JetsPens87 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 another warm solution....not liking tonights trends Really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 UKMET has 30mm of precip in NYC by the time 850mb temps crack just above 0c before 0z Friday. http://meteocentre.com/models/get_mgram.php?stn=NewYork&mod=ukmet&run=00&var=std〈=en&map=us That's about 1.2" liquid that looks to be mostly snow. So even the tucked in lows are generating tremendous snow amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowblind Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 They're trending more west already and the true realization of sampling isn't even happening til the 12z's. By then (maybe even 6z's) the GFS will start caving towards the other models... Thank you. Glad to be part of this forum. I see a lot of you here from a previous forum I was on a few years ago. Jm, wig, earth.... Glad I found you guys again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJWeather201 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Really? I LOL'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScottB Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 another warm solution....not liking tonights trends Based off the JMA post? I'd hardly use the JMA for anything other than eye candy. Most solutions for the entire NYC Metro haven't trended warmer, either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Now the #12 analog over the east at hour 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Would be a fabulous public service if someone knowledgable summarized the outputs for the major models from 0Z, after the Euro comes out, maybe noting general track and qpf in a few key spots (maybe Morristown, NYC, LI) and if major mixing or a changeover is expected and where. I'm sure everyone would be forever grateful... :>) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane11 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 another warm solution....not liking tonights trends The trends are actually better tonight, esp w/ GFS. Don't pay mind it waffling NAM ATM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 UKMET has 30mm of precip in NYC by the time 850mb temps crack just above 0c before 0z Friday. http://meteocentre.com/models/get_mgram.php?stn=NewYork&mod=ukmet&run=00&var=std〈=en&map=us That's about 1.2" liquid that looks to be mostly snow. So even the tucked in lows are generating tremendous snow amounts. Wow that's pretty crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Really? JMA/UKMET/NAVGEM are all warm. GGEM looks great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane11 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Thank you. Glad to be part of this forum. I see a lot of you here from a previous forum I was on a few years ago. Jm, wig, earth.... Glad I found you guys again. Of course bud :-) I actually just joined too... Left a forum with tooooo much drama. The weather is dramatic enough on its own. ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Euro is rolling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Euro hr 36 robust surface low just east of New Orleans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 JMA/UKMET/NAVGEM are all warm. GGEM looks great UKMET dumps well over an inch of liquid in NYC most likely before there is one sleet pellet or raindrop. The tucked in solutions may be warmer for a time but also come with crazy dynamics to make for heavy snow. This is trending very well for almost all of us. We can still have a great storm without 100% of it being snow. It won't be to this extreme but 2/8/13 wasn't all snow for Suffolk County but some of them had well over 2 feet in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 #4 analog over the south now at hour 48 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Hour 42 low over the FL Panhandle. I see nothing so far that tells me this is going to come significantly east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Hour 48 low inland over southern GA. Light QPF up to about DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 #4 analog over the south now at hour 48 . im colorblind I can't read these maps how much for long island? sorry to ask Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Hr 54 bombs away. Low is right a long the SC coast. Lighter QPF up to Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 54, slightly slower to close off @ h5 compared to 0z... could be a few hours in between 54-60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Holy crap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 This should track inside of OBX. The trough is already negative tilt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Hr 54 bombs away. Low is right a long the SC coast. Lighter QPF up to Philly. How we looking compared to 12z? east or west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Euro at 60 right over obx... Looking nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 hour 60, maybe 20 miles east of the 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 How we looking compared to 12z? east or west? Slightly east so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Hour 60 sub 1000mb low just inland over coastal NC. Heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJWeather201 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Euro at 60 right over obx... Looking nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Euro at 60 right over obx... Looking nice Officially getting stoked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 So far the EURO isn't going to look like the UKMET, in terms of SLP track. Something more in the way of the GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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