J Paul Gordon Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 I'll believe it when it see it. Meantime, lots of cheering, fainting, hyperventilating, cursing, crying, rinse, wash, repeat for days and days and days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: My guess is GFS will be east of 6z. H5 looks a little less phasing to me. Looks like it a tic west to me but will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Looks like the trailer s/w was not as amplified so it should come east some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: My guess is GFS will be east of 6z. H5 looks a little less phasing to me. You know better so I will defer to you. Take it away captain Cowboys weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Here's the "southern" stream shortwave. There is a ways to go before we start spiking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 It's not east. It's the same or a tickle west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Here's the Euro "southern" stream shortwave. There is a ways to go before we start spiking. IT DOES EXIST! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Sorry man but you would need to create a lesson plan to tell me h5 is THAT different. Looks like noise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Sorry man but you would need to create a lesson plan to tell me h5 is THAT different. Looks like noise. I'm looking at the vorticity pieces from 6z. 12z, looked different to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 And honestly the GFS and Euro are within noise levels difference in that position and strength from each other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 As your will see at hr 102 vs 108 at 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: It's not east. It's the same or a tickle west I think he is trolling at this point, I dunno anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 I don't trust the GFS in these setups with intricate H5 s/w interactions. I really don't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I'm looking at the vorticity pieces from 6z. 12z, looked different to me. Ok, yea im not there yet (mentally) lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 It's East from 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Ha, ends up identical to 6z at hr 108. Basically a mad front ender. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 108 looks stupid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: I don't trust the GFS in these setups with intricate H5 s/w interactions. I really don't. I said that post Jan 15 bust regarding euro. Honestly, that thing isnt as trustworthy either. What we have are goal posts at this stage with op solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 What a pounding this run, Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: It's East from 06z. 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Ha, ends up identical to 6z at hr 108. Basically a mad front ender. oh. looks like 0z ukie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 That was a net positive run imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I don't trust the GFS in these setups with intricate H5 s/w interactions. I really don't. Looking at dprog/dt on WeatherBell and it really dropped the idea of a strong southern stream from 06z to 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: oh. Prior panel has the SLP E by a solid 40-50mi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: Looking at dprog/dt on WeatherBell and it really dropped the idea of a strong southern stream from 06z to 12z. It still looked pretty strong, but it just goes poof over NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Meanwhile, the GGEM is a scraper...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: It still looked pretty strong, but it just goes poof over NE. Yeah, there at 96 hrs gone by 102 hrs, and then by 108 hrs it all looks the same anyway. Classic GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Meanwhile, the GGEM is a scraper...lol. Its been pretty adamant about keeping this one east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Canadian is all srn s/w and scrapes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Prior panel has the SLP E by a solid 40-50mi. I dont look at slp this far out. it can get rotated around trying to look for the best forcing. I havent even looked at the cute blue or ugly green surface map yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I dont look at slp this far out. it can get rotated around trying to look for the best forcing. I havent even looked at the cute blue or ugly green surface map yet. And I was looking at 5h too. As Scott said there was less phasing which argued for an eastern nudge which it did do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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