Weathergun Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 On phone now.But saw 12z okx sounding from SPC was very unstable already (high Cape and LI) with a low-level inversion keeping low clouds in place. 0-6km bulk shear and mid-level lapse rates are weak though. Expect pulse severe t'storms this afternoon and evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 On phone now.But saw 12z okx sounding from SPC was very unstable already with a low-level inversion keeping low clouds in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 Full sun now. Clouds rapidly breaking up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 Clouds in the way again today - south jersey looks ok for 90s but from about CNJ north its mostly cloudy and likely to stay that way at least the next coupe of hours before the main front comes through. Mostly sunny and 82/75 here right now. Low 90s should occur for most outside of LI I think. One of the hottest days of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 Most of the metro should be clearing out by noon and the temps will approach 90 fairly rapidly also individual storms should start popping up by mid - late afternoon similar to yesterday so keep an eye to the sky if outdoors in a park etc etc and keep the alerts feature on your Iphone activated.for severe warnings............... http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/satellite/1km/index.php?type=LongIsland-vis-12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 10AM Roundup - Clouds breaking over NJ TEB: 80/ 74 NYC: 80/72 EWR: 80/73 LGA: 80/73 JFK: 80 / 73 ISP: 80 / 73 New Brunswick: 79 /73 BLM: 82 / 72 TTN: 81 / 73 ACY: 83 / 74 PHL: 82 / 73 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 Mostly sunny and 82/75 here right now. Low 90s should occur for most outside of LI I think. One of the hottest days of the year. Yeah about 5 mins after the post rapid clearing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metsfan Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 On phone now.But saw 12z okx sounding from SPC was very unstable already (high Cape and LI) with a low-level inversion keeping low clouds in place. 0-6km bulk shear and mid-level lapse rates are weak though. Expect pulse severe t'storms this afternoon and evening. I agree. Places on LI might get shafted once again because of the timing of the front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 Still mostly cloudy into NE-NJ/NYC but sun should break out there soon. But between morning clouds and showers and leading edge of front a few hours away, 90s may be out of reach . You can see in SNJ where its been mostly sunny, temps are 3 -5 higher already, 11AM Roundup TEB: 81 NYC: 82 EWR: 81 LGA: 82 JFK: 82 ISP: 81 New Brunswick: 83 BLM: 85 TTN: 83 ACY: 86 PHL: 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 Noon roundup TEB: 84 NYC: 85 EWR: 86 LGA: 84 JFK: 84 ISP: 83 New Brunswick: 86 BLM: 88 TTN: 87 ACY: 87 PHL: 87 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 As exciting as the heat is are we getting any storms today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 there's an OFB to our west over eastern PA... it will probably trigger a line within a few hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 Most of the metro should be clearing out by noon and the temps will approach 90 fairly rapidly also individual storms should start popping up by mid - late afternoon similar to yesterday so keep an eye to the sky if outdoors in a park etc etc and keep the alerts feature on your Iphone activated.for severe warnings............... http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/satellite/1km/index.php?type=LongIsland-vis-12 as expected temps are racing towards 90 by next hour or 2 many stations will be at 90 or above - then the radars should start popping up storms about 3 http://kamala.cod.edu/nj/latest.asus41.OKX.KOKX.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 as expected temps are racing towards 90 by next hour or 2 many stations will be at 90 or above - then the radars should start popping up storms about 3 http://kamala.cod.edu/nj/latest.asus41.OKX.KOKX.html Right. Theoretical high and convective temp. are both near 90 this PM, so airmass type cells could arise quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 I agree. Places on LI might get shafted once again because of the timing of the front. Timing or not LI gets shafted 90% of the time anyway . I do however expect a little rain later on today though, no thunderstorms but atleast a brief downpour with the front. West of NYC will have ALOT better shot for severe storms today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 89/78 and feeling like Cancun here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 88/75 here pool temp (without heater) upto 82. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 Mesoscale Discussion 1687 < Previous MD MD 1687 graphic MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1687 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1131 AM CDT SAT SEP 06 2014 AREAS AFFECTED...NEW ENGLAND INTO ERN PA/NRN NJ CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY VALID 061631Z - 061800Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT SUMMARY...BROKEN BANDS OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT AND TRACK E/NE ACROSS ERN PA/NRN NJ INTO NEW ENGLAND. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE STORMS. A WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED WITHIN THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS. DISCUSSION...TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE 80S EARLY THIS AFTERNOON IN BROKEN CLOUDINESS AHEAD OF THE SFC COLD FRONT...RESULTING IN MODERATE DESTABILIZATION /MLCAPE APPROACHING 2000 J/KG/ OF THE VERY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER /LOW 70S DEWPOINTS/. AREAS OF AGITATED CUMULUS WERE EVIDENT ON LATEST VIS SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM CENTRAL PA NEWD INTO NEW ENGLAND IN THE VICINITY WEAK SFC CONFLUENCE ZONES. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO IN THE VICINITY OF THIS MODEST SFC CONVERGENCE AHEAD OF THE MAIN COLD FRONT FROM ERN PA INTO S NY/N NJ. EFFECTIVE SHEAR AROUND 30-40 KT WILL BE ADEQUATE FOR SOME ORGANIZED STORM CLUSTERS/LINE SEGMENTS. WHILE MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL REMAIN POOR...STRONG SFC HEATING HAS RESULTED IN STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES...AND COMBINED WITH PW VALUES AOA 1.75 INCHES...STRONG /LOCALLY DAMAGING/ WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH BROKEN BANDS OF CONVECTION. ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL DEVELOP FURTHER N/NE INTO NEW ENGLAND ALONG THE COLD FRONT LATER THIS AFTERNOON. A WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED IN THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 89/78 and feeling like Cancun here. Yea tropical is the word. Kind of glad im working in an A/C supermarket today. WOW! A special weather statement for severe storms later on for Suffolk county! Upton must be feeling lucky today to include us in any severe storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 Some cells popping up the over Poconos and Catskills. But are already pulsing: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 88/75 here pool temp (without heater) upto 82. 90/77 now, pool also 82 w/o heater. Would have been nice if we had more of this in July and August, but better late than never I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 Watch issued for Upton territory only...ne NJ Hudson valley NYC and LI..on north and east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 90/77 now, pool also 82 w/o heater. Would have been nice if we had more of this in July and August, but better late than never I guess. Yeah. Clouds thu/fri killed some more bonus 90s but whos counting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 Right. Theoretical high and convective temp. are both near 90 this PM, so airmass type cells could arise quickly. cells are beginning to pop up a little earlier further south then expected http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=pan&prevzoom=zoom&num=6&frame=0&delay=15&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&ID=DIX&type=N0R&showstorms=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&map.x=400&map.y=240&scale=1.000¢erx=400¢ery=240&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&lerror=20&num_stns_min=2&num_stns_max=9999&avg_off=9999&smooth=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 Linden too warm at 96. But Newark is probably closing in at 92 now: http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?sid=KLDJ 2pm temps/highs NYC 90/90LGA 89/90EWR 92/93 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 2PM Rondup BOS: 90 TEB: 91 NYC: 90 EWR: 91 LGA: 89 JFK: 86 ISP: 84 New Brunswick: 92 BLM: 90 TTN: ACY: 90 PHL: 91 DOV: 92 BWI: 91 DCA: 93 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 Watch extended for rest of NJ and back through PA, DC, MD Lots of storms popping up already that aren't severe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 Watch extended for rest of NJ and back through PA, DC, MD Lots of storms popping up already that aren't severe W C/NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 Watch extended for rest of NJ and back through PA, DC, MD Lots of storms popping up already that aren't severe http://kamala.cod.edu/nj/latest.wwus61.KPHI.html http://kamala.cod.edu/nj/latest.wwus61.KOKX.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 Storm #1 moving through.. Heavy downpour and lightning Wind picking up now too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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