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OK/AR/KS/MO Winter 2016-17 Winter Discussion

1,734 posts in this topic

1 hour ago, Chinook said:

A narrow band of moderate snow is hitting Kansas City area, perhaps making the tornado cleanup effort a little harder

kB8vNSD.png

Almost all snow now in Rogers, AR.  Most falling snow I've seen all winter. 

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52 minutes ago, MoWeatherguy said:

Almost all snow now in Rogers, AR.  Most falling snow I've seen all winter. 

Ugh send some down here man plz lol, still all rain here 36 degrees. This sux, an advisory is out til midnight but I'm not holding my breath anymore here lol. Probly will bust south of 412 as always haha

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13 minutes ago, Cerakoter1984 said:

Now full-on steady sleet.

Crazy lol, so snow just to my north and all sleet at your place. Still rain here, temp did drop a degree though.

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I am testing out the new precip-type color feature of GRLevel3, based off HRRR analysis of precip-type. The HRRR may get confused when so much of the lower atmosphere is close to 32F. Well, then again, you guys are saying there is sleet. I think sleet might be the orange color palette.

 

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wAUmJWS.png

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10 minutes ago, JoMo said:

You all getting snow down south? We had a few flurries earlier.

Snowed heavy here for 30 mins or so, mostly light off and on, sleet mixed in too at times.   There may be half inch or so accum here now.

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30 minutes ago, JoMo said:

You all getting snow down south? We had a few flurries earlier.

Was mainly rain here man, switched over to a snow/rain mix about an hour ago but its let up now. A tad coating on some grassy areas and trees mainly. Just at freezing now though

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Yeah. December pretty much carries the whole positive portion of the grade for this winter. Very low D for a grade overall is pretty accurate.

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Looks like some people may get some moisture from Tropical Storm Cindy. Especially down south.

Looks like the models have backed off on a strong nino for winter. Looks neutral to weak nino at this time. 

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Yeah, JoMo, definitely not going with a strong or even moderate Niño at this point. I'm glad to see the possibility of a neutral winter next season. Let the other variables play ball and see what happens.

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25 minutes ago, JoMo said:

Summer doldrums are here again. Models backing off on the El Nino look.... Looking more like a neutral. 

Neutral is historically a good look, correct?  

And yes, once Labor Day rolls around we can start having something to talk about.  Football at the least and winter predictions shortly thereafter.   

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2 hours ago, The Waterboy said:

Neutral is historically a good look, correct?  

And yes, once Labor Day rolls around we can start having something to talk about.  Football at the least and winter predictions shortly thereafter.   

For our area, neutral is good usually. Still depends on other factors though. 

About a 50% chance of neutral as of last update. Nino around 35%. 

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