NortheastPAWx Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 As for the FROPA/IVT deal... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 As for the FROPA/IVT deal... That will be fun to watch. That axis of heavier precip has been shifting wildly on just about every model run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Not holding my breath. Can we just lock up an advisory snow so my nephews can sled once! Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
r-ville Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Rockville Then you will be interested in the VD/PD date outlook Unlike the January Blizzard, this looks to be much more complex. But that does not mean to say it is a tenuous set up. With the huge ridge out west to help, as we've seen in some past instances, the upstream helps the downstream set up by buckling the 500mb flow. The downstream NAO is slightly negative oscillation transitioning back to neutral or positive - that is a decent set up downstream. The moisture tap from the STJ (tap rooting the ITCZ) has been pretty strong (all season really) and would also play a part. As I said, many moving parts -- but with the cold almost a lock at this point. I believe we have a "game on" situation. Morning guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
r-ville Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Hmmmm - area of interest is NW E Gulf of Mexico. 000NOUS42 KNHC 051750REPRPDWEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTSCARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.1245 PM EST FRI 05 FEBRUARY 2016SUBJECT: WINTER STORM PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)VALID 06/1100Z TO 07/1100Z FEBRUARY 2016WSPOD NUMBER.....15-067I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS1. FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 71A. A66/ DROP 2 (28.2N 86.5W) / 07/0000ZB. AFXXX 06WSA TRACK66C. 06/2000ZD. 10 AS SPECIFIED IN THE NWSOPE. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE / 07/0200ZF. TRACK TO BE FLOWN COUNTERCLOCKWISE2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.$$WJM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 if only 384 hr maps could EVER verify....now is the time Its almost like I was allowed to draw it. Only diff is that I'd put WSPT and NEPAdude in the crosshairs...just for them.. all aside...I think we'd lock this up and all be happy. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
r-ville Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Weather World does not go this bold with a call unless they are pretty darned certain. Especially considering it is the 12 Day "Trends" segment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
r-ville Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Reminding me more and more of winter 2010. Three storm threats that have the potential to deliver in excess of 2-3' of snow within 2 weeks. (2010 IMBY put down 44" in same amount of time). I bought a new front end loader last fall (getting the chains for it today). Last time I bought a loader? - why that would have been fall of 2002. Coincidence? Or more, hmmmm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 That's quite an impressive map! I'd also put Williamsport and NEPA in the jackpot zone. I've had my share of screw jobs over the years, but not like those 2 have. If anyone has a right to b**ch and complain, they do. if only 384 hr maps could EVER verify....now is the time Its almost like I was allowed to draw it. Only diff is that I'd put WSPT and NEPAdude in the crosshairs...just for them.. all aside...I think we'd lock this up and all be happy. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 If only... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick G Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 It is only snow... I would like a nice storm that gives me a day or two off from work. Sent from my VS986 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 12z NAM gives the LSV all the love again with total snowfall through the end of the run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 12z NAM gives the LSV all the love again with total snowfall through the end of the run... namconus_asnow_neus_29.jpg ...and the 12z GFS says congrats you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 ...and the 12z GFS says congrats you! Wow...didn't expect that. Still, I'd like to see our 2 shutout posters get it this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick G Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 I am thinking the NEPAwx and Wmsptwx will go postal, if we miss out on some snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Especially Wmsptwx. I still can't believe that Williamsport hasn't even had an inch of snow this winter. That's amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick G Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 https://livestream.com/kingscollege/events/4772432 --streaming today.... King's vs Manhattanville... if you are doing nothing, I am producing and directing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 ...and the 12z GFS says congrats you! Two runs in a row??? The 18z GFS says almost the same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Two runs in a row??? The 18z GFS says almost the same thing. thru 96 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 thru 180 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 6, 2016 Author Share Posted February 6, 2016 The 12z guidance didn't have all that much eye candy as far as mid-long range snow threats (that seems to be a 6z/18z thing). But wow was Valentines Day weekend cold on the Euro today. Whole state was pretty much sub 500 thicknesses from 174-198hr and sub 492 186 and 192hr (850 temps -25 to -30ºC). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 CBS 21 calling 3-6" for the CTP-Selinsgrove-Frackville south., Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 3-6"?!? Pffft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 CBS 21 calling 3-6" for the CTP-Selinsgrove-Frackville south.,That's out of Harrisburg, right? I know one of their on air guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 That's out of Harrisburg, right? I know one of their on air guysHarrisburg, yeah. They're a good weather shop. Not quite WGAL but good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Harrisburg, yeah. They're a good weather shop. Not quite WGAL but good. I saw the 3-6" map on Twitter from Chris. You guys are expecting more though? Have to admit, haven't followed this threat closely down here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 I saw the 3-6" map on Twitter from Chris. You guys are expecting more though? Have to admit, haven't followed this threat closely down hereHaven't had a chance to pay attention yet. At super quick glance it's hard for me to see anyone west of 95 seeing much of anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 7, 2016 Author Share Posted February 7, 2016 Here's CTP's early take on most likely snowfall. Def the look of a widespread advisory event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 IPT would quadruple its seasonal total verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 That map is every woman's worst nightmare: A parade of fours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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