40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Steve, how are tides and astro considerations? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 minute ago, Paragon said: But admit it, if the models switched positions, and it was the Euro showing the western solution and the GFS showing the eastern solution, we'd have far more reason to be concerned. That's because GFS has always struggled with these types of coastals while they are in the euro wheelhouse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Of course...I am supporting something just west of the 12z euro. Same here, and we've seen this kind of situation before with big storms (perhaps not with the GFS as the western outlier though) and the Euro wins about 80% of the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Just now, weathafella said: That's because GFS has always struggled with these types of coastals while they are in the euro wheelhouse. Yep, higher resolution and all that stuff. The list of big storms where the Euro wins in these kinds of situations is a veritable who's who (and also includes some tropical systems.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Steve, how are tides and astro considerations? full moon is on Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The euro is an all-timer.....make no mistake about it. That verifies, someone sees 3', or even a bit more. For the kids, Arctic front came through on the 21st and that day Walt Drag wrote an all time AFD for what was on the 25th an all time blizzard in EMA, rest of us did pretty fin good too with some loser in subsidence as always. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: For the kids, Arctic front came through on the 21st and that day Walt Drag wrote an all time AFD for what was on the 25th an all time blizzard in EMA, rest of us did pretty fin good too with some loser in subsidence as always. Oddly enough...I don't even think that one cracks my top 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 2 minutes ago, Paragon said: full moon is on Monday Ah...we need it Tuesday.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Steve, how are tides and astro considerations? Full moon goon and tides are AN a bit ,any stall and issues but seems progressive for the most part Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Ah...we need it Tuesday.. Full moon spans 3 days really and the strongest highest tide and currents is the Tues one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 This is a free program I use, you can set it for any location around the world and it gives you a graphical depiction of the weather and accurate sun and moon times and phases and depiction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 GEFS appear to go over elbow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Full moon spans 3 days really and the strongest highest tide and currents is the Tues one Yeah, it's actually Monday night which makes its effects strongest on Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Maybe even just east or over ACK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 GEFS is further east than the op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Oddly enough...I don't even think that one cracks my top 5. Official says 27 in Wilmington Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Just now, Snow88 said: GEFS is further east than the op Also just east of previous GEFS run if I'm not mistaken? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Full moon spans 3 days really and the strongest highest tide and currents is the Tues one Oh, ok.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Official says 27 in Wilmington I measured 25"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Official says 27 in Wilmington That was the big one for Plymouth, they got 40" there if I remember right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 There were alot of west of bm members on 12z eps and the mean seemed skewed by two wacky bermuda solutions. Anyway, curious to see if 0z op follows or does it stay and its eps clusters begin to shift se a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 4 minutes ago, Paragon said: This is a free program I use, you can set it for any location around the world and it gives you a graphical depiction of the weather and accurate sun and moon times and phases and depiction. The icon and phase are not in sync Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 minute ago, Paragon said: That was the big one for Plymouth, they got 40" there if I remember right. Mashpee 40.5 inches (91.4 cm), 5:23 p.m. January 23Sagamore Beach 40.0 inches (91.4 cm), 9:44 p.m. January 23Yarmouth Port 39.0 inches (91.4 cm), 2:40 p.m. January 23Brewster 38.5 inches (90.2 cm), 8:20 p.m. January 23Harwich Port 38.0 inches (88.9 cm), 10:49 p.m. January 23 general publicSandwich 37.5 inches (86.4 cm), 3:15 p.m. January 23 NWS employeeNorth Eastham 36.5 inches (81.3 cm), 5:28 p.m. January 23 Bristol CountyEdit New Bedford 26.0 inches (66 cm), 5 Ft (1.5 m) DriftsTaunton 26.0 inches (66 cm), 3:31 p.m. January 23, 5 Ft (1.5 m) DriftsFairhaven 25.5 inches (64.8 cm), 8:47 p.m. January 23Rehoboth 25.0 inches (63.5 cm), 2:47 p.m. January 23Easton 23.0 inches (58.4 cm), 1:07 p.m. January 23 W.E. 1.71Acushnet 21.5 inches (54.6 cm), 3:04 p.m. January 23Somerset 20.0 inches (50.8 cm), 3:03 p.m. January 23Taunton 18.0 inches (45.7 cm), 7:00 p.m. January 23 NWS Office kboxSeekonk 15.0 inches (38.1 cm), 4:30 p.m. January 23, 5 Ft (1.5 m) drifts Dukes CountyEdit Edgartown 24.0 inches (71.1 cm), 2:40 p.m. January 23 Essex CountyEdit Salem 38.0 inches (96.5 cm), 2:56 p.m. January 23 EmHaverhill 36.5 inches (92.7 cm), 9:59 p.m. January 23, 7 Ft (2.1 m) driftsNorth Andover 33.0 inches (83.8 cm), 1:00 p.m. January 23, 6 Ft (1.8 m) driftsNorth Beverly 32.0 inches (81.3 cm), 8:25 p.m. January 23Peabody 30.0 inches (76.2 cm), 1:55 p.m. January 23Saugus 30.0 inches (76.2 cm), 2:34 p.m. January 23Topsfield 30.0 inches (76.2 cm), 5:52 p.m. January 23West Peabody 30.0 inches (76.2 cm), 3:53 p.m. January 23Marblehead Neck 29.0 inches (73.7 cm), 2:34 p.m. January 23Methuen 27.0 inches (68.6 cm), 2:04 p.m. January 23Salem 27.0 inches (68.6 cm), 10:40 p.m. January 23 Salem stateManchester 26.5 inches (67.3 cm), 3:09 p.m. January 23Beverly 26.0 inches (66 cm), 8:02 p.m. January 23 CO-Op observerIpswich 26.0 inches (66 cm), 3:10 p.m. January 23Marblehead 26.0 inches (66 cm), 9:41 p.m. January 23Lynn 24.0 inches (61 cm), 2:50 p.m. January 23Rowley 24.0 inches (61 cm), 2:56 p.m. January 23Swampscott 24.0 inches (61 cm), 3:53 p.m. January 23Lawrence 23.0 inches (58.4 cm), 1:30 p.m. January 23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: The icon and phase are not in sync I think it's just the icon for cloud conditions. At the bottom it says moon phase 98%. It would actually be showing the moon, but apparently it's behind the clouds lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Mashpee 40.5 inches (91.4 cm), 5:23 p.m. January 23Sagamore Beach 40.0 inches (91.4 cm), 9:44 p.m. January 23Yarmouth Port 39.0 inches (91.4 cm), 2:40 p.m. January 23Brewster 38.5 inches (90.2 cm), 8:20 p.m. January 23Harwich Port 38.0 inches (88.9 cm), 10:49 p.m. January 23 general publicSandwich 37.5 inches (86.4 cm), 3:15 p.m. January 23 NWS employeeNorth Eastham 36.5 inches (81.3 cm), 5:28 p.m. January 23 Bristol CountyEdit New Bedford 26.0 inches (66 cm), 5 Ft (1.5 m) DriftsTaunton 26.0 inches (66 cm), 3:31 p.m. January 23, 5 Ft (1.5 m) DriftsFairhaven 25.5 inches (64.8 cm), 8:47 p.m. January 23Rehoboth 25.0 inches (63.5 cm), 2:47 p.m. January 23Easton 23.0 inches (58.4 cm), 1:07 p.m. January 23 W.E. 1.71Acushnet 21.5 inches (54.6 cm), 3:04 p.m. January 23Somerset 20.0 inches (50.8 cm), 3:03 p.m. January 23Taunton 18.0 inches (45.7 cm), 7:00 p.m. January 23 NWS Office kboxSeekonk 15.0 inches (38.1 cm), 4:30 p.m. January 23, 5 Ft (1.5 m) drifts Dukes CountyEdit Edgartown 24.0 inches (71.1 cm), 2:40 p.m. January 23 Essex CountyEdit Salem 38.0 inches (96.5 cm), 2:56 p.m. January 23 EmHaverhill 36.5 inches (92.7 cm), 9:59 p.m. January 23, 7 Ft (2.1 m) driftsNorth Andover 33.0 inches (83.8 cm), 1:00 p.m. January 23, 6 Ft (1.8 m) driftsNorth Beverly 32.0 inches (81.3 cm), 8:25 p.m. January 23Peabody 30.0 inches (76.2 cm), 1:55 p.m. January 23Saugus 30.0 inches (76.2 cm), 2:34 p.m. January 23Topsfield 30.0 inches (76.2 cm), 5:52 p.m. January 23West Peabody 30.0 inches (76.2 cm), 3:53 p.m. January 23Marblehead Neck 29.0 inches (73.7 cm), 2:34 p.m. January 23Methuen 27.0 inches (68.6 cm), 2:04 p.m. January 23Salem 27.0 inches (68.6 cm), 10:40 p.m. January 23 Salem stateManchester 26.5 inches (67.3 cm), 3:09 p.m. January 23Beverly 26.0 inches (66 cm), 8:02 p.m. January 23 CO-Op observerIpswich 26.0 inches (66 cm), 3:10 p.m. January 23Marblehead 26.0 inches (66 cm), 9:41 p.m. January 23Lynn 24.0 inches (61 cm), 2:50 p.m. January 23Rowley 24.0 inches (61 cm), 2:56 p.m. January 23Swampscott 24.0 inches (61 cm), 3:53 p.m. January 23Lawrence 23.0 inches (58.4 cm), 1:30 p.m. January 23 Woohoo, I do actually remember that! Parts of the Cape got near 100" of snow that season- truly historic! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 This is trending towards more of a MECS with each model run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I measured 25"... Yeah with that white Juan I could see some variation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: There were alot of west of bm members on 12z eps and the mean seemed skewed by two wacky bermuda solutions. Anyway, curious to see if 0z op follows or does it stay and its eps clusters begin to shift se a bit. With an n of 51 it's hard for 1-2 members to skew too much. That's one reason why it is generally a superior product. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 minute ago, weathafella said: With an n of 51 it's hard for 1-2 members to skew too much. That's why it is generally a superior product. True. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 minute ago, dryslot said: This is trending towards more of a MECS with each model run. For nne? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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