ORH_wxman Posted March 9, 2017 Author Share Posted March 9, 2017 11 minutes ago, JC-CT said: The rgem should bump a smidge north Yeah a nice bump actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Ive doubled my 3-5" call for SCT to CCT. RGEM is sweet, helps the northern fringers too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Oops, not doubled...math ftl. 5-7" for north of merritt into central zones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Oops, not doubled...math ftl. 5-7" for north of merritt into central zones. wow, thats a lot, what are you basing this on/models you are using? I haven't made a map yet as im still at work but I'm thinking something like 1-3 N 1/2 of CT and 3-6 for southern 1/2 of CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Reggie matches Ukie and Euro. There's your final 90 south 3-6 lolli 7-8 1-3 north 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 BOX has all of SE MA in a WSW. Ballsy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 How is this looking like for Metro Boston? Will it be anything which will effect traffic? My spouse is considering a daytrip to the city but doesn't want to bother if the roads will be a headache. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Just now, klw said: How is this looking like for Metro Boston? Will it be anything which will effect traffic? My spouse is considering a daytrip to the city but doesn't want to bother if the roads will be a headache. Nah. Rds will be ok I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 1 to 3 hartford to the pike. 3 to 6 south of that and a dusting to an inch just north of the pike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: BOX has all of SE MA in a WSW. Ballsy. And the higher end WSWs aren't even fringe cases, they are well within warning with a 6-10 range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 HRRR tickling north too. What a PITA forecast. Sticking with 1-2 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 9, 2017 Author Share Posted March 9, 2017 GFS coming north it looks like through 12h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Just now, ineedsnow said: 1 to 3 hartford to the pike. 3 to 6 south of that and a dusting to an inch just north of the pike yep, exactly, though there is the potential for 6+ in some areas where heavier banding sets up, wouldnt surprise me to some some 7 or 8 amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Just now, ORH_wxman said: GFS coming north it looks like through 12h. Definitely. Although these are small adjustments in my mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Not bashing or anything, whdh very conservative with snow fall and northern extent of flakes...mentioned they were worried about the dry air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: GFS coming north it looks like through 12h. Yes it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 9, 2017 Author Share Posted March 9, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: Yes it is. I'm still bothered by the vort track and upper air sig overall....I won't be surprised if this tries and tickles north again at 00z one last time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 This will be a good hit on s coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 9, 2017 Author Share Posted March 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Definitely. Although these are small adjustments in my mind. Yeah but in this system 25-30 mi is probably a big deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Just now, ORH_wxman said: I'm still bothered by the vort track and upper air sig overall....I won't be surprised if this tries and tickles north again at 00z one last time. But it's also sharper compared to 12z. Maybe euro ftw? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Yeah but in this system 25-30 mi is probably a big deal. Don't need to tell me, I'm right on the fringe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 9, 2017 Author Share Posted March 9, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: This will be a good hit on s coast. Won't be surprised if there is a fluff bomb bust somewhere down there....like someone wrings out 8-9" on like 0.44" qpf or something. Banding sig is high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Hell 15 miles means everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Won't be surprised if there is a fluff bomb bust somewhere down there....like someone wrings out 8-9" on like 0.44" qpf or something. Banding sig is high. Whoever is in that band will do well for sure. Automatic fluff job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 9 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 1 to 3 hartford to the pike. 3 to 6 south of that and a dusting to an inch just north of the pike bring each zone north. The south trend was not real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 6 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Don't need to tell me, I'm right on the fringe You are probably in the jackpot zone I think. I think you have best chance of 7-8". Just south of me over to interior RI..farther south gonna have ptype issues for first part Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 15 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: wow, thats a lot, what are you basing this on/models you are using? I haven't made a map yet as im still at work but I'm thinking something like 1-3 N 1/2 of CT and 3-6 for southern 1/2 of CT 9 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: yep, exactly, though there is the potential for 6+ in some areas where heavier banding sets up, wouldnt surprise me to some some 7 or 8 amounts Thats what I am going with. A 5-7" swath through south central CT is not alot as you initially stated, certainly in the relm. Its a top end of the range but I go big or go home with this. I dont see the red flags unless you get to BDL on north. 3-6" is a fine call imo, I just made my floor 2" higher than yours lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You are probably in the jackpot zone I think. I think you have best chance of 7-8". Just south of me over to interior RI..farther south gonna have ptype issues for first part I'm sure I can get that if I measure hard enough. That's good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 7 minutes ago, JC-CT said: I'm sure I can get that if I measure hard enough. That's good Just measure in the grass and jam the ruler into the earth as hard as you possibly can, you'll get 8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 BOX's ZFP for HFD county has 2-4", while their WSW product statement has 3-5", and their map has 4-6". lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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