SP Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 3 at cabin. Cigar walk. Winds too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 Disclaimer: I am not on nor off the bandwagon or threat train. I said before there is certainly potential. I just think it will take more than merely just pulling a rabbit out of a hat to get anything close to the Euro to verify. There are alot of things that need to go right for this to work. And believe me, if things start to trend favorably it will be noted appropriately. So save me a seat on that train just in case. I dont need to be the first on-board in the first seat nor do I need to be the engineer.....not about that for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 11.9F as of 9:20pm Regarding Sat, I'll go with 1"-2" the all around total for many of us (perhaps a tad more). At least we know there will be no stick-age problems so every flake will count. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 29, 2017 Author Share Posted December 29, 2017 Temp already down to 13 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Plowsman Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 13 in Freehold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 currently @ 10 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 29, 2017 Author Share Posted December 29, 2017 Current temp is 11 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 Overnight guidance for January 4 pulled another Ryan Howard. Mid June, big game against a division rival, bottom of the 7th, trailing by 2 runs, runners on 1st and 2nd, nobody out, Howard at bat.....a steady stream of low and outside breaking balls has the count at 1 ball 2 strikes......the 1-2 pitch.....big swing and a miss at another low and outside breaking ball. He may or may not get another at bat this game but at least there is plenty of season to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 Actually bottomed out a little warmer this morning (13F) than yesterday morning (12F). Currently 14 and mostly cloudy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 Low of 2F, currently 4F. Dusting of snow last night. Big boulder cranking up their snow making big time, creating a plume that crosses the mountain and extends across 903. At one point it extended several miles.Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 Got down to 8 last night. Currently 9F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 This weather pattern is an optimists worst nightmare Need an atmospheric reshuffle stat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 Visiting my mom for the holidays out East here (Hatboro). Was hoping for something good to track while I was home, seems as though it's a tough cold-and-dry pattern thus far. You can have too much of a good thing, I suppose (that is arctic air availability). I'm guessing we'll need a pattern relaxation or shift of some kind before threats become viable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 I have a humidifier going and a pot of water on the stove and it is still like the Mojave desert in my house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 1 hour ago, Bluescat1 said: I have a humidifier going and a pot of water on the stove and it is still like the Mojave desert in my house. ^^^^THIS^^^^ I have a portable "whole house" humidifier running along with regular ones in my bedroom and in the basement next to some overwintering plants, and it's a struggle to keep the humidity in the 30 - 40% range. In the rooms without one, the humidity is 28% or less. Since this is an extended cold event, I may have to pull out an old extra one to supplement. As an obs, I at least made it above 20F today (currently 22) vs yesterday where my high was 19. I thought I heard a blip on the radio today about the city considering postponing the Mummers Parade... I just heard the tail end but I think it was in consideration of spectators out there. A decision was supposed to be made by tomorrow I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 8 minutes ago, greenskeeper said: If you have forced air vents in/near the floor, putting a tray of water at each will humidify the house nicely. I've got a woodstove as my primary heat (baseboard electric otherwise) and I put a pot of water on top to boil off and re-humidify the air I have my "whole house" one (3 gallon) right next to a large intake vent on the first floor. But with dews in the single digits that have been going below 0 overnight, the poor things are struggling. I have my thermostat set at 66. At least my bedroom one has been keeping it closer to 50% (with the door closed). I just dug out an extra one to set up on the first floor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 Never used a humidifier, my house is like a Tesla coil in winter call me lightning man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 7 minutes ago, RedSky said: Never used a humidifier, my house is like a Tesla coil in winter call me lightning man. Ben Franklin would be proud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 25 minutes ago, RedSky said: Never used a humidifier, my house is like a Tesla coil in winter call me lightning man. Now that's funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 GFS shifted west on the 18z. Small improvements in the 72-96 hour time frame resulted in a couple 100 miles difference at the surface downstream. If we continue to tick and tick towards better trends, eventually the surface will respond and we'll all be happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 8 minutes ago, greenskeeper said: you're probably making your heating system work harder by doing that. what type of forced air do you have? I'd move the humidifier away from the intake vent to a more centralized location and not send the humidity directly into the air handler It's a gas furnace with fan motor that is part of central air system (that includes exterior AC unit that dehumidifies the air in the summer). I know there are actually furnace humidifiers that can be installed directly at the furnace but given this is only an issue for about 4 months out of the year, I went with a "bigger" portable to replace the 3 smaller ones I was using before for the 1st floor. It has been a godsend otherwise during normal winter temps. The unit is pretty much "centralized" in location but the vent that it is near runs along the raised portion of dining room (not on the floor) adjacent to the "sunken living room" so wherever I would put it would have moisture sucked towards it regardless. I grew up with the Kamu "boiler" and thumping radiators so the central air thing is foreign to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 That is some brutal cold coming late next week Today's high temperature 22F the low 10F 11.5F currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Models are shifting back west with the Jan 3-5 storm. Please don't let this be the ultimate Lucy. Here's the GEFS trend: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Models are shifting back west with the Jan 3-5 storm. Please don't let this be the ultimate Lucy. Here's the GEFS trend:Largest changes creating this look is the slowing down of the lead shortwave in the South. Euro actually had a phase AND signal that a 3rd piece of energy could complete the cycle. GFS shows similar. Interest/excitement level raised to a 4.5 out of 10....took a nice jump up overnight :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Keep in mind we need the trends to continue.....we dont want to start taking steps back. I have a split between an impactful event for the region and partly cloudy skies. It is that close between all or nothing imo. If that front running energy goes out ahead of everything with a late phase it pulls the pendulum East with it grazing the Mid Atl coast before snapping back and crushing New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Last 2 runs of the models have moved west. Nice trend. I don't think at this point the front running wave will be forecast to speed up. It would be nice to have that northern piece drop in faster or have the whole system set up 100 or so miles further west. I'm feeling this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 30, 2017 Author Share Posted December 30, 2017 Light snow falling here, a dusting so far. Temp 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 With what will be a controversial move the coach benched Lucy and is sending crazy uncle out to hold the football next week, but will Ralph kick? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Ukie run is borderline absurdity 12" to State College Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 7 minutes ago, RedSky said: Ukie run is borderline absurdity 12" to State College Yeah it has a tucked low right into the coast! QPF values of 1-2 inches across the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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