago, Hoosier said: That looks like the 00z run. You have to be careful on that site as the run is coming in as it will give you the old run if the incoming run is not out far enough. You are right. the 12z run has something different, like a total of 0.4" of QPF for Detroit and Chicago as snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 12 minutes ago, Chinook said: You are right. the 12z run has something different, like a total of 0.4" of QPF for Detroit and Chicago as snow. Over the entire 10 day run though. This particular storm whiffed both places on the 12z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 Much like the 12z GEFS was north of 12z GFS, 12z Euro EPS mean is also north of 12z Euro OP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2012 Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 18z GFS no big changes except Cincy gets about an inch from weak Monday system.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 27, 2018 Author Share Posted January 27, 2018 18Z GFS is a very slight tick northwest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 0z GFS still has heaviest snows in KY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 0z GGEM is a little south of its 12z. 6"+ from about St. Louis to Indy to Youngstown and south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 And then there was nothing, for anyone, LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 8 minutes ago, Frog Town said: And then there was nothing, for anyone, LOL I was optimistic that the event a couple weeks ago might have been an indication that the long lasting pattern of disappearing squashed events was starting to turn around. Silly me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 It's been dying a slow death for a couple days. Gem following suit now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 5 minutes ago, CoachLB said: It's been dying a slow death for a couple days. Gem following suit now. Of course gfs moves the goal posts and says just wait a couple of days later.... We are into mirage storm tracking mode now. A fresh threat always 168 hrs out, each one falling apart as it gets closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 The Canuk just had a seizure lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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