CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 3 minutes ago, ayuud11 said: Dude pouring snow right now, has to be coming down at 1”/hr rate.. Very nice, enjoy as the sounding did very well in this instance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 8 minutes ago, ayuud11 said: Dude pouring snow right now, has to be coming down at 1”/hr rate.. Yeah it's crushing here too, 1.4" since it switched to snow around 10:45 so I would say about an inch an hour rates and it had a bit of a hard time accumulating at first since everything was so wet but now that we got over an inch down the snow seems to be accumulating better. Snow is extremely wet and heavy but seems to be drying out a bit now judging by flake size which is good for my back And this pic is literally within 2 minutes after I finished shoveling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Flipped to crazy heavy snow here. Like a switch, straight from heavy sleet to thumping snow, two minutes. Im on the 490/390 interchange....shows up really nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Switched in West Webster... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Moderate to heavy snow Williamsville 2.1"me thinks 4 to 5 inches on tap for this round today...give me 5 more tomorrow and I'll be thrilled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 3 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Flipped to crazy heavy snow here. Like a switch, straight from heavy sleet to thumping snow, two minutes. Im on the 490/390 interchange....shows up really nicely. I’m close to that KBUF airport and that fking radar hole bugs me every time lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Just now, ayuud11 said: I’m close to that KBUF airport and that fking radar hole bugs me every time lol Yeah, that sucks..but there isnt anything they can do about that. I still don't understand why the windmills aren't background subtracted out or just removed all together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Going to be a nice band in southern Oswego county Monday morning before lifting north.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Tomorrows event is getting better end better with each subsequent run as it enters a vast area of data assimilation as it is just now jumping the Rockies as it redevelops in and around the Panhandle of TX. 12Z tomorrow its rounding the base headed for KPIT then transferring its energy offshore but not before depositing 6-10" area wide with enhancement to the E&SE of LO. Good times ahead, and yeah, not encouraging in the longer range for storminess unless your to the ESE of the lakes for the next several days or so. We'll all cash in this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 5 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Yeah, that sucks..but there isnt anything they can do about that. I still don't understand why the windmills aren't background subtracted out or just removed all together. I know those windmills out in Wyoming county are constant but I don’t think I’ve seen it happen with the LES bands, only time I notice it is when we have these general storm systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 2 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Tomorrows event is getting better end better with each subsequent run as it enters a vast area of data assimilation as it is just now jumping the Rockies as it redevelops in and around the Panhandle of TX. 12Z tomorrow its rounding the base headed for KPIT then transferring its energy offshore but not before depositing 6-10" area wide with enhancement to the E&SE of LO. Good times ahead, and yeah, not encouraging in the longer range for storminess unless your to the ESE of the lakes for the next several days or so. We'll all cash in this week. I agree it’s starting to look good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 23, 2017 Author Share Posted December 23, 2017 Even then the LES event is looking more like a tug event now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Only to 48 hours. About 6 more hours of lake snow after for monroe Wayne counties Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Huge flakes starting to mix in with heavy freezing rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Same here. 4 minutes ago, tim123 said: Huge flakes starting to mix in with heavy freezing rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 11 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Even then the LES event is looking more like a tug event now. I disagree, but I may see things differently. According to Bufkit and soundings out of KFZY winds veer to the WNW in one form or another from Monday evening through Thursday Morning before it gets squashed by an incoming Arctic HP! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 23, 2017 Author Share Posted December 23, 2017 1 minute ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: I disagree, but I may see things differently. According to Bufkit and soundings out of KFZY winds veer to the WNW in one form or another from Monday evening through Thursday Morning before it gets squashed by an incoming Arctic HP which squashes everything! bufkit soundings utilizing which model? Bufkit doesn't have soundings. When you load bufkit you have to input a dataset. OSU taught me how to use Bufkit last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: bufkit soundings utilizing which model? Any one you want. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 23, 2017 Author Share Posted December 23, 2017 I believe this is website to upload model data into Bufkit. https://www.weather.gov/cae/bufkit.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Regardless of exactly where the band sets up - GFS has pretty consistent flow Monday night - Thursday morning. If it focuses on one spot, someone will see some pretty big totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 12Z Tuesday, GFS, Yeah I know a Global but just getting an better look at above lvls. Definitely a bit o shear. 00Z Wed, even further NW 12Z Wed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 SWVA, you will get snow regardless of where the exact band sets up as there is copious amounts of moisture from Monday evening through Wed so don't concern yourself as I wouldn't. I'm moere concerned down here of not seeing much as it usually sits just to my North and it absolutely kills me but what can I do but chase 4 miles to my North, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 23, 2017 Author Share Posted December 23, 2017 The snow falling is definitely not “fake snow” @Syrmax Shout out to your sig. Has to be 1:10 stuff maybe less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 5 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: SWVA, you will get snow regardless of where the exact band sets up as there is copious amounts of moisture from Monday evening through Wed so don't concern yourself as I wouldn't. I'm moere concerned down here of not seeing much as it usually sits just to my North and it absolutely kills me but what can I do but chase 4 miles to my North, lol! What is your location? I’m sure I will get snow. Selfishly wanting something memorable. Biggest 3 day total I have witnessed is 36”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 The NAM is just incredible with its parameters starting Christmas evening in So. Oswego. 00Z Tuesday Nam Eq up tp 12-14000ft, Steep lapse rates with an aligned 295 flow right into Fulton and No Onondaga! 12Z Tuesday Pretty similar but Eq drops substantially but still a band around with a mean flow between 290-95. 00Z Wed Nam its a WNW to at times a straight westerly flow but can it change, yeah and it probably will, but these wind trajectories spell out to me a band oscillating from SO. Oswego trough the Southern Tug. The Trough axis is much further East to expect a constant 270 flow but thats what usually happens, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Omega values Monday evening through Tuesday are insane ( during periods, not the whole time)! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Rn/SN line has stopped just to our West, lol, what else is new! It wont go past the system unless it moves to our East but its taking its time now! SWVA, I'm to your S&W by about 35 miles, Central Square-Palermo area if your heading up 81 towards redfield! You do have snowmobiles right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 23, 2017 Author Share Posted December 23, 2017 That high is going to end the fun. Hopefully it doesn't stay long. 1043 mb is just insane. The strongest on record was 1083.8mb (32 in) at Agata, Siberia, Russia. Pretty insane how strong that high is going to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Decent amount of sleet starting to mix in, right on time.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Gfs ensambles much more snow than op run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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