Eskimo Joe Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 GFS definitely a step in the right direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Keep in mind virga will be a problem to start. Very dry air coming in. That's why totals farther south are bigger. The mid levels should be moistened up prior to the cold air injection. Usually an arctic boundary can create enough lift to give someone snow right as it passes. I'd have to check the soundings on the GFS to see if that's the case. This isn't a injection with precip heading into it. It's basically happening as the storm is happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 GFS definitely a step in the right direction. That it is indeed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Amazing that two days ago we were laughing off the first wave, and the second wave was a bomb. Now, everything is from the first wave for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Amazing that two days ago we were laughing off the first wave, and the second wave was a bomb. Now, everything is from the first wave for us. A day Ago we were worried about sleet lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 UKMET is a solid hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 UKMET is a solid hit. Description or maps for pa? Similar to the gfs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather5 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Haha DT is talking the nam up like crazy. Wxrisk.com is the 0z NAM " CORRECT?"... In my view in the General sense it is. It is part of the TREND that has been underway for the past 36 hrs with ALL the Models... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Haha DT is talking the nam up like crazy. Wxrisk.com is the 0z NAM " CORRECT?"... In my view in the General sense it is. It is part of the TREND that has been underway for the past 36 hrs with ALL the Models... Ridiculous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Haha DT is talking the nam up like crazy. Wxrisk.com is the 0z NAM " CORRECT?"... In my view in the General sense it is. It is part of the TREND that has been underway for the past 36 hrs with ALL the Models... He usually hates any American model, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Idk what DT is talking about. The only model tonight that went even further south was the NAM. Everything else actually has ticked north or stayed status quo. He must be desperate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Description or maps for pa? Similar to the gfs? Will have to wait for meteocentre for the 42 hr QPF map... but I am pretty sure 00z UKIE looks like the RGEM... posted the 36 hr QPF map a page back and 850s at that time were -6 near DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 UKMET like RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 GGEM looks fantastic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 GGEM looks fantasticFor who? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather5 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Man I was just thinking about going to bed but you guys seem to be pulling me back in, Euro I will have to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 GGEM looks fantastic Lol...for all of southern pa including swpa? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Lol...for all of southern pa including swpa? Yes. Off the ledge weenies. Goodnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 The GGEM is great for everyone that looks to be the most favorably impacted by this storm for our subforum. The southern tier looks in good shape on that run. I stand by my HBG on south looks to be zone for best snow accumulation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Such major bust potential this storm can leave soon ready to track the next one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 posted this on my blog a bit ago... going to be a very tight gradient and I probably have to sharpen it up tomorrow when exactly where that line is becomes clear. For those of us in central PA the splitting of the systems will probably prevent this from what could have been a great storm. Oh well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 LOL at JMA, went from days on end of being the most amp'd and north solution to now being the furthest south, fringes DC even. Just about no precip in PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Euro is solid for southern tier. Seems we have agreement. Minus stupid NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Euro doesnt jump north like many would love to see... but it doesnt go any further south either... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 LOL at JMA, went from days on end of being the most amp'd and north solution to now being the furthest south, fringes DC even. Just about no precip in PA. Ah who cares. Euro is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Euro doesnt jump north like many would love to see... but it doesnt go any further south either... Bet it comes a bit north tomorrow. It scrubbed round 1 and made round 2 stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Southern tier will like this run. High ratio'd to death. 0.5" up to MDT and tight gradient south. LNS at hour 36 is at 0.5 north and 1.0" south. Everyone in the cross hairs can rest easy. Even some snow north of MDT but nothing substantial but it's something. Real cold during best portion of event for southern tier. Great run for those in the southern counties Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Ah who cares. Euro is good. is it? In other forum it sounded like its still south like its 12z run. 12z didnt even get 3" to my area. NYC seems not to like it and I'm at their latitude so I'm thinking its probably bad for anyone north of extreme southern pa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Bet it comes a bit north tomorrow. It scrubbed round 1 and made round 2 stronger.. Good point and the only thing I liked about the run. It's still a miss for my area but its closer to what I need a weak wave 1 and stronger wave 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 12-16 for Shrewsbury area. Great run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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